During the December FOMC conference, the fed said the appropriate level for interest rate or the fed funds rate will be 4.6% at the end of 2024 from current 5.5%, 3.6% at the end of 2025, and 2.9% at the end of 2026.
Many reporters take that as Fed’s hint to cut rate in 2024, but the Fed added saying these projections are not the committee decision or plan.
So...
The Core and Headline CPI Chart
This CPI chart illustrates the following:
- You can clearly see how Core CPI is less volatile than Headline CPI. Core CPI removes the volatile food and energy expenditures to provide a more general view of underlying inflation (based on a fixed basket of goods)
- It is clear that we are not at the Federal Reserves target of 2%...
US Inflation Rate YoY Comparison - ECONOMICS:USIRYY
Stark similarities to the beginning of the Great Inflationary Period (GIP) which ranged from 1965 - 1982.
The GIP fractal is not a prediction, it only offers us perspective and context. As an example, US Inflation YoY could potentially bounce around between 3 - 4% for another 32 months as it did between 1975...
US CPI
US Headline and Core CPI for October both came in lower than expected (decrease).
US Headline CPI:
YoY – Actual 3.24% / Exp. 3.3% / Prev. 3.7% (Green on cha
rt)
US Core CPI:
YoY – Actual 4.02% / Exp. 4.2% / Prev. 4.13% (Blue on chart)
The chart below illustrates the direction of the current YoY down trend for both Headline and Core CPI however...
US CPI
US Headline and Core CPI for October both came in lower than expected (decrease).
US Headline CPI:
YoY – Actual 3.24% / Exp. 3.3% / Prev. 3.7% (Green on chart)
US Core CPI:
YoY – Actual 4.02% / Exp. 4.2% / Prev. 4.13% (Blue on chart)
The chart below illustrates the direction of the current YoY down trend for both Headline and Core...
This is the US Inflation Rate (YoY) from 1914 until 2022.
Symbol is called USIRYY and it measures the Inflation Volatility in the United States.
With the War going on in Ukraine, and Russia trying to force its way through, I took the liberty of looking into the following:
- How Global Wars Affect Inflation
- How US Inflation Reacts to External Wars
- How Wars...
A rise in oil prices may cause the consumer price index (CIP) and Producer Price Index (PPI) higher.
Today US CPI climbed to 3.7% from 3.2% as Oil price continues to raise high since June 2023. Rising oil prices increase the cost of transporting goods and services, as a result the inflation raises high.
WTI CRUDE 88.73
BRENT CRUDE 92.09
...
Based on the last 120 year of DATA the inflation cycle had peaked . The mistake some will have that it is the beginning of ASSET DEFLATION CYCLE . SEE THE 1921 TIME TO WHICH I STATE we are in based on the 89 2010 4 and 2 year cycles and time spirals which called for a top in sp in sept and late dec 2021 which would see a major new BEAR...
US Inflation is on a momentary decline from 10 possibly down to 1 indicated by the red horizontal line. From 1, I believe it will then look to grab liquidity at 23. No telling how long these moves will take or if this actually plays out.
Today is the Consumer Price Index numbers release.
Consensus sits at 8% Inflation rate, while the previous month's number was at 8.2%.
Many are forecasting for a 8.1% CPI number coming out.
Feds have been expecting to bring inflation down via their instrument of interest rates by raising them at 4%, however, thus far, no success was found there for Feds in terms...
Us inflation is at multi year resistance.it shows inflation has already peaked. once it will start coming down markets will rally to the upside. Will markets makes new ath sooner or later ? Well who knows?? Ask yourself that question.
Will fed stop rising rates for now?
Very unlikely.
Will fed could consider lowering the basis points ?
Most likely.
Will fed do it...
Inflation rate has been precisely manipulated to stay inside this triangle pushing the problem forward to the 2040's to 2050's.
Important market corrections are dated for references. Look at the dates and compare with economic issues, inflation and market trading.
There is a very narrow window moving forward into 2024 to 2025. The chart shows after 2025 the...
Inflation will never stop no matter how much money you make.
Right now the cost of living avg is 50% too high for the current wages to keep supporting too much longer.
homelessness and families moving in together to survive is already happening.
The signs are out there for everyone to see and the government is playing with your lives.
When wages increase so does...
You haven't witnessed madness until you've seen MMT Mosler's post completely wrong, yet people continue to believe him.
That is crazy.
Never Mix your politics with economics. Especially if you are trading and investing.
Inflation has been rising aggressively since 2021. It accelerated from 2% to hit an all-time high of 9.1% in June 2022. As inflation rose, central banks like the Fed raised interest rates to control inflation . But this effort to control inflation, on one hand made money more expensive for the industries and on the other hand pushed consumers to reduce their...
