When the Vix trades its supports, it rallies and the Indices decline. They never make it to Full Resistance. Never. ____________________________________________________________ The ARB is to use the PCC over 1.28 to 1,35 for countertrend squeeze. A trader who continues to project a bottom... persists in being incorrect. Bottom Callers have been chumps time...
A Pullback to the support zone, 26.00 should be observed for a reaction. The 2022 50% is the Key Over/Under. Consolidation PB is underway ahead of EPS. 26.00 is the PO 31.20 is the extension on reversal and back to the larger trend.
Watching Vix to see if it holds the line and or bounces if not back to 16 we go Playing Spxl and or HUV
Disappointing the VIX was unable to break up and out on a surrender move for the Indices. Lower Price Objectives will continue over time for the near term with minor retracements. VVIX is showing a PO @ 103s. The VX Curve is attempting to flatten somewhat. with the Indicies approaching extreme overbought readings - VX could pick up Short Term.
By the Numbers - VIX indicates a potential Index Pullback approaching either Today or tomorrow. IT is currently sitting on 2022 Support. Protection is absent across the Equity Complex, an ominous sign once again.
Option squeeze on Delta for Puts. Selling the Futures against the VOX Pullback to PO. New Lower Lows ahead.
the upside in short term vix futures remains muted as limitations on how far out broader market shorts in the money puts are due to backwardation in front month contracts. this is leading to derivatives like UVXY to probably continue to sell off of overbought. we could find ourselves back in the low 14s UVXY if we see 22 vix again which should be soon. if we go...
Much better to panic early than late. The VX1-VX2 spread helps you define when market participants are starting to panic. The backwardation / reversal is a sign that market participants are starting to panic. In this sense we can use it as a risk mitigation tool, including the distributions of returns for the stock market and the volatility when futures are in...
Simply observe VVIX or Vol of Vol. VXG is being Rolled Early, see Volumes. Anticipate the usual Gamm to Delta Trade into LAter Settlement. _____________________________________ Keep it simple.
Given the VX Complex has asserted a Positive Weekly Trend for the First time since the Roswell Crash (4/5 LT Structure) - the ST Structure indicates more to come for IT 4/5. ________________________________________________________________ % Contango M1 @ 3.66% M2 @ 1.74% M3 @ 0.78% M4 @ 0.12% M5 @ 1.51% M6 @ -0.38% M7 @ ...
That TRend is Higher into March. How it unfolds, is a matter of interest to everyone with Skin in the Game at the Flamingo. Given VX Crush Friday is here, we see how the day unfolds. ______________________________________________________ It is usually after the EU Session closes the VX COmplex assault begins and accelerates into the Close. Yields will wreck...
VX will lead the ES around the balance of the Week. It will be the Key to the 4510 Break for the ES. Simple.
The Volatility Complex has been on a Wild Ride filling overhead Gaps and remaining in Trend. Super Bubbles taking time out - provide immense Lift for the VX Complex when the Operators take their foot off its throat, which they did to counter Super Leap Week whereby everything was put on Sale. Or You could always watch your neck of the...
The Buy Setup Bud for the VIX on a Friday is an interesting one. VXG has defended its Bid. It is wedging out. Support appears to lead to a Break above with the PO @ 36.65. this would put the ES down around 4070ish. Ouch. It's Eff You Friday...
Settlement for VIX today. VXF moves to CC VXG. VIV Index 22.79 VXF Settle 22.625 VXG Settle 24.475 185 Ticks of Roll Yield.
The VIX is inside its Intea-Day Uptrend. The ES is inside ita Intra-Day downtrend. ___________________________________ Countertrends will move price to the VIX squeeze providing a Lower Low for the Indies. 8 AM Bond Open will provide some clues. Vix Support is 19.70 4645.25 and 4638.75 remains the Micro Support for the ES. 4691.74 remains overhead MIcro...
The VIX Guy, 50 Cents isn't present. Implied VX is SKY HIGH. __________________________________ The Illusion continues to Live. A great many are going to pay the Price for being dead-ass wrong. __________________________________ I'm going to be as Subjective as the mood suits today. QE Breeds Instability Conditions under QE - the substantive change may...