we have now a big run. If the indices goes more down that is what i think (cause DAX 11800/500) than we see next week 165,00 at BUND but not more for me. So watch out till the market turn's into downtrend. At the next rollover at Sept.8th we see 161,00 or lower! Look at your plan and good luck to all.
Bund is trading quite slow, choppy and overlapping since September of last year which gives us an idea that a bigger Elliott Wave triangle correction within wave 4 consolidation is in the making. If that is the case, then more slow price action may follow on Bund and ideally afterwards make a new recovery into black wave 5 as part of a higher degree Elliott...
Nice pattern to find the entry in trend direction.
Nothing new. Just keep outright short positions, and your Fixed-Income portfolio hedged via Bund, Bobl and other bond futures short, or in some cases pro traders may consider paying IRS. This way you won't be shocked when the real bond selloff armegeddon happens. Or you will be shocked only by how much money you made :-)
The rally from the 07 July low has reached the bearish ABCD measured move objective at 162.67. This is also the 200 day MA and strong resistance. The topping pattern and bearish price action suggest a reversal here and downtrend resumption. The rally from 07 July looks like a bear flag and a break down has a target of 157.20
tweezer tops and bearish engulfing, missed this first time round and the tweezers on point 2, am going with the market here for a sell to break this bottem
Heikin-Ashi shows some loss of short term bearish momentum at the spot Kumo. Some consolidation, or pull back towards Kijun Sen is possible. Since Tenkan/Kijun is turning medium bearish, we have to look for sell signals in 163,30-163,70 zone.
The upmove after the correction has failed for me. Now look at the flag. Only if this break down is a sell, otherwise we must look for more uptrend. It's a bit tricky. Good luck.
Potentially big moves on Bund and T Notes after FOMC Here my take on Bund - On short scale Gartley is completing right now , my target in extension on building potential BAT pattern Short entry point at area of 165,5 , Target 150 Great RRR 7,5
Watch Heikin-Ashi signal here. It can be a nice swing sell soon. No more comment for now.
If the downwards sloping trend line is respected I'll wait to see if a bullish or bearish bias is generated and enter accordingly. At present when not at the charts I've got this short in from two key levels, however due to the UK general election risk is half and if price consolidates or moves slowly i'll take the order out accordingly.
We had the Manchester terror attack overnight and Indices seem to continue with their correction mode. This is basically risk-off mode in early Europe trade environment, BUND should gain a bit short-term. Long-term I see downwards traction, but I`ll provide a big picture chart for that later. Other alternatives in risk-off mode : GER30 ( DAX ) short EURUSD...
Heikin-Ashi buy signal from trend support. The ollapse will happen later this year, not now. You also have to watch out for June/Sept roll. Technically this will cause a spike in continous chart this time, as FGBLU7 is trading in premium to FGBLM7. I am out of all German bond shorts. Looking to re-sell higher.
Price could find new demand here, big players will seek protection in case of a " sell in May " correction
The run was good but now it's tricky. 164,00 is a good level for short, but if the dax goes down the BUND can go to 166,00! So we will see it next week i think. before contract change in june 8th, we see 166,00 and than short till 161,00/160,00. And for the longer time we have to look when this bubble burst. That's the biggest bubble we've ever seen. Look at the...
- Ichimoku setup has bearish bias, but for a confirmed strategic bearish Kumo breakout it has to fulfil one more criteria: a close below the last reaction low! - A lower low close would also break the 4 years long bullish trendline, which was touched during last few weeks. - Please note that this is the chart of the continous (non tradable) contract, which...
Euro-Bund starts to have more corrective moves. The last week Euro-Bund correction add some strength to Euro against most of currencies. If the price of Euro-Bund continue to fall, we may see more strength in the Euro. Euro-Bund is challenging a major support levels. A bigger drop or a massive correction of Euro-Bund, may even put pressure on ECB to revise the ...