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Silver Futures (Jul 2016)Silver Futures (Jul 2016)Silver Futures (Jul 2016)

Silver Futures (Jul 2016)

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SIN2016 trade ideas

Silver Fails At Top of Range . . . Now what?Silver: Daily Fibs and Indicators: Silver has a bull fib objective that takes it to 28.86, a massive move. It held it's 61.8% line in October 23 and was on it's way until December 23 when it stopped at the high of it's daily range. We traded down early in the year, only to test that high again htis past week. And, we are selling off of it again. We can't trust gold to go higher if Silver doesn't make a new high here. Silver lost it's embedded reading of the past 4 days. Big test for silver is 24.21, the BB midpoint, and the bull fibs from lows. that 23.55 level was resistance and the fact that it's the 61.8% line and support could be very key to support here. IMO, that would be a good place be a buyer for silver.
COMEX:SI1!
by CeresTrader
Short Silver on COT Force PushThe markets are really all about finding patterns and taking advantage of such forcefully. With Silver, the commercial producers and bullion banks tend to exert the most amount of market influence upon its price. The reason is that Silver is primarily an industrial metal sensitive to economic demands and also due to the fact that unlike gold, it is primarily mined as a by-product through the mining of other metals such as copper, iron, aluminum, etc. If one can recognize the behavior of Silver once the commercial entities are starting to sell in larger then usual amounts, we can catch the downside action just as it starts to occur. In addition, the price action through the evident "force push" when the price is forced to a quick swing high and abruptly u-turned tends to signal that a price reversal is being confirmed. Today we have witnessed such event take place and we are now getting in position for an estimated $3+ decline in the price of silver in the coming weeks.
COMEX:SI1!Short
by kaotic363
The Break-Out We Are Waiting For? Silver has been trading within a wedge for about four years. As we approach the upper end of the resistance range, many traders are wondering if this can be the breakout that we have been waiting for. What is behind this move? There are a few potential catalysts that can explain the recent price action observed in March. Silver, similar to Gold, and BTC have seen a “decoupling” of fundamentals. Typically, all of these risk assets are very sensitive to the interest rate environment and macroeconomic momentum. Inflation in the U.S., as observed through CPI and PPI, has recently come in hotter than expected, interest rate cut expectations have been reduced, and the 10-year yield is higher. However, silver prices are also higher. This could be attributed to an “underpositioning” in commodities. Investment advisors and portfolio managers have begun to add commodities into portfolios, increasing the weighting of real assets. This could also be due to ETF inflows picking up for these metals in March. China smelters collectively came together and decided to cut production output of copper. Since silver and copper are both used in many industrial applications, this production cut in copper has also boosted silver prices. Despite recent increases in CPI and PPI, we have observed some softening in the labor market. The uptick in the Unemployment Rate, weaker Average Hourly Earnings, and the massive downward revision to Nonfarm payrolls may be aiding this rally, despite higher yields. Technicals: From a technical perspective, if silver can manage to break and close above 25.75, we could see a new bull cycle in the precious and industrial metal. Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
COMEX:SI1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
Silver 2 Year Wedge Breakout Looming?Silver is at a critical point in it's chart. With gold breaking to new highs, Silver has underperformed but has rallied alongside the yellow metal. Now we are at a critical stage that can see silver breakout of its flag and continue it's bull trend. The indicator that I love to look for longer-duration breakouts is the slow stochastics, specifically, when it becomes embedded or stuck on one side or the other side at the extremes. The last embedded nature for Silver on the daily chart occurred a year ago, late March 2023, that saw price on silver rise from 19.90 to 26.50. For three weeks, slow stochastic was embedded. We are at that point again with this rally. We are also at resistance from the wedge pattern. While I do think we can trade down in the early part of this week, I'm looking for support and a rally to kick us back into the overbought range and embed or "lock-in" price action. Gold has already embedded. I'm looking for silver to do the same and get us through the topside for a breakout.
COMEX:SI1!Long
by CeresTrader