AEX: only when MA50 breaks , the downturn be able to continueHi everyone, the bulls are still in control, the scenario of "sell in may" has not been manifested by the MA50 that managed to absorb 2x the decrease (see green arrows). On the other hand, the bulls no longer have any strength to push upwards, this can be seen from the horizontal resistance line in the RSI. So it is a sideways course that can take a while. I only expect further major declines if the MA50 can be broken in the daily chart. There is also a wedge showing an outbreak imminent. This indicates a further decline where it is important to break that MA50. Should the resistance line at the top be broken anyway, the open gap of around 548 can be closed and an eventual overshoot to 560. We have to wait for the outbreak before we can further determine the direction. In a sideways market it is difficult to trade with short positions, make sure that the stoploss is high enough for the longer term or wait for the MA50 to break before we can speak of a downward trend. Good luck traders! Follow this idea, I regularly post updates based on the hourly chart. Regards, TTby TA-VisionUpdated 448
AEX Bearish VersionLooking at the AEX i chart, this bearish pattern is quite easy to spot. At the previous two tops AEX printed: A high (yellow) Followed by a higher high with a drop to the low of the yellow zone (green) Followed by a retracement to around mid green zone and a big dump (red) Retest of support turned resistance (orange) with a final big dump afterwards. I’m not a big fan of Head and Shoulder patterns but this one is too obvious to ignore. The current pattern we’re in can be drawn in two ways. The one I have and one with the yellow circle as the left shoulder. So obviously this would mean a big drop would happen if this one plays out (I’m not convinced). The AEX is a capitalization-weighted-index with three companies having a total weight of 43,46%(!) of the total index: ASML Holding (semiconductors) Royal Dutch Shell (oil & gas) Unilever (personal products) It’s interesting to watch how these company go through the Corona pandemic. Why is this pattern useful? Invalidation is nearby . If we surpass the green zone it’s likely the ‘corona-low’ is already in and we go for new highs. This is just an idea.Shortby arnosv557
01/04/2020 #AEX shall close cap before it will continuing!01/04/2020 #AEX shall close cap before it will continuing!by XenoxCapitalUpdated 13
AEX: the bearmarket has begun!Today I am sharing my longer term vision for the worldwide stockmarket. However, since I am a Dutchie, I will use the AEX to show you what I think is coming. I will keep it brief: the crashwave from February and March this year has been the start of (at least) a 2-3 year bearmarket into 2022 I would say... How can I say this? 1. I have seven years experience in analysing and trading the market. I first lost a lot of money to learn the hard way, but later on learned complex technical tools that most do not want to hear about or don't know. Besides this, I found a signal system which gives golden trading opportunities for short term (day) trading. 2. I love time analysis and even more since 2018 when my understanding of cycles and how to calculate 'turn dates' improved A LOT! Since then I have made a lot of weird top and bottom calls which blew my mind everytime... 3. It is NOT NORMAL that a market crashes 38% from an all time high (looking at America, not the AEX). And all in 1 month... 4. We are living in the end time, biblical speaking. We are in the fourth cycle of the last 120th jubilee cycle. Read Leviticus 26 from verse 14 and on to see what I mean. We are seeing pestilence already (Covid-19), famine is following in a lot of countries already and it is estimated that millions of people will starve to death in the coming months and soon we will see the sword (war). YeHoVaH (the God of Abraham, Isaac, Jacob and my God) will make sure that everything will happen according to His will. He wants us to repent of our sins and turn to Him, our Father! He made this very clear by dieing for our sins (Yeshua = Jesus Christ) and come back to life again after three days! All that I am able to do now in the stockmarket, is not because I am good or a genius or whatever, because I am not. YHVH raises up who turns to Him! I am very grateful that He opened my eyes and ears just in time (May 2016)! 5. The FED/ECB/BOJ/whatever can do what they want, but it is not going to work. Everything is created by YeHoVaH and cycles will therefor do what they have to do. For me they are pointing down... Time is more important than price! 6. The move up since March 18 in the AEX and a little later in America, seems to be a bearmarket rally. 7. People have learned, in the last years, that the market will always go up. People don't know how to play a bearmarket when no man can push the market up as we have seen since 2009 (QE1, QE2, QE3 and whatever more the institutions of men tried to do)... The last real bearmarket was 2007 July - 2009 March. The perfect condition to make a lot of new and even 'experienced' people (who do not think for themselves) poor. Really sad... What to do? 1. In 2017 and 2018 I bought some silver Maple Leaf coins. Knowing some 'bad weather' would come. I still think that silver and gold can be a good investment, but the time will tell if these precious metals will go up when the market goes down big. However, in the end, it is better to have some rice to eat when there is famine than silver coins... 2. Play some big waves with out of the money options (50-100 AEX point) with 3-6 months time before expiry date. In a crash wave as we have seen, people that buy their options on time (before the volatility index gets to panic values (30+) will do good business. However, the AEX still has its volatility index (VAEX) still at around 30. Options are still pricy... 3. To not be stuck with options and big volatility values, a turbo/speeder/booster short, can be a way to play the 'big short'. Buy it and let it run its course... 4. Sell the house, I have been saying for years that I forsee a housemarket crash. Go live with the parents or rent something... 5. Take your pension funds and go sit on it or invest it yourself because the companies that are investing for you will waste it in the coming years if you ask me... To end this analysis: 1. What would be a good target to see at the big bottom in the future? I would say the March 2009 low will be realistic... Around 200 AEX that is. 2. Is there a possibility we will still make a new high? I am open to everything and only trade what I see, not what I think. Hard data (signals) are needed for me before I will open a position. The above scenario is my best guess at this moment. 3. Are we near a high before the next drop? I think so yes. Again, hard data and my turn dates will tell the story. Disclaimer: think for yourself, the above is my opinion and cannot be seen as investment advice. Shortby ImmanuelKoning446
Shell vs AEX: short of matching up.For what it's worth: Shell compared to AEX, using an indicator of my own devices. by MartinZeee2
NL25 EUR SELL (NETHERLANDS 25 INDEX - EURO)Hi there. Price is forming a continuation pattern to the downside. Watch strong price action at the current price for sell.by thunderpips18
AEX : Sell in May and go away ? Hi everyone, the gap of 06/03/20 was finally closed at 528 after which a large decline followed, see here the importance of the improving effect of this level on which large parties were trading. Can we now expect a further major drop? To get a better picture, I first discuss the day chart: after the sideways movement of the month of April, there was only an outbreak upwards in the last few days and this to close the gap, this outbreak does ensure that we are above the MA50 This could now provide support this is important to keep an eye on in the first week, the RSI must also go below 50 to drop further! On Monday it runs around 505. If it breaks, the next target is 482, an old support! Now the hour chart Here we saw a short signal again in the last hours of yesterday, it is important that it now remains below the MA50, I have made a slightly rising trend channel from the sideways movement which now coincides with 505, this is also the level of the MA50 in the daily graph as discussed earlier. See here the importance of this level. Support can still be found here! An overview : There is a short signal in the hour chart to 505 initially, below 505 (MA50) there is also a short signal in the day chart which will give a larger drop initially to 482. Follow this idea for updates! Good luck traders! regards TTShortby TA-VisionUpdated 131317
AEX looks the same as 2002In 2002 the AEX made a big drop to 380 points. After that point the AEX made a rally up to 528 points. Back to now, this year we als made a big drop to 390 points. 29 april we reached the 528 points. Yesterday we saw a big red candle, does this mean we have seen the top? If we look back at 2002 the answer is yes ;)Shortby maxosatodos1110
AEX: Shell is stamping it's feet.Despite all the gloom and doom, markets showing a surprising resilience. (Graphs are a multi timeframe approximation: "top/bottom", per day/week/month)by MartinZeee1
AEX : 528 pulls like a magnet Hi everyone, After a weeklong side bump, today a breakthrough to higher levels is visible again. The open gap since 6/03/20 has an attractive effect that I think should be closed for the longer term, this is what the market is now aiming for, the MA50 has managed to stop the declines for the time being, leaving a 2nd short signal . You can also see the parallel lines in the RSI with support and resistors, this shows the strength of the market and it is too big for the time being. A ride to 528 can be done, but pay attention at the top, space is limited! Regards , TTLongby TA-VisionUpdated 555
AEX Is Inside a Rising Wedge, After Struggling at the 0.500 Fib Let's look at the Dutch AEX index. The prices seem to not have recovered as much as the american stock markets, giving us more opportunity to trade with higher percentage gains. However, I am starting this one with my analysis on an upcoming short trade. I'm not a huge fan of this inverted fibonacci retracement, but saw it getting very popular on charts recently to model the big Corona drop. If we use this charting method, we do see the price struggled quite a bit to overcome the 0.5 fib level. After oscillating quite a bit in this rising wedge, we are reaching the point where the price will need to make a decision soon. A rising wedge is a bearish pattern, so I expect a bearish breakout after reaching still slightly higher. possibly around the 525 level. Follow me for consistent high quality updates, with clear explanations and charts. Please like this post to support me. - Trading Guru -------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer! This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! Shortby Trading-Guru3320
The final pullback? everything comes together...- Semi horizontal red line is from March 2009 - 50 Daily average - Convergence - Fib Retracements - Declining volume Very scary timesShortby svengijsen7
AEX Short sellers seem to be stacking up nicelyAEX Short sellers seem to be stacking up nicelyNShortby kapein116
AEX analysisUpmarket will continue for the short run in wedge. After that I suspect market wil continue to go further down. RSI and MACD indicators support this expectation.Educationby ypmajo1
Drawing all possible resistances and Supports in local areaDrawing all possible resistances and Supports in local areaNShortby kapein4
AEX trade setupshort incl. support and resistance levels. entry 510-500 target 1 - eye 1 target 2 - eye 2 target 3 - eye3 Stoploss 538.5Shortby Cornetto3
AEX - Where support turns into resistanceJust a simple chart. Let's see if we can get higher, or else: Survive.by x86dev229
AEXRSI going low.... Volume indicator is going lower... Do we see some red days this week on the AEX??Shortby Lars887704501
AEX: the balloon starts to tear ! Hi everyone The time has come, a first short signal in a long time, we have had to wait a long time. See in the graph that the MA50 (orange line) served as a support for the upward movement for a long time, has not been able to keep today. An upward trend line has also been broken, which reinforces the whole. Initially we focus on 482 then on to 455 these are support / resistance zones, eventually my longer term target is on a retest of 390 but we are not there yet, step by step again If there is still a small revival, the ascending earlier support line will now serve as resistance, here shorts can still be bought if one was late resistance: MA50 / MA20 505/513/530 support zone targets: 482/455/430/390 Good luck traders! I regularly update my ideas, so don't hesitate to follow. I also appreciate your opinions, thanks! Regards, TTShortby TA-VisionUpdated 141412