Bonds - Bearish - 3rd Week of April Looking for Bonds to complete MMSM, perfectly correlated with yields & dxy completing their corresponding MMBM.
Contract highlights
Bearish Quarterly Shift on Bonds Possibly Invalidated I thought a possible bearish retracement for this quarter could be possible but bonds seems to be bullish. Bearish price action looks like runs on stops. Will continue to watch. As of now, I switch to neutral. My longer term mmbm idea seems to be playing out a lot more aggressively than I expected.
Bonds - Possible Bearish Quarterly ShiftBonds is continuously breaking daily lows. Would like to see a body close market structure shift lower for a clear sign of bearish shift.
5 Year T-Notes Long Idea Long on Donchian 4 week break out rules for a major change in trend. Lets see where this gets us.
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ZF (and bonds in general) carnageThe expected turnaround did not happened, and the 61.8 Fibo is now a resistance.
T-Notes 4 week breakoutThis is reference chart for my recent trade idea to explain why I am going long T-Notes Futures.
5 Year T-Note Futures 1 tick = 0.0078125
Tick Value = $7.8125
What I call 1 point is 4 ticks or 0.03125 ($31.25)
Bought at 112'09'2 Stop 112'07'0
ZF - looks like a bottomFive year notes show clear divergence against momentum indicators, bottom might be in place.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Buying or selling futures contracts depends on many factors: season, underlying commodity, your own trading strategy. So mostly it's up to you, but if you look for some certain calculations to take into account, you can study technical analysis for 5-Year T-Note Futures (Sep 2024). Today its technical rating is sell, but remember that market conditions change all the time, so it's always crucial to do your own research. See more of 5-Year T-Note Futures (Sep 2024) technicals for a more comprehensive analysis.
The current price of 5-Year T-Note Futures (Sep 2024) is 105'05'7 USD — it has risen 0.09% in the past 24 hours.
The volume of 5-Year T-Note Futures (Sep 2024) is 177.00.
The nearest expiration date for 5-Year T-Note Futures (Sep 2024) is Sep 30, 2024.
Traders prefer to sell futures contracts when they've already made money on the investment, but still have plenty of time left before the expiration date. Thus, many consider it a good option to sell 5-Year T-Note Futures (Sep 2024) before Sep 30, 2024.
Open interest is the number of contracts held by traders in active positions — they're not closed or expired. For 5-Year T-Note Futures (Sep 2024) this number is 9.10 K. You can use it to track a prevailing market trend and adjust your own strategy: declining open interest for 5-Year T-Note Futures (Sep 2024) shows that traders are closing their positions, which means a weakening trend.