Really bullishPHILIPS KON, a slow-motion picture but in a very strong phase now, objective 54.by juanclos0
Long term MA Trailing Stop strategy to beat Buy&Hold strategy XPloRR MA-Buy ATR-MA-Trailing-Stop Strategy Long term MA Trailing Stop strategy to beat Buy&Hold strategy None of the strategies that I tested can beat the long term Buy&Hold strategy. That's the reason why I wrote this strategy. Purpose: beat Buy&Hold strategy with around 10 trades. 100% capitalize sold trade into new trade. My buy strategy is triggered by the EMA(blue) crossing over the SMA curve(orange). My sell strategy is triggered by another EMA(lime) of the close value crossing the trailing stop(green) value. The trailing stop value(green) is set to a multiple of the ATR(15) value. ATR(15) is the SMA(15) value of the difference between high and low values. Every stock has it's own "DNA", so first thing to do is find the right paramaters to get the best strategy values voor EMA, SMA and Trailing Stop. Then keep using these parameter for future buy/sell signals only for that particular stock. Do the same for other stocks. Here are the parameters: Exponential MA: buy trigger when crossing over the SMA value (use values between 11-50) Simple MA: buy trigger when EMA crosses over the SMA value (use values between 20 and 200) Stop EMA: sell trigger when Stop EMA of close value crosses the trailing stop value (use values between 8 and 16) Trailing Stop #ATR: defines the trailing stop value as a multiple of the ATR(15) value Example parameters for different stocks (Start capital: 1000, Order=100% of equity, Period 1/1/2005 to now): BAR(Barco): EMA=11, SMA=82, StopEMA=12, Stop#ATR=9 Buy&HoldProfit: 45.82%, NetProfit: 294.7%, #Trades:8, %Profit:62.5%, ProfitFactor: 12.539 AAPL(Apple): EMA=12, SMA=45, StopEMA=12, Stop#ATR=6 Buy&HoldProfit: 2925.86%, NetProfit: 4035.92%, #Trades:10, %Profit:60%, ProfitFactor: 6.36 BEKB(Bekaert): EMA=12, SMA=42, StopEMA=12, Stop#ATR=7 Buy&HoldProfit: 81.11%, NetProfit: 521.37%, #Trades:10, %Profit:60%, ProfitFactor: 2.617 SOLB(Solvay): EMA=12, SMA=63, StopEMA=11, Stop#ATR=8 Buy&HoldProfit: 43.61%, NetProfit: 151.4%, #Trades:8, %Profit:75%, ProfitFactor: 3.794 PHIA(Philips): EMA=11, SMA=80, StopEMA=8, Stop#ATR=10 Buy&HoldProfit: 56.79%, NetProfit: 198.46%, #Trades:6, %Profit:83.33%, ProfitFactor: 23.07 I am very curious to see the parameters for your stocks and please make suggestions to improve this strategy. Longby XPl0RR2
Short-entry Philips (Euronext)With general market weakness (or exhaustion, if you like) we are focussing on new short-entries for the near term (1-3 months). PHIA ( EURONEXT:PHIA ) has shown a recent breakout failure followed by the setting of a new lower peak. We expect prices to take out the trigger at 31.25. The first target comes in at 29.55 and we suggest keeping stops tight at 32.15. Risk/reward is roughly 1:1.8 which is ok for a near term trade. Lowering the target if momentum picks up is a possibility. We'll have to monitor developments over the coming period. Shortby buyem_nlUpdated 4
channel up phiaphia possible on its thirb bounce in the channel. setting entry point 1% above the latest high. Longby jarl4
Setup Philips 'Euronext' General thoughts: - There should be some energy left for at least another wave up (volume, resistance / support) - It will face some difficulties with breaking the all-time high, so some consolidation after it has touched would seem appropriate. I already bought at 31.5, looking to take most of the profit inside the yellow box. Stop loss: - Stop loss is riding along the MA30. corrective wave 2 didn't get much further down, so I don't expect a 2nd correction wave to go much below that, but I will try to stay a little bit flexible because 3rd waves can have heavier corrections, so I will trust indicators like sell volume to determine when to close my trade.Longby RegideTraderUpdated 5
PHG - Come On DownWaiting for a retrace back to support levels on chart. If the previous RSI is anything to go by, it should set up a nice long as the RSI reaches support. However the wedge could turn bearish is support is broken....Longby Bobby_Axe2