This week the TLT long-term US Treasury bond ETF bounced from a key support level. Meanwhile, the three-month rate of change on core PCE—the Fed's preferred inflation measure—dropped to 2.2%, near the Fed's 2% target. With a looming government shutdown, we're also seeing the first serious Congressional effort to impose fiscal discipline in a long time. Any...
We have seen how the interest rates increase has been affecting people with mortgages but in the equity/bond market, it also reflect a similar picture. When interest rates go up, the bond prices fall. And you can see from chart, it has fallen close to 50% from the peak of 180 to 92 before it recovers recently to 106. Now, if you believe my predictions that FED...
Same analysis as ZROZ same pattern possibly forming which again coincide roughly with fed decision timetable. Cup and handle formation. Could see and initial finalizing of the handle which would take us 7% by April. Could see that giving us a bull run to end of May for a 20% total gain... This is not financial advice... it's crystal ball territory. For an...
TLT (The 20-Year US Treasury Bond ETF) has recently completed the measured move of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Breakdown and has now confirmed a Piercing Line on the 3-Month Chart while closing above the 0.886 Retrace. We can also see that the RSI has begun to break out of its downtrend and these combinations of variables seem to point towards the TLT reversing...
TLT in a fantastic zone here, with TD9 timing next week. Either bottoms here or one more low (even better RR)
... for a 1.10 credit. Comments: Although I have a long-dated covered call on in TLT, starting to ladder out some short put at intervals that would result in an improvement of my cost basis in the covered call were I to be assigned shares. Targeting the strike that's paying around 1% of the strike price in credit.
can keep sl at 78 , inspired by a chart post I saw somewhere I love these the of set ups , catch a falling knife and put in in your socket and save it for a rainy day
We made good money shorting NASDAQ:TLT into the summer down to the initial target I had of $88. Then we flipped long again and I exited my longs earlier this month on Dec 7th. Now, as you can see from the first chart , we've come up against resistance and I think it's time to flip short again to retest the lows. How low we go is TBD, but I think this move...
NASDAQ:TLT remains in a strong bearish trend. After breaking through the 93 zone, the bond price rose. It has not been able to break the first resistance found in the 103.70 zone, and it has another more important resistance in the 110 level. At the moment I am not going to buy long-term american bonds, and I am still invested in monetary asset investment...
Some weeks ago TLT was trading within a Falling Wedge and Double Bottoming at the 0.382 with Bullish Divergence on the Hourly Timeframe and from there rallied to hit its 0.618 Profit Target. Since then, it has come back down just below the level it started at but in doing so has yet again formed Bullish Divergence near the 0.382, this time on higher timeframes. If...
... for a 1.08 credit. Comments: Targeting the 52-week low here with a rung out in September (I've already got rungs on in April, May, June, etc.), which I think is unlikely to be touched in light of talk about the Fed cutting rates ... at some point in time. Naturally, if I'm wrong, I'm also fine with picking up shares at a cost basis below the covered call...
TLT is ready for upside momentum once the Fed fund rates are expected to drop rates starting in 2nd Quarter of the year. S&P 500 is expected to take a down turn once the Fed pivot is triggered
TLT is here on a 15-minute chart. Price action is orderly and somewhat related to treasury yield fluctuations and the value of the existing securities adjusting from those fluctuations. There is adequate volatility. A straddle options strategy can be employed. Positions can be taken in both directions. Depending on price action, one leg will rise and the...
TLT on the 15 minute chart in the past two trading sessions consolidated and then fell into a pullback to the support of the anchored mean VWAP. Relative volatility spiked and has now contracted. I see this as a good entry to add to my TLT position having sold a good portion of it three trading days ago when price showed topping wicks outside the fibonacci...
... for a .98 credit. Comments: Targeting the strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit, adding to my position at intervals, assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on.
Symbol TLT Open Date 11/8/2023 Put or Call Call Expiry Date 12/22/2023 Short Strike 95 Long Strike 97 Price to Open 0.24 Min Width Multiple 4 Risk Ratio 7.33 Return on Risk 13.6% Opening DTE 44 1 Day ROI% 0.31% Max Annual ROI % 113.1% TLT sold yesterday early afternoon as it tested +1 sig on the Bearish 4h/Daily range. Perfect textbook setup and entry execution...
The TLT looks like it's trying to form a Double Bottom at the 0.382 Fibonacci Retracement, it is also Bullishly Diverging at this level, if it holds up I think it could go up to as high as $96 near the 200-period Simple Moving Average which would also fill the gap. From there I'd think it could continue back down. I will be selling weekly puts around the lower 90...
selling vertical puts at $96 spending $53 to make $47 alot of people talking about bonds these days