Introduction
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth is a crucial economic indicator that provides insight into the overall health and performance of a country's economy. As a comprehensive measure of a nation's economic activity, GDP growth reflects the value of all goods and services produced within a country over a specific period. In this article, we will...
Historical data can be hard to compare against modern ones.
The longer back an analyst goes, the better the results of their analysis.
100 years of yield rate analysis may seem enough...
5000 years of interest rates however is a whole new story.
Money has been as cheap as it has been for the past 5000 years. Incredible numbers...
Source: ...
Now, if M2SL increases and M2V... guess where #GDP will go?
But remember, when #Wages go up, #Yields go up, #PurchasingPower goes down, this fuels nominal GDP.
Rate of change for those three is same as late 1960 & 1970s.
#gold #crudeoil
VERY DIFFICULT CONCEPT TO UNDERSTAND.
Higher INFLATION = Higher RATES = Higher rate of change for GDP = Lower DEBT to GDP.
#inflation #gdp #gold #silver #yields #crudeoil
debt to gdp
BOTTOM as rates peak
A "back to the basics" analysis. Let's leave behind the stock markets and look at the slow and deep fundamentals of the worldwide economy.
Today I will attempt to make a simple analysis using GDP. This is the net profit of one country.
The miracle of China caught the West in the sleep.
It outperformed the largest economy of the world. And by incredible...
GDP to accelerate MUCH faster.
Yields to accelerate MUCH faster.
#gdp #gold #inflation #yields
paradigm shift breakout line
GDP's 5 year rate of change track 10 year yields
Hello friends.
Here is an interesting observation. When you adjust the United States GDP numbers by the United States M2 Money Supply (Supply of dollars), it turns out that it has been dropping substantially since 1997. This means that adjusted for the abuse of the dollar, US GDP has been falling for the past 26 years! It seems logical to make this kind of...
"Blue (color may be incorrect) line generates income to pay interest on red (color may be incorrect) line. See the problem? It's just math. #Weimar #FourthTurning #Gotgold" - Lawrence Lepard Oct. 15 2019 via twitter.
Money velocity after removing government expenditure is still correlated to inflation. It's not the current number, it's the rate of change. Recently, some on Twitter have stated low M2V means there is not a correlation between velocity and inflation; it's the rate of change.
IF you remove government expenditures from GDP, you get a more accurate GDP, and a better correlation to inflation. Notice how the highs line up well. This correlation also exists for money velocity and money supply.
#GDP is in SERIOUS trouble as it hasn't had previously this much difficulty out pacing inflation (momentum loss).
The under performance is historically SEVERE, more that the 1970's.
Previous 2 times GDP stalled like this, #spx went nowhere for thousands of days.
#gold
Yes, I believe so. The collapse of the Russian economy will hit Europe and Asia a lot harder than the United States. It's hard for the ECB's hawkishness to be taken seriously when Europe can't even get their hands on natural gas, oil or corn. The US is coming off the backs of very accommodative stimulus and Americans consumers are ready to spend. American...
If Hitler started an NGO to give money to poor Palestinians he'd have exterminated the jews with western donations.
If you take a 10 year old kid the cost for the west to produce a wageslave will be higher, maybe 40k, but it's still money saved, and they can start the brainwashing younger.
The west is losing their grip on Africa, things will change.
Migrants...
