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BTCUSD trade ideas

BTCUSD：Ascending Wedge Trend and StrategiesI. Trends and Patterns From the 4 - hour chart, BTCUSD has shown complex volatility characteristics recently: 1.Consolidation phase: The price oscillated within a narrow range in the early stage, forming a rectangular consolidation pattern. The forces of bulls and bears were relatively balanced, and there was a strong wait - and - see sentiment in the market. 2.Breakout and current pattern: After breaking through the consolidation range, the price moved upward, indicating that the bulls were dominant in the short term. However, it has now entered an ascending wedge pattern - which is a common reversal signal in technical analysis. - Pattern characteristics: Although the price has been making short - term new highs, the upward slope has gradually flattened, suggesting that the bullish momentum is fading and the bearish momentum is gradually accumulating. Be vigilant against the risk of trend reversal. II. Key Support and Resistance Levels S1: $93,000. It is near the lower trend line of the ascending wedge and also a previous pullback low. If the price drops, this could form a strong support. If it is broken, it may open up a downward space, and we need to be vigilant against trend reversal. S2: $91,500. It is the upper edge of the previous consolidation range. If the price drops significantly, this may form a secondary support to slow down the decline. R1: $96,000. It is near the upper trend line of the ascending wedge. The price has tested it several times without a valid breakthrough, indicating strong selling pressure here and a significant short - term suppression effect. R2: $98,000. It is a higher - level resistance target. If the price breaks through $96,000 strongly and holds above it, it may further rise to this level. III. Trading Strategy Recommendations 1.Bullish strategy: - Entry conditions: The price finds support near $93,000 (such as the appearance of bullish candlestick patterns like hammer candlesticks), and does not break below this level. - Target price: $96,000 (testing the upper wedge), and if broken, look towards $97,500. - Stop - loss setting: Break below $92,500 (below the lower edge of the support level). 2.Bearish strategy: - Entry conditions: The price effectively breaks below the support level of $93,000 (such as closing below it for two consecutive candlesticks), or encounters resistance and falls back near $96,000 (the appearance of bearish patterns like shooting star candlesticks). - Target price: $91,500 (the upper edge of the previous consolidation), and if it further drops, it can look towards $86,000. - Stop - loss setting: Break above $96,500 (above the upper wedge). 3.Risk warnings: - The reversal signal of the ascending wedge needs to be verified with trading volume (for example, if there is a significant increase in volume during the breakout, the signal is more reliable). - Pay close attention to fundamental factors such as the expected Fed policy and regulatory dynamics of cryptocurrencies. Be vigilant against breakout movements triggered by unexpected news. IV. Conclusion Currently, BTCUSD is in a critical observation period of the ascending wedge. Technical analysis shows that the bullish momentum is waning, and it faces a directional choice in the short term. Aggressive traders can lightly test the waters near support/resistance levels, while conservative traders are advised to wait for clear breakout signals (such as a volume - based breakout of the upper wedge or an effective breakdown of the lower wedge) before entering the market. At the same time, strictly control positions and stop - losses to avoid volatility risks before the pattern is confirmed.
B
by H_C_12
BTCUSD：Ascending Wedge Trend and StrategiesI. Trends and Patterns From the 4 - hour chart, BTCUSD has shown complex volatility characteristics recently: 1.Consolidation phase: The price oscillated within a narrow range in the early stage, forming a rectangular consolidation pattern. The forces of bulls and bears were relatively balanced, and there was a strong wait - and - see sentiment in the market. 2.Breakout and current pattern: After breaking through the consolidation range, the price moved upward, indicating that the bulls were dominant in the short term. However, it has now entered an ascending wedge pattern - which is a common reversal signal in technical analysis. - Pattern characteristics: Although the price has been making short - term new highs, the upward slope has gradually flattened, suggesting that the bullish momentum is fading and the bearish momentum is gradually accumulating. Be vigilant against the risk of trend reversal. II. Key Support and Resistance Levels S1 : $93,000. It is near the lower trend line of the ascending wedge and also a previous pullback low. If the price drops, this could form a strong support. If it is broken, it may open up a downward space, and we need to be vigilant against trend reversal. S2 : $91,500. It is the upper edge of the previous consolidation range. If the price drops significantly, this may form a secondary support to slow down the decline. R1 : $96,000. It is near the upper trend line of the ascending wedge. The price has tested it several times without a valid breakthrough, indicating strong selling pressure here and a significant short - term suppression effect. R2 : $98,000. It is a higher - level resistance target. If the price breaks through $96,000 strongly and holds above it, it may further rise to this level. III. Trading Strategy Recommendations 1.Bullish strategy: - Entry conditions: The price finds support near $93,000 (such as the appearance of bullish candlestick patterns like hammer candlesticks), and does not break below this level. - Target price: $96,000 (testing the upper wedge), and if broken, look towards $97,500. - Stop - loss setting: Break below $92,500 (below the lower edge of the support level). 2.Bearish strategy: - Entry conditions: The price effectively breaks below the support level of $93,000 (such as closing below it for two consecutive candlesticks), or encounters resistance and falls back near $96,000 (the appearance of bearish patterns like shooting star candlesticks). - Target price: $91,500 (the upper edge of the previous consolidation), and if it further drops, it can look towards $86,000. - Stop - loss setting: Break above $96,500 (above the upper wedge). 3.Risk warnings: - The reversal signal of the ascending wedge needs to be verified with trading volume (for example, if there is a significant increase in volume during the breakout, the signal is more reliable). - Pay close attention to fundamental factors such as the expected Fed policy and regulatory dynamics of cryptocurrencies. Be vigilant against breakout movements triggered by unexpected news. IV. Conclusion Currently, BTCUSD is in a critical observation period of the ascending wedge. Technical analysis shows that the bullish momentum is waning, and it faces a directional choice in the short term. Aggressive traders can lightly test the waters near support/resistance levels, while conservative traders are advised to wait for clear breakout signals (such as a volume - based breakout of the upper wedge or an effective breakdown of the lower wedge) before entering the market. At the same time, strictly control positions and stop - losses to avoid volatility risks before the pattern is confirmed.
B
by H_C_12
1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-28 : Inside Breakaway In TRENDToday's Inside Breakaway pattern in Trend mode suggests the SPY will attempt to break away from Friday's body range. The Weekly Bias turned to BULLISH last week. I believe today's price move will be indicative of the rest of the week. We are moving into a very strong Major CRUSH pattern on Friday and I believe that pattern will be a big breakdown move in price. Thus, I believe the early trading this week (today and tomorrow) will set the tone for the rest of the week. If we see a rotation in price near the 550 level (to the downside) then my May Low pattern will likely transition into a price breakdown this week. If we see more upside price action on Monday/Tuesday, then I would be very cautious of the end of this week as a sudden price breakdown may happen. Gold and Silver will likely stay very muted for the next two trading days. The Canadian Elections will likely cause the US to briefly pause as one of our closest neighbors and trading partners moves through this pivotal election. Bitcoin will also likely pause a bit in early trading this week and BTCUSD moves up to the $95-96k upper resistance area. I suggest traders take advantage of this pause in price action to HEDGE their open positions. I believe the bigger move is still to the downside, but I also believe the markets could continue to push a bit higher before ROLLING into that May 2-5 Major Bottom. At this point, near the 50% Fib retracement level, the markets could break in either direction. But I still believe the May 2-5 Major Bottom will play out as a unique lower low price level - below $525-530 on the SPY. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BShort
by BradMatheny
8
Solvery IG Predicts Bitcoin to Reach $105,000 by May 10, 2025The cryptocurrency market continues to surprise even the most seasoned investors. Against this backdrop, the analytical firm Solvery IG has released an ambitious forecast: according to their calculations, Bitcoin's price could reach $105,000 by May 10, 2025. Factors Supporting Bitcoin's Growth In recent months, the market has shown strong positive momentum. Several key factors have contributed to this trend: Institutional Investments: Major banks, funds, and corporations are increasingly incorporating Bitcoin into their portfolios as a hedge against risks. Macroeconomic Instability: Inflationary pressures and weakening fiat currencies are driving investors to seek alternative assets. According to Solvery IG experts, it is the combination of these factors that creates a "perfect storm" for the continued growth of the leading cryptocurrency. Analysis and Potential Risks Despite the optimistic forecast, potential threats should not be overlooked. The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile. Possible tightening of regulations in the U.S. and Europe, as well as sudden shifts in Federal Reserve policies, could exert downward pressure on the market. Nevertheless, Solvery IG highlights a crucial technical point: according to their data, Bitcoin has successfully held above key support levels between $60,000 and $65,000. This indicates strong buyer sentiment and supports expectations for a continued upward trend. The impact of the halving event, which occurred in April 2024, should also be taken into account. Historically, Bitcoin has shown significant growth 12–18 months following a halving, and the current market behavior aligns closely with these cyclical patterns. What This Means for Investors If Solvery IG’s forecast comes true, Bitcoin would achieve more than a 50% increase compared to current levels. This presents significant opportunities for long-term investors. However, experts advise exercising caution, diversifying risks, and avoiding allocating all funds to a single asset. Cryptocurrencies remain high-risk instruments, and successful investing requires a deep understanding of the market and a realistic assessment of all potential scenarios. Conclusion Solvery IG’s prediction of Bitcoin reaching $105,000 by May 10, 2025, sounds promising, especially given the positive momentum in recent months. However, investors should always remember: high returns come with high risks.
BEducation
by HCN-News12
BTC Likely to Correct – New Moon EffectThere is a strong potential for Bitcoin to undergo a correction first, with a high probability of forming a swing high. This is indicated by decreasing volume and the appearance of ranging doji candles. If today’s daily candle closes below 93,900, it will serve as a confirmation of the swing high formation. Downside Targets: Target 1: 92,000 Target 2: 88,000 Target 3: 86,000 Additionally, there is a potential for the decline to halt around May 12th, which may mark the beginning of a reversal.
CShort
by Rich_From_Home
"BTC Just Triggered ChoCh! Are You Ready For The Next Big Play?"⚡ BTCUSD Analysis - 15M Timeframe | April 28, 2025 📈 What's Happening: BTC hunted liquidity above the previous highs (notice those $$$ grabs 🔥). A sharp sell-off followed = Clear ChoCh (Change of Character) printed. Price is now marching back into the Fair Value Gap sitting right inside the Premium Zone. 🚨 Critical Levels Highlighted: Strong High = Ultimate invalidation for bears if price closes above. Fair Value Gap (FVG) = First supply area. Order Block (OB) = Deeper, higher probability short zone. 🧠 Key Observations: Smart Money grabbed liquidity to trap breakout buyers. Now price retraces into the imbalance = prime sniper setup. 🎯 2-SCENARIO PLAN: Plan A — Short Setup (Main Bias): ✅ Wait for rejection signs inside FVG or OB. ✅ Trigger short entries only after bearish structure forms (M5 or M1 timeframe). ✅ TP1 = Previous minor low. TP2 = Weak Low (~92,800 zone). ✅ SL = Above Strong High (~95,400). Plan B — Breaker Play (Alternative): ✅ If price smashes through OB + Strong High with strength, flip bias. ✅ Look for bullish Breaker structure (retest + continuation). ✅ Target fresh liquidity zones above. 📊 Risk Management Tip: "React to confirmation, not prediction. Let price prove itself before you jump." 🧘‍♂️ Summary: ✅ Liquidity swept ✅ ChoCh confirmed ✅ Premium Zone retest incoming ✅ High Risk-Reward opportunity forming 🔥 This is where patience = profits. ➡️ Mark this setup, and let's trade like Smart Money, not like retailers. ➡️ Comment "PATIENT SNIPER" if you’re waiting for the perfect trigger!
CShort
by ChartNinjas88
Bitcoin (BTC): Zone Broken | Bollinger Bands Expanded | Fakeout?Bitcoin has recently broken the major neckline zone, which was supposed to be a zone of ideal shorting position, but buyers overtook that area. What we are seeing is a possible momentum catch that can happen, which means we might expand to upper zones further and further but at one point price will have a sharp fall, which usually happens when the Bollinger Bands' upper side is being tested so many times. Ideally, we need to see a form of fakeout happen near current zones which then would give us a good move to lower zones but as of now, we are not seeing any signs of weakness so we wait for it and meanwhile, we look for Break of Structures to form and keep an eye on Bollinger Bands at the same time. Swallow Academy
BLong
by SwallowAcademy
BTC Potential Breakout, Daily DivergenceBTC on the daily has the opportunity to expand way upwards over the next month - a divergence on the daily evidently takes longer to play out but RSI could easily reach 80 off the back of the structure. I have been shorting, confidently, for a good few weeks now, with longs in between, but I'm starting to feel like I should flip long. Solana is also trying to reclaim the daily/weekly range - things to think about for sure. Good luck out there!
CLong
by hokblake
1
Bitcoin: Will Bitcoin reach $100,000?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin's upward movement towards the supply zone will provide us with its next selling position with an appropriate reward to risk. In case of Bitcoin's downward movement towards the specified demand zone, we can look for its next buying positions. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. During the recent trading week, from April 21 to April 25, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded over $3 billion in capital inflows. This figure marks the second-largest weekly inflow in the history of these ETFs, following the $3.4 billion inflow recorded in November 2024. Thanks to this momentum, Bitcoin managed to climb above the $95,000 mark for the first time since February. Data reveals a notable increase in market participants’ optimism, with bullish posts on social media reaching their highest level since the night of Trump’s election victory on November 5, 2024. More than 7,000 Bitcoins, worth over $500 million, were withdrawn from the Coinbase exchange. This trend could signal institutional accumulation and reflect a strongly bullish sentiment in the market. During the 2018 trade tariff war, Bitcoin experienced a sharp 84.5% collapse, plunging from around $19,400 in December 2017 to approximately $3,000 by December 2018. This price decline coincided with intensifying global trade tensions. However, Bitcoin’s price later rebounded following the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts and an improvement in liquidity conditions. The attached price chart clearly illustrates Bitcoin’s steep decline between December 2017 and December 2018. According to data released in March 2025, major global corporations have significantly strengthened their presence in the digital asset market. At the top of the list stands MicroStrategy, holding over 500,000 BTC — far surpassing other companies. Following MicroStrategy, companies such as Marathon, Galaxy Digital, Tesla, Coinbase Global, Hut 8 Mining, Riot Platforms, Block, CleanSpark, and Metaplanet respectively hold the largest Bitcoin reserves. This group of key players from technology, mining, and financial services sectors view Bitcoin as a critical part of their long-term strategies.Moreover, between April 7 and April 13, MicroStrategy purchased 3,459 Bitcoins at an average price of $82,618 per coin, totaling $285.8 million.
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by Ali_PSND
Trade Plan for BTC/USD (30-Minute Timeframe)Market Context: Price is currently in a downtrend, heading toward a strong demand zone. There is a major supply zone above where selling pressure previously pushed the price down. Entry Plan: 🔵 Buy Entry: Wait for price to tap into the Demand Zone (around 93,000–93,400 USD). Look for bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, strong rejection wick, or structure break on lower timeframes like 5-min). Enter a buy trade once confirmation appears. 🔴 Sell Entry: If price reaches the Supply Zone (around 95,400–95,800 USD), wait for bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejection candles). Consider selling if bearish signs are strong. Stop Loss: ✅ For Buy Trade: Below the Demand Zone (~92,800 USD), giving enough room for volatility. ✅ For Sell Trade: Above the Supply Zone (~95,900 USD). Take Profit Targets: 🎯 Buy Trade TP: First Target: Previous minor resistance (~94,600 USD) Final Target: Supply Zone (~95,400–95,800 USD) 🎯 Sell Trade TP: First Target: Minor support (~94,600 USD) Final Target: Back to Demand Zone (~93,400 USD) Risk Management: Risk only 1–2% of your trading account per trade. Adjust position size according to stop loss distance. Maintain Risk-Reward Ratio of at least 1:2 or better. Important Reminder: Always wait for clear confirmation signals before entering. Avoid forcing trades. Manage emotions and stick to your plan!
BLong
by GoldTradeandAnalysis
1
BITCOIN's Trump effect: The 2025 PARABOLIC FINALE is coming!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has completed 3 straight green 1W candles, making an impressive start into Q2 2025. But is it a coincidence or systemic behavior of technical trends? It certainly is no coincidence the structure that the market has with Trump under President. Q1 has been undoubtedly disastrous due to the Trade War fueled by back and forth tariffs. But this is a pattern we've seen before and more specifically in Trump's 1st Term during Q1 2017. As you can see, BTC was again under heavy volatility during Trump's 1st Term Q1, even though the correction wasn't as hard initially. What's more interesting however, is that in both Terms, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY, blue trend-line) topped in Q1 and started collapsing. In 2017 that was the catalyst that fueled BTC's insane Parabolic Rally for the rest of the year. Can the current Dollar collapse kick-start a rally for the rest of 2025? If the Trade War stabilizes, it certainly looks so. It is no coincidence that in 2017 Trump came out storming that the Dollar was too high just like he states now that the Interest Rates are too high, pressuring the Fed to cut. So what do you think? Is the rest of 2025 destined to be as strong as 2017? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CLong
by TradingShot
10
(BTC/USD)1H Chart Analysis –Bullish Breakout Setup Toward 98,000Technical Breakdown: 🔹 EMA 9 📉 Orange line (EMA 9 close): $93,233.68 ➡️ Price is above EMA, showing bullish strength. 📦 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally) 🔵 Zone: ~$92,000 - $93,000 🛡️ Acts as a support area — price could bounce here if it dips. 🚧 Resistance Zone 📍 Just above current price 📈 A breakout above this zone may trigger a bullish run. 🎯 Target Point: $98,000 🚀 Potential gain: +7.09% 📊 Strong upside target if breakout holds. 🛑 Stop Loss: $90,314.13 ⚠️ Placed just below the RBR zone to minimize risk. Trade Idea Summary: 🔽 Entry: On breakout above resistance 🎯 Target: $98,000 🛑 Stop Loss: $90,314.13 📈 R:R Ratio looks favorable
CLong
by Jameshead007
8
btc . wOpen . SHORT weakwOpen with a run down to current range volume profile LOW + minor SFP low (liquidity grab) - Stop out LONGS - Catch late retail SHORTS - squeeze them to top range + higher the friday SHORT was good, but didn't catch momentum looking to move TP1 to cW 0.5 retrace level @ 93.809 i see this pump higher . though cautios, because these levels are late LONG entries only looking for LONGS around 93.777 - 92.782 tp1 . 95.843 tp2 . 99.490 if we see a down momentum shift, act accordingly - i believe this to come towards wednesday
BLong
by Dartagnones
1
97K and 88KMorning folks, So picture almost has not changed since our last talk. Now we get great setup on monthly chart with upside potential starting from 110K and up to 127K. And our task now is to join this coming action. It would be great to get a pullback, but the shape of intraday market has changed slightly and it seems that BTC is forming 3-Drive "Sell" with target around 97K. Hopefully this pattern will trigger the pullback that we need. If it happens, then the next area that we will be watching is around 88-90K, which is nice support area . That's being said, our strategy for now is action to ~97-97.3K first and pullback to 88-90K second. I mark this update as "bullish" due to our first point, but you've got the idea.
CLong
by Sive-Morten
1