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Coffee Futures (Dec 2024)

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☕️Coffee futures (KC): third wave bull market.●● Preferred count ● Coffee Cash (KC.C), 🕐TF: 30D Fig.1 In Fig. 1 , the wave count from 02/07/2022 . At the moment, the market is in the initial stage of the development of the primary wave ③ . The alternative scenario is the same — the continuation of the formation of the wave e of (IV) , as it is marked in black . ______________________________________________ ● Coffee C®️ Futures (KC1!), 🕐TF: 6h Fig.2 The wave ① formed the shape of an expanding diagonal . There is another infrequent pattern on the chart — an expanding triangle at the position of the wave (X) of ② . Growth is expected to continue. ______________________________________________ 📚 Elliott Wave Guide & Ellott Wave Archive ⬇️⬇️
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by TradeWaves-EWA
1
Coffee Part 12.28.23 This is the review of coffee and a closer look at A good trade location. I'm debating on making this part one because I want to account for the difficulty in making a trade decision at this time when I got to the end of the video. because I fumbled a little bit.... and I want you to know what that means because this happens all the time.... And that is okay Because this is my barometer to keep me out of a trade until there's more clarity. I don't have to take a trade if I'm not ready for the trade because it's not clear.
ICEUS:KC1!
by ScottBogatin
1
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 214.05 Pivot: 182.95 Support: 172.60 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. To add confluence to this bias, price is also along an ascending trend line. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to retest the pivot at 182.95, where the overlap support is, before continue heading towards the resistance at 214.05, where the overlap resistance is. Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to break the pivot at 182.95, where the overlap support is, before heading towards the support at 172.60, where the overlap support and 23.6% Fibonacci line is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by Genesiv
1
Bobby's Homework Assignment2.18.23 It appears that coffee is going to trade higher. There is a particular ABCD pattern that suggests this. The critical pivot that allowed me to draw that pattern could have given me that clue. however, just after that clue appeared,, the market went a lot higher... not quite reaching the bearish gap lower, And then it moved all the way back to just about the gap that led to the substantial move Higher. In other words break out buyers move it a lot higher, And then the market Took out Most of those fires.... you would call it A wash and rinse.... and it might very well have you think that the Market's too bearish to move higher because the Lower Was so impressive...Many of the breakout buyers Exited the market and the thought that the market was going to go a lot higher it's either forgotten... or many Traders just don't want the risk to go along.... even though the tool that showed you it was likely to go higher has not been harmed in any way whatsoever because the correction lower actually takes you to a level that doesn't harm the reversal pattern and it fails to break below a support area or a 382. There is a Psychology for most people that they are more stressed Losing something that they feel was theirs ie. the market moves up Thousands of dollars for an unrealized profit, but then moves all the way back to break even... and they Are more traumatized by this then they are if they miss a trade of thousands of dollars.... even if both trade decisions lead to zero loss. There was a signal... in ABCD pattern Is that the market was going to trade considerably higher, But the market Attracted breakout fires first, And then it hurt those bars when the market came back to support... Making it very difficult for many traders To think about Going long after such a steep move higher and a steep correction lower. The Dynamics of this Are much greater than my description, but it's important to factor in human behavior and the things we naturally do that can actually be non-productive to our abilities to trade. once you get in trouble in a trade, it can throw you off and it can change your judgment about the market in non-productive ways.
ICEUS:KC1!
by ScottBogatin
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 214.05 Pivot: 172.60 Support: 142.05 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to retest the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before continue heading towards the resistance at 214.05, where the overlap resistance is. Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to break the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before heading towards the support at 142.05, where the previous swing low is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by Genesiv
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 214.05 Pivot: 172.60 Support: 142.05 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to retest the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before continue heading towards the resistance at 214.05, where the overlap resistance is. Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to break the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before heading towards the support at 142.05, where the previous swing low is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ICEUS:KC1!
by Tickmill
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 214.05 Pivot: 172.60 Support: 142.05 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to retest the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before continue heading towards the resistance at 214.05, where the overlap resistance is. Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to break the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before heading towards the support at 142.05, where the previous swing low is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by Genesiv
EW longterm analysis of coffee an shortterm outlookMost commodities are highly cyclical and don't develop in the usual 5-wave-patterns. In the long run commodity-chars look more like a series of succeeding 3-wave moves.Therefore a longterm EW analysis is difficult in a way makes no sense. Nevertheless I devoloped a longerm chart for coffee and a shorter term analysis with a seasonal chart as indicator. In the mid and longterm I expect coffee to work lower. The short term is a bit unclear. What I marked in the hourly chart as wave 4 doesn't look finished and also looks quite steep. On the other hand seasonality calls for a low around february 24. So we might see some fast moves in the following week. Unfortunately the latest CoT data is not available. The last available report showed a strong build up of long positions by the commercials. This build up preceded the sharp move up from january 24.When analysing commodities it is important to watch the CoT-report. Before entering a trade I would await the latest reports. Link to the longterm charts. images2.imgbox.com images2.imgbox.com
ICEUS:KC1!Short
by Sideshow83
1
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 214.05 Pivot: 172.60 Support: 142.05 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to retest the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before continue heading towards the resistance at 214.05, where the overlap resistance is. Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to break the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before heading towards the support at 142.05, where the previous swing low is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by Genesiv
COFFEE C® FUTURES - Correction TimeFrom November 2020, there is a very strong upward trend. Coffee prices remain high, we have broken the 2014 peak. The price is moving in the main growth channel (green) with a divergence that started in August. (The situation was similar on Natural Gas ). We saw a high around $ 250, followed by lower highs and lower lows. Let's see if the new blue channel works. My KC1 strategy: I have opened shorts with a target of $ 160, if the blue channel is not valid I will hedge at $ 252 or sooner then reverse and add to the position. The recent rise in price may have been due to a falling wedge pattern, visible on the 5h chart. Let's see how it will play out Good luck. Cheers!
ICEUS:KC1!Short
by Divergencify
7
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 214.05 Pivot: 172.60 Support: 142.05 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to retest the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before continue heading towards the resistance at 214.05, where the overlap resistance is. Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to break the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before heading towards the support at 142.05, where the previous swing low is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ICEUS:KC1!
by Tickmill
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 214.05 Pivot: 172.60 Support: 142.05 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to retest the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before continue heading towards the resistance at 214.05, where the overlap resistance is. Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to break the pivot at 172.60, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and overlap support are, before heading towards the support at 142.05, where the previous swing low is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by Genesiv
Bobby's Homework Assignment2.1.23 Coffee hit the $15,000 profit level. I wanted to focus on some of the decisions I would have made and how they could adversely affect my profits on this trade. No matter how long you trade you will always be tempted to make decisions that can affect the outcome in a negative way. In the end it's not as bad to make less money on a trade as it is to lose money on a trade. If you decide not to take a trade that would have been profitable, you actually did not lose money and you should never go broke if you didn't like a trade and you missed a profitable trade. You won't go broke if you're cautious. if you monitor your trade decisions and decided not to take the trade that you considered... you should respect your decision that it could have gone higher and you had the right idea... and if you find this happens three or four or five times and you didn't make money, there's a good chance you'll start taking a trade that you wouldn't have taken at an earlier time in your Trading experience.
ICEUS:KC1!
by ScottBogatin
2
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 174.95 Pivot: 157.55 Support: 142.05 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the resistance at 174.95, where the previous swing high is. Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to retest the pivot at 157.55, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ICEUS:KC1!
by Tickmill
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 174.95 Pivot: 157.55 Support: 142.05 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the resistance at 174.95, where the previous swing high is. Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to retest the pivot at 157.55, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by Genesiv