bonds trarting to move before commodities stocks moves after
The IEF (US 7-10 year Treasury ETF), has held on to the 0.382 Fibonacci Retrace aligning with a Long-term and Established Trend line and the 200-Month Simple Moving Average with high amounts of MACD Bullish Divergence and a move above the 0 line on the Oscillators. All of these factors point towards lower yields in the 7-10 Year Treasuries and an increase in par...
Good morning everyone. Today, through a scenario analysis and the creation of a bond sentiment index, we will try to determine which between US or European bonds represent the best choice. 1. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS OF IBGM AND IEF The ETFs at the center of our analysis are the iShares € Govt Bond 7-10 yr (IBGM) and the iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond (IEF). The...
W.D Gann came right into the Gann date 10 yr cycle low . I will now look for a very choppy rally back up into 98.2 to 99.7 in the etf
IMPORTANT! Based on our team's research of the options market, we expect buy activity at the support level or sell activity at the resistance. We primarily consider levels to be activity zones, but not to be a super-fine level for establishing a limit order. Use them in combination with our own strategy, not in alone.
I think a lot of people are thinking that yields will head lower from here, just like they have previously, but I think that bonds will follow the trend that they did last year (which is down), rather than move higher going forward. If you look at the chart, we're in a bearish trend. We're currently below the key support of $101.58. What looks most likely to me...
Treasuries (IEF) relative to Sub-Investment Grade (JNK) | Weekly Chart | Similar to Jan-March 2020, a larger spike in the ratio could suggest higher levels of stress. Note the +2% move so far this week. For more research insights, including trade ideas, get in touch today.
This chart shows IEF/LQD ratio (Inverted) With the SPY overlayed so you can compare how when financial conditions ease (as they are) then the SPY will react as it is, positively.
To begin, I am not a Seasoned Trader; I use this blog for: 1. Record keeping; & 2. Formalizing my thoughts a. If I can't explain simply here, I shldn't engage To begin, my Rules of Engagement ( RoE ) to identify an upside of +3 to 1 Risk to Reward ( “R/R” ); in this case it may yield a 3.1- 3.94 R/R. • Asset | IEF ( iShares 7-20 Year US Gov’t Bond ) • Type |...
This chart is an inverted chart of the IEF/LQD ratio with a SPX (SP500) overlay line chart Not Inverted . This shows the corrrelation to easing conditions and the S&P500. This is what the FOMC is failing at fighting. With QT and rate hikes, this has only had pullbacks. Jawboning too.
Order BUY IEF NASDAQ.NMS Stop 94.67 LMT 94.67 will be automatically canceled at 20230401 01:00:00 EST IEF daily hammer wave 3 of wave 1 uptrend ABC correction is complete at the bottom of mean reversal channel
I will be buying bullish exposure to 7 and 10 year treasuries as a result of topping out inflation and the fed's aggressive actions to kerep it down.
A slide from today's research report, published to clients yesterday evening: Credit Spreads: US Treasuries (IEF ETF) vs Sub-Investment Grade Debt (JNK ETF): Credit spreads have remained subdued however traders should be monitoring the 1.08-1.09 level (pivot zone) for evidence of increased stress which may ultimately be reflected via further moves lower in the...
As you can see the inverted IEF/LQD is a great correlation to the SPX (SP500 market). Makes sense as the fed is failing to tighten financial conditions, actually LOOSENING them somehow. This not only sent equities racing up but also helped set up the conditions to invert the 10-2. The 10-3mo is close behind. Those are sending recession signals even if equities are...
Teamrvr . Com divergence IEF Vs LQD x x x x x x x x
CREDIT SPREADS: IEF vs JNK - In my view, one of the most important charts when considering your risk appetite for equities. Notes on chart.
IEF (7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF ) is hitting a monthly uptrend line which is very likely to cause a short term bounce. On almost all time frames, IEF looks oversold. We are long EIF. - HH
IEF on this ascending scallop has undergone many dumps along the scallops history This is just another one Added a falling wedge pattern for a little flare