To obtain this information, we need to look at four things: -Fed Rates: The Federal Reserve's interest rates decisions can have a significant impact on financial markets and the overall economy. -US5Y (US 5-year Treasury bonds): Yields on US 5-year Treasury bonds are an important measure to assess market expectations for short-term interest rates and investor...
- Looking for US5Y-Yield to move above DEC Monthly Pivot - Followed by a drop to DEC S1 = GAP - Dollar-Index should follow Yield and weaken after 1st week of DEC
The US5Y looks ready to break above the US10Y rate for bonds , signaling an inversion of the yield curve, the number one precursor to each recession in the US. The 10 year is sitting 3/1000 of a percent higher right now. When they cross I expect the market to turn red today. The breakout of the US10Y from its cup and handle pattern dating back to June 2019...
Hello traders, The US5Y T-note is in process of forming what it looks a 1.27 Reciprocal ABCD with ending price level at or around 0.786. When price reaches the targeted zone we could start looking at the smaller timeframe for possible entries.
After a strong 7Y YST auction, the US10Y yield just broke out above the 21 day EMA. We're back at 1.615%, and poised to blow up as the week progresses. This recent buying frenzy in bonds may be exhausted, and yields could be poised for a solid spike higher (potentially on Powell remarks about future monetary policy tightening tomorrow). Fed QE bond purchases are...
TVC:US10Y Out of the long trade for now, looking for growth stock entry.
Update from the current convergence failing to formulate between the real yield rate and the price of gold for one ounce in $'s.
White House Economic Adviser Larry Kudlow has really changed his tone on the scale and sustainability of American debt. Remarks country isn't nearing its borrowing limits. Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product (GFDEGDQ188S) was first constructed by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis in October 2012. It is calculated using Federal Government...
$TLT Long Entry 14:29:56 (UTC) Tue Aug 11, 2020
With A -194 bp stoploss, my second added TLT long position form 73/30 is approaching in on +1%. while my primary position from the 23rd of june remains 975 bp or 6.04% in profit from the publicly given signal. Positions are both open are floating.
On the technical side the minimum targets for a Vth wave flattening trend that started since 2011 have been met. This completed sequence show's there is plenty of room to steepen over the coming Quarters. So far we have seen wave A and B of an incomplete ABC. Well done all those who are riding the 'C' leg with us. Best of luck to those who are positioned for...
First Inversion of the 5/2 spread. This is no less important than the well-known 10-2 spread.