I am hearing and reading a lot of fluff about GDP numbers. Locking down an economy and then comparing it a year later to the lockdown will produce these kinds of numbers. but the numbers are misleading and silly to praise them if you understand what they mean. I can certainly understand a layman to cheer the numbers but I am seeing self-proclaimed "economic...
If you compare GDP to the amount of currency in existence, it has been falling for 2 decades! Remember, M2 is a fraction of the total money supply, therefore GDP has fallen by even more! Ironically, people fail to realize that Money Velocity, what they point to as causing "deflation", is a much better indicator of stagflation! It is likely that the exploding...
All series are on their own scale. This chart serves 1 purpose, to see change in the values relative to their own range, over time and thereby giving a visual way to see how they moved versus one another over time. The chart is broken down by presidential terms. This chart does not imply that any one president caused or did something, it's simply a good way to...
Clearly we are getting less and less and less GDP growth for every new $ printed. Yet they call it "Stimulus". While I am not against deficits, I am against excessive deficits that only manage to fuel asset price inflation . Zombie companies are not supposed to exist in any economic book. Yet they do and are supported by the FED. Bankrupt companies with cash flow...
The president of the Minneapolis City Council says the city’s Police Dept. will be dismantled and replaced with a “transformative new model of public safety.” They vote friday. Council members have also shown support for ANTIFA. "A tribune of the plebs assaulted on the steps of the Senate house! Can you imagine a more terrible sacrilege? Our beloved Republic is...
Corona will effect on it. Us will be effected by virus around 300000 cases
The Fed turning on the spigot of monetary policy may have started out an objective to jump start growth, but is the objective for accommodation still so virtuous? Here we have the effective funds rate (proxy for Fed support) versus US growth and the S&P 500 (speculative returns).
A delay of a Fed rate hike seems to be the market's immediate concern when it comes to risk trends. Yet, as global growth cools, the expectation readily escalates to expectations of more stimulus. Yet, more quantitative easing, is unlikely to provide the backing the system needs. Yields are already exceptionally low and the positive influence on growth following...