Soft Landing?A lot of market participants are falling for the Fed's illusion that a soft landing has been achieved. However, the charts are still warning that a recession is coming.
The chart below shows the extreme degree of inversion between the 10-year Treasury bond and the 3-month Treasury bill. The current
About 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity
Economic Depression Ahead?We got some levels never seen in the last 40 years. Usually, the recessions start when the Yield Curve changes direction and comes back to positive territory. This time the numbers are huge and considering the National Debt Level...we could see an Economic Depression. Interest rates reduction withi
T10Y3MIf this chart doesn't show a recession i dont know what else does! Don't like to spread dooms but we must pay attention to this chart in order to manage our trades properly.
T10Y3M ALL TIME LOW RECESSION LEVELWe are still at an all-time low recession level.
Everybody should be cautious but keep on investing as every crisis gives good opportunities.
T10Y3M: Recession Still FarThis chart suggests that the coming recession will be anywhere from Q4 next year to Q4 2024 which is much later than what the 10 minus 2 year chart could be saying. There's also a possibility that the recent inversion is a false signal but unlike the 1998 fakeout, it went deeper and is much more lik
T10Y2Y Yield Inversion Briefly Occurred on Mar 29 and T10Y3M TBCHistorically, yield curve inversion had always predicated a future recession.
Normally, both FRED:T10Y2Y and T10Y3M require inversions and T10Y3M is yet to invert.
Historically, in the event both yield curves invert, the recession came in a delayed phase of 7-24 months from the curves invert
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