Concerns over weather and the potential for climate anomalies have seen a bullish trend in wheat recently. However and as analysts are at pains to point out, fundamentals on the ground like ample supply are still bearish.
But now that wheat has broken through the 200MA in white and consolidated, it's possible that bullish sentiment may remain into the new week....
_wheat has a seasonal tendency to break highs may 7th to june 8
_high time frame p03 , with 3month , 1month agree to see higher prices
_looking for a retrace into equalibrium or OTE to take an entry, trading short term bursts long and following to targeted area
Although there was a rally later in the day in the S&P 500 which implies buyers moving the market higher going into the close. The overall structure for Friday implies caution if you are on the long side. It's important that the market does not return to Friday's Lows on Monday to maintain momentum for continuation to new highs.
In today's video I explain why am reconsidering my previous bullishness after I reconsidered the long term technical and fundamental resistance. Technical factors such as long term resistance and fundamental factors such as high supplies in Russia, topped with weak demand and questioning the narrative about the actual effects of the recent dryness concerns in the...
Rain forecasts in Russia have led to profit taking in wheat, but the question remains how bullish (as opposed to short covering) was this rally? If the price can keep its head above the 200MA, TA-wise longs may be worth accumulating.
While professional analysis points out that wheat's fundamentals in terms of oversupply are still very bearish, and thus an...
Wheat has been in a price normalization phase after the potential catastrophe of Russia's full scale invasion of its democratic neighbor. Since June 23, bulls have made several attempt to break and hold the daily 200MA, shown in green circles above. The first four attempts can be read as two sets of double tops. Even if this rally can't hold the 200, chances of...
Wheat is once again showing its bullish side and is taking the first upward step out of the sideways movement of recent weeks. In the further course, the price should now continue the blue wave (c) and complete the superordinate wave A in turquoise. Following this, we expect a sell-off. Within the framework of our alternative scenario, however, it remains 37%...
Wheat 2 years after topping out at the PCZ of a Bearish Shark that initiated a downtrend in 2022, has now come back to the top side of the range wheat traded in between the years of 2016 and 2020 before ultimately confirming the bottom at the PCZ of a Bullish Deep Gartley in 2019 and breaking free to the upside of the trading range in late 2020.
Now that wheat...
In this video I go over one of my favorite markets the Wheat market and its current conditions and it's developing stories from dryness in the Kansas City Area a major producer of HRW wheat to war torn Ukraine and potential disruptions there. And with a market that is very heavily shorted by large managed money speculators this leaves a market very vulnerable to...
Wheat
Technicals (May)
Wheat futures shot higher overnight but got stonewalled by what was previously trendline support (now resistance). A failure to close out above 550-555 keeps the Bear camp in control with a potential retest of the lows still in play. Further escalation in the Middle East could turn the tide back to Bullish.
Bias: Neutral/Bearish...
Wheat
Technicals (May)
May wheat futures broke lower yesterday, after struggling to maintian price action above trendline support in the previous two sessions. This has the Bear camp back in the driver’s seat as we officially enter the back half of the week. A close back above 550-555 would neutralize the recent bearish action.
Bias:...
Wheat
Technicals (May)
May wheat futures traded in a wide range yesterday, on both sides of unchanged. This morning, prices are attempting to firm as the market revisits our pivot pocket from 550-555. The Bulls will want to see consecutive closes back above this pocket to spur a move back towards the recent highs. A failure to do so could put the Bears in...
Wheat
Technicals (May)
May wheat futures are under some minor pressure to start the week and are flirting with our pivot pocket from 550-555. If the Bulls fail to defend this pocket on a closing basis, we could see additional pressure come into the market with the next downside target coming in from 537-540.
Bias: Neutral/Bullish
Resistance: 573 1/2-575, 595...
Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) wheat futures declined for a second straight session on Tuesday after the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) rated the winter crop at its highest early spring level in five years.
-The market was also pressured by crop-boosting rains forecast for the southern U.S. Plains wheat belt and by limited U.S. export demand due to cheaper...
Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) wheat futures rebounded on Wednesday after two sessions of losses as technical buying and short covering lifted the market.
CBOT May soft red winter wheat ended 10-3/4 cents higher at $5.56 a bushel. The benchmark contract fell to a one-week low early in the session but found technical chart support at its 20-day moving...
Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) wheat futures fell on Monday as traders expected the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) to report the strongest winter crop ratings in eight years in a weekly report due for release later in the day.
Wheat futures were also pressured by large global stocks and limited U.S. export demand as rival suppliers are offering their...
