I am hearing and reading a lot of fluff about GDP numbers. Locking down an economy and then comparing it a year later to the lockdown will produce these kinds of numbers. but the numbers are misleading and silly to praise them if you understand what they mean. I can certainly understand a layman to cheer the numbers but I am seeing self-proclaimed "economic...
If you compare GDP to the amount of currency in existence, it has been falling for 2 decades! Remember, M2 is a fraction of the total money supply, therefore GDP has fallen by even more! Ironically, people fail to realize that Money Velocity, what they point to as causing "deflation", is a much better indicator of stagflation! It is likely that the exploding...
There are a few main indicators for how our economy is doing... in general the "GDP" is considered the "best economic indicator" as well as Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Housing and Labor Data. What else is helpful? I've found that "price oscillator" are very helpful for studying "data that always seems to be going up.. for example GDP or population data? A...
All series are on their own scale. This chart serves 1 purpose, to see change in the values relative to their own range, over time and thereby giving a visual way to see how they moved versus one another over time. The chart is broken down by presidential terms. This chart does not imply that any one president caused or did something, it's simply a good way to...
Clearly we are getting less and less and less GDP growth for every new $ printed. Yet they call it "Stimulus". While I am not against deficits, I am against excessive deficits that only manage to fuel asset price inflation . Zombie companies are not supposed to exist in any economic book. Yet they do and are supported by the FED. Bankrupt companies with cash flow...
This graph shows the relation GDP-SPX. We see that SPX and GPD are closely correlated. The higher the GDP growth, the higher the SPX growth. Credit/cash does not matter, as long as people live daily and buy. But according to TA we see that momentum proving a downward trend and stochastic shows we have been in the overbought for several decades. Stochastic shows...
The president of the Minneapolis City Council says the city’s Police Dept. will be dismantled and replaced with a “transformative new model of public safety.” They vote friday. Council members have also shown support for ANTIFA. "A tribune of the plebs assaulted on the steps of the Senate house! Can you imagine a more terrible sacrilege? Our beloved Republic is...
Corona will effect on it. Us will be effected by virus around 300000 cases
The Fed turning on the spigot of monetary policy may have started out an objective to jump start growth, but is the objective for accommodation still so virtuous? Here we have the effective funds rate (proxy for Fed support) versus US growth and the S&P 500 (speculative returns).
A delay of a Fed rate hike seems to be the market's immediate concern when it comes to risk trends. Yet, as global growth cools, the expectation readily escalates to expectations of more stimulus. Yet, more quantitative easing, is unlikely to provide the backing the system needs. Yields are already exceptionally low and the positive influence on growth following...