US Treasuries (IEF ETF) vs Sub-Investment Grade Debt (JNK ETF): Credit spreads have remained subdued however traders should be monitoring the 1.08-1.09 level (pivot zone) for evidence of increased stress which may ultimately be reflected in the equity market.
It would be quite a surprise if the next big move in Bonds was PRICE higher, not RATES higher.
Trend analysis. Should be a dip in interest rates to cause this. Competing with corporate bonds for money should do it.
If the correlation between the bonds and the stocks is inverse proportionality, we are now expected to see more "longs" in stocks
Since 7-10 Year Treasury Bond is raising - The stock market is shuffling
Higher low in a long-term bullish pattern. Or this is a bear flag / Wykoff redistribution in an intermediate markdown trend.
MA 200 in one-week candles appears to function as support In addition to the horizontal support line This ETF reflects 7-10 Year Treasury Bond - Just look how it's related to SP500 index!
Yields and bond prices are inversely correlated. If you short bonds you must believe that nominal interest rates will rise.
Idea for IEF: - Short the downtrend, Head and Shoulders likely. - TP1: 108 - PT: 100 GLHF - DPT
If two variables seem to have a symmetry about the X-axis, chances are they are negatively correlated.
Head and Shoulders top. Very clean breakout. Sell the retest. Price Target - $115
VGSH - short term IEF - 7-10 years TLT- 20+ years EDV - 20-30 year STRIPS
I posted a chart back in July 2018 on this etf that was just a bit early on the turn in US treasuries but has that move up reached it's conclusion? This count would reckon so as it posits the completion of a 5 wave move..... (as a side effect does this also mean that we will see a decent rally in the markets?)
Comparison of Safe Haven during coronavirus $TLT $GOLD $LQD $IEF
Coronavirus effect's on credit market and how they perfrom. 10-Year Treasury > Corporate Investment Grade > 3-Year Teasurey > High Yield