Analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ABR Arbor Realty Trust prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 13usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-3-15,
for a premium of approximately $1.87.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Below the major MA's, at a great support and a forward DIVI over 13% and not a single miss on earnings singe mid-2020, I'm (very) bullish on ABR up to $20ish. This is an opportunity to make LOTS of money, if you'll hold it. I'm using a $1 stop because, if earnings are bad, it COULD BREAK DOWN and I won't be participating in that. Cheers!
Heard of NYSE:ABR ? Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. provides capital financing to firms seeking to acquire properties.
Thursday's pre-market saw one of its largest block trades of all time, with 5.27 million shares moved in a single trade.
09:09:04 ABR 5,268,815 $84.1 Million
REITs like these are popular with hedge funds... do they know something we don't about...
Abor Realty Trust ( REIT)...I anticipated a good earnings report as mortgage rates are up significantly and all things real estate are currently booming. 💵
*RKT(ER on 8/3) *UWMC(ER on 8/9) *RDFN (ER on 8/3) *CMTG (ER on 8/1) and ABR have not only outpaced the overall market but some are also up as much as double digits percentages in last 30 days.
ABR's great...
I was in at $10.80 on ABR - it's been a very good run with a cap-gain of about 29'ish %, and earning a dividend of 12.5% while doing it - the dividend was 15.5% at my entry-point!
I am still long, and I think it is still undervalued. The ABR earnings and margins are strong and the dividend is still very strong compared to it's peers. I have a sell-order on...
abr holding up fairly strong against rest of market with great paying dividend will look to go long with break of range at 17.75 breakdown of range would be below 17
Short side goal would be for this to be a rounding top - it just wouldn't be finished yet.
Neutral on fundamentals (5Y P/E 9.49 vs. 9.26 now). Compare to lifetime P/E norm of 8.88, it might be a tiny bit expensive but not a lot.
OCF is a little cheap relative, but expected 25% drop in 2022 (5Y OCF 25 vs. 10.89 OCF now). Forecast has basically no growth.
* Good earnings
* Strong up trend
* High relative strength in the Real Estate sector
* Breaking out of a 4 month consolidation with higher than average volume
* Pays dividends generously (high dividends expected from REITs)
Trade Idea:
* You can get in now if you can stomach a little volatility
* Or if you're looking for a discount you can look for buying...
Moxie Long hourly setup. This setup is based on 50-200-50 maneuver (Price crosses the SMA50, rejected by SMA200 and tests the SMA50 again, long when it clears SMA200)
NYSE:ABR
ENTRY: 18.44
SL: 16.84
TP1: 19.68
TP2: 20.96
- ADX<25. Would like to be higher.
- RSI<65 but >50. Uptrend still intact.
- MAs aligned.
- Rebounded from pivot point and lower channel on 21 Jun 2021.
- Strength meter shows weakness on 25 Jun 2021. Trade with caution or tighten stop loss in coming days.
Hello Traders!
Supported by ascending support, a MACD that has just crossed over the 9 EMA, an optimistic RSI, and the 50 SMA crossing over the 100 SMA, the price of ABR has just broken through a descending resistance. If you should still don't trust this extraordinary accumulation of strong bullish signals, wait for the price to cross over the 200 SMA, but such...
