🚨🚨🚨 Going to make a stink about #yield again. Short term #interestrates have been creeping higher. Let's👀@ #bond Yields. 6M = holding steady, trading slightly higher. BUT, 1Yr = BROKE RECENT HIGHS. It's at resistance but shows momentum. 2Yr = Closing in on TSX:SVB closure high. This is where #banks began to break down. 10Yr TVC:TNX @ current downtrend is...
Yellow arrows show the #bank crisis. Short term #yields are higher or at the same level. They are showing signs of wanting to push higher again. The 2Yr is lower & looks as if it's curling a bit higher. The TVC:TNX or 10Yr is consistently lower & looks to be weakening. Wall St may finally be listening to #Fed & more hikes coming.
Short term #yield is still weakening The 3M & 6M peaked not long ago & been going lower. The 1Yr & 2Yr are holding area when the #banks began to fail. The 10Yr peaked Oct 2022, last year. TVC:TNX has been lower & looks 2b headed lower at the moment. We'll see what the #FederalReserve does but Wall St thinks #fed is done with rates or @ CLOSE to the end of hikes
🚨🚨🚨#yields🚨🚨🚨 3M + 6M have been weak lately, we called them topping some time ago. Will they turn soon? 1Y trading at recent highs and seems like it is trying to go higher. 2Yr looks like it wants to the recent test highs. 10Yr TVC:TNX peaked LONG ago! Breaks white line, downtrend, likely trades higher. Inverted yield curve thing of past? #bonds #tech ...
US #Dollar took hit recently, recuperating We called this pump while most were negative Certainly broke the small recent uptrend it was in NOW WHAT?! RSI shows it's most likely going to some sideways action BUT BUT BUT LOOK WEEKLY chart shows it may be in Head & Shoulder Pattern - bearish If #yield continues to rise so will TVC:DXY BUT, how high can they go...
6 Month is still pumping & more overbought. This is the only one still moving higher atm. Serious divergence! 1Y surpassed the #bank collapse highs . 2Yr Stopped 50bps away from highs. 10Yr forming lower highs (the top was put in LAST YEAR), down channel & the long trend has been broken.
🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 🚨 6 Month #yield is NOW HIGHER than when #silvergate #bank collapsed! #interestrates can stay above 5% for extended periods of time, see charts, BUT the end result has NEVER been good for #stocks 1Yr struggles @ 5% but has been higher than 6% HOWEVER 10Yr TVC:TNX is DIFFERENT! This has been on a long downtrend until 2022! #bonds
TVC:US10Y -US02Y Looks like we are nearing the recession, it can take from 6 months to 12 months to occur, but for sure. Recession signals: 1. Unemployment starts to raise. 2. Yield curve is above 0. 3. FEDRATES starts to stay firm and fed starts to cut the rates.(May be consequences) Only few tech stocks are holding the market up, once they start correcting,...
Linear faked-out and got rejected forming an evening star with a shooting star on local top, a retracement down would make sense. ⚡️⚡️ #LINA/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Futures, ByBit USDT Signal Type: Regular (Short) Leverage: Isolated (3.2X) Amount: 4.9% Current Price: 0.01703 Entry Zone: 0.01719 - 0.01835 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 0.01508 2) 0.01305 3)...
Rates and bond yield will go back to nothing. History repeats itself Banks will get good balance of so many holding long term lockdown in yield.
Looking @ a few different #yields (Not shown)Weekly 6month and 1Yr easier to notice BEAR FLAG & the pattern is close to being annulled. Daily 2Yr looking good, breaking out of channel. Hard to short dull market but seeing #bond yields climbing is worrisome for short term. TVC:TNX 10Yr looks like 2Yr.
Thoughts on the yield curve ? Shall we stabilize from here (uninvert?) Shy is the two year rising away from the other treasuries in the face of a slowing economy?
There's obviously lots of discussion about interest rates and where they are headed. Today, I'm going to look at long-term interest rates based on the well-known ETF: $TLT . Long-term interest rates are useful as a guide for most people who get a home-loan or longer-dated loans and is usually less prone to manipulation (by Central Banks) than short-term...
US10Y yield is in completion of C of wave (4), expect to see a strong run up to 6% zone in wave (5) of circle 3 by end of this year.
TrueFi just regained 50MA support and seems about to push higher and recover, short-term. ⚡️⚡️ #TRU/USDT ⚡️⚡️ Exchanges: Binance Futures, ByBit USDT Signal Type: Regular (Long) Leverage: Isolated (3.0X) Amount: 4.7% Current Price: 0.08935 Entry Zone: 0.08805 - 0.08295 Take-Profit Targets: 1) 0.09990 2) 0.11075 3) 0.12160 Stop Targets: 1) 0.07345 Published...
Monday 3/27/2023 - In this Video I discuss The technical analysis of the SPY ETF which is a proxy the S&P500 that is often a tell on general market movements. I also discuss broader market Macros I have been watching including last week's and next weeks economic events. We also discuss some recession indicators, and other charts that show headwinds and tailwinds...
While the #fed reserve has made it clear they're not stopping rate increases yet, #bonds yields put a top in days ago. $TNX actually did it some time ago! We noticed certain sectors, like insurance, began lowering premiums done time ago. Did they know something was start didn't? Small community banks are getting crushed and if rates crater it may alleviate the...
It's pretty much all about Fibonacci today - the market has recent peaked at around 4.24 and is in the process of eroding a key convergence of support at 3.25/3.32 (lows since January, the 55-week ma and the 2018 high). These are looking vulnerable and failure will imply a deeper corrective move lower towards 3.00 and potentially 2.80ish - the 38.2% retracement of...