Fundamental Backdrop 1. NFP print came out 311k vs 224k forecasted. 2. Average hourly earnings m/m printed 0.2% compared to 0.3% forecasted. 3. Unemployment rate came out at 3.6% vs 3.4% forecasted. 4. Resulted in heavy bearish USD sentiments due to the wage inflation decreasing and unemployment rate increasing. 5. This shows the effects of rate hikes by the Fed...
Fundamental Backdrop 1. NFP due today at 930pm GMT +8. 2. NFP print and average earnings will be key to the direction of the USD. 3. Fed Powell's speech that "Fed is prepared to speed up rate rises if warranted by data releases", resulted in strong bullish pressure on DXY and USD across markets. 4. A few US data releases has coincided nicely with Powell's...
USOIL on the 4h chart after our previous analysis reached the 80 level and dropped to the 0.618 Fibonacci area exactly over a previous support that has been tested a few times before. The market anyway did not create a new recent lower high and also for this reason we can keep to search for a long opportunity in the short term. How can i approach this...
Fundamental Context 1. Fed Powell's speech that "Fed is prepared to speed up rate rises if warranted by data releases", resulted in strong bullish pressure on DXY and USD across markets. 2. A few US data releases has coincided nicely with Powell's speech. 3. ADP Non-Farm Employment Change came out at 242000 jobs compared to a forecasted 197000 and 119000...
Fundamental Backdrop 1. Fed Powell mentions that upcoming FOMC meeting stance is up to NFP data release. 2. Market sentiments surrounding the USD has been flipped bullish. 3. Fed Powell mentions that Fed would not hesitate to hike the i/r at a faster pace. Technical Confluences 1. Strong bearish momentum and pressure happening onto AUDUSD. 2. Price has broken...
Hi everyone, CY back with another forecast. Let's prepare for a heavy and potentially volatile week ahead! Today's forecast will be for the upcoming week and the general direction where price can potentially head too with EURUSD. Let me begin.. Fundamental context 1. Next week will be an important week for the USD and there will be the NFP data release ...
Headlines today: Fed Chair Powell says interest rates are ‘likely to be higher’ than previously anticipated. DXY was at a solid resistance cooled off for a bit under it, and it just broke that resistance to the upside. If interest rates need to continue to be raised we would expect more upside in the DXY. Rate hikes continue as expected -> DXY will follow...
Is Sunday again with starting our analysis off with WTI oil. For us it's a pretty simple setup this week. We're looking for a play off of the supply at the high of our swing, we're looking for price to drop down lower towards the 15 minute demand that we have highlighted below. Now of course, if we don't get a reaction at this supply. We will look for price to...
Fundamental Backdrop 1. US Unemployment Claims were better than previous from 192k to 190k. 2. Unemployment dropped which showed that the the labor-market is improving . 3. Still alot of mixed sentiments in the market due to the mixed results of US data releases. 4. All eyes will be on NFP next week to see if the strong result will continue. Technical...
as you can see here we have a good chance to take sell USOIL we have a good setup , good price action also the market now in a strong zone
On this last Asian setup price action points to a potential short term opportunity using a variety of confluences, lets see what happens
Fundamental Backdrop 1. US economy has proven very resilient in the market. 2. Recent bearish movements stemmed from the drop in consumer confidence and the durable goods printing negative m/m due to Boeing. 3. However, market sentiments revolving around the USD remains bullish amid the stronger than expected economy. Technical Confluences 1. Price has...
Fundamental Backdrop 1. RBNZ raised the official cash rate (OCR) by 50 bps to 4.75%. Technical Confluences 1. Price is on a bearish trend on the daily timeframe, forming lower lows and highs. 2. Price has broken the daily support level and is currently retracing back to the support turned resistance. 3. On the daily timeframe, it seems that price is retracing...
Fundamental Backdrop 1. USD more hawkish than AUD, with a potentially higher terminal rate. 2. US economy continues to be very resilient, taking the USD by strength. Technical Confluences 1. The overall bias for AUDUSD on the H4 chart is bearish. 2. Price is on a bearish trend, forming lower lows and lower highs. 3. Price could potentially retrace to the H4...
Fundamental Backdrop 1. Inflation for the GBP continues to be very high. 2. Pessimistic outlook on the economy for GBP as upcoming GDP m/m is widely forecasted to be printed negative, showing the recessionary phase the economy is in. Technical Confluences 1. The overall bias for GBPUSD is bearish and price can retest the daily support level at 1.186. 2....
Fundamental Backdrop 1. FX market has been very data driven. 2. Consumer confidence declined again in February, printing 102.9 compared to a forecast 108.5. 3. Along with the durable goods order printing -4.5% m/m compared to forecast, this resulted in heavy bullish momentum coming in on the EURUSD. 4. However, due to the strong economic resilience of the US,...
Fundamental Backdrop 1. Optimistic reports of manufacturing expansion in China, which is recognized as the largest crude oil importer globally causing a better outlook for the demand. 2. Data showing China's factory activity rose for the first time in seven months in February 3. Output is still down more than 700,000 bpd from September with a high demand still in...
USDCHF has met all requirements for both, the '618' and 'B&R' playbook setup using price action depletion to set our buy stop for our entry criteria. Lets see how it goes