Bond markets have experienced a strong movement this week with the U.S. Federal Reserve saying it expects higher economic growth and inflation in the United States this year, although it repeated its pledge to keep its target interest rate near zero. Yields on U.S. 10-year have been rising for the past seven weeks on growth expectations, spiked to their highest...
The interest rate can only go up and up, we can expect easy money. The weekly chart shows a significant bearish trend that may have room to extend. Don't try to surf , just sell and wait. others markets ( stock indices , commodities, and currencies) will be volatile and quite difficult to trade, while the bonds market have only one trend : the south.
US10Y broken out of rising wedge.
Hey tradomaniacs, The market is seriously playing games here! 🙈 The blast of yields can not be sustainable as this is going to be a be a thorn in Powells flesh. Why is that? Basically because rising yields will "raise the price of" debts! First of all, this is a BET against the FED and looks like TEST. As often explained, YIELDS are currently rising...
5 Year US Government Bonds demonstrate a classic H & S bottom. They say equity market value is RELATIVE to bonds. That is very true. Sky high valuations in stock market are result of cheap money(ie, low rates). End of cheap money? If yes, it has serious implications for equity markets! Follow us for more!
Hello. My name is François Normandeau Here is an ADX-BRIEFING related to the 10-Year US Treasury Notes . Currently, on the daily charts , all the indicators we are using are mentioning that the US Dollar Index TVC:DXY is currently in a confirmed downtrend . Historically, there is a strong positive correlation between the US Dollar Index and the US...
Due to Covid 19 the US30Y has drop. When things gets back to normal, should we expect an increase ?
The U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield has just made contact with the MA200 (orange trend-line) on the 1D time-frame for the first time since December 2018! The closest it has come too after that was in January 2020. On both occasions that was the price top. Additionally the RSI shows an interesting feature. A Double Top (red ellipse) signifies the start of a...
The 10 YR Yield is posting the first red 1D candle after a strong bullish streak of 5 candles. The 1D chart turned bullish (RSI = 64.680, MACD = 0.012, ADX = 28.379) after 2 months. Assuming the 1D MA50 supports, the price may find enough momentum to consolidate in order to post the final push towards the 0.955 Resistance. Attention is needed as the 1D RSI is...
If you're following along you will see that I have continued my Correlation research, hit the follow and like button to show support Following the topic of Correlation here is a visual of what is going on lately, this along a few Forex pairs is a great way to compare and contrast the full list of correlation. Also US Oil and DXY I didn't add those on this chart...
US 10-year Bonds have broken out of 2 triangles now and breaking down. I count 5 waves in this massive triangle that formed between March 8th and June 24th with the final wave "e" itself being a triangle with 5 subways. Remember - triangles - per Elliot rules - are found either as wave 4's, wave B's (middle of a correction) OR as wave E's as the final "wave" of...
We are possibly looking at (and forecasting) a 3-touch sell-off on the US Government Bonds 30Y daily chart around resistance at 98'04'3. Sell-off in about 1-14 days time. R/R = 5.79% approx.
ZN1! - 10 YEAR T-NOTE - H4 SELL @ Pullback Entry: 138.8593 | Stoploss: 139.8125 | Takeprofit1: 137.8593 | Takeprofit2: 136.4687 ■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■ If you like this idea please click the like button to support this channel, thanks. ■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■■ Disclaimer: All information and ideas provided is for educational purposes...
US Bonds 10 YR Yield have high probability to go negative
Treasury bonds seems want to go up, but I expect a consolidation before an enventual bullish breakout. Generally, when treasury bonds go up, stocks market go down (but we must be careful because the big money printing (QE) by the FED could result in a hyperinflation on all markets)
Since more than 1 month a bullish was formed, if we break up the red line, this could be a good long
With equities looking increasingly volatility and valuations as frothy as ever, long term bonds have been quietly outperforming recently. I expect this trend to continue for foreseeable future and for us to rise 5-13% from here conservatively. The global climate is shifting to reducing risk and buying safe haven assets. Therefore, 20 year bonds will likely...