Fundamental Backdrop 1. Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ oil producers on Sunday announced further oil output cuts of around 1.16 million barrels per day 2. This can cause a bullish run in prices in the long run. Technical Confluences 1. Price near 81.7 resistance 2. Price shot through the support at 72.50 with strong bullish momentum, causing a market gap Idea...
After reviewing the market trends over the past week, it appears that we are still anticipating a bullish shift to occur in the near future. We have already tapped into the lower swing zone from our breakout level, which signals a potential upward trend. However, for this bullish shift to materialize, we must break the previous high that we put in after the break...
In what appears to be an unprecedented win, gold prices are up 9% for two quarters back-to-back as memory of this month’s U.S. banking crisis keeps the safe haven in demand, even as risk assets rebound from recent lows. Gold's highs came even as the S&P 500 climbed 6% over the past three weeks, shrugging off contagion worries from the U.S. banking crisis that led...
Fundamental Backdrop 1. Core PCE Price Index at 830pm GMT+8, am anticipating a better than previous result which could potentially see further downside momentum on DXY. 2. Sentiments from the market continues to be bearish on the DXY. 3. Economic sentiments from an increase in unemployment claims and final GDP q/q printing 2.6% lower than 2.7% forecast sets the...
Fundamental Backdrop 1. EURUSD has been bullish 2. Tonight's final GDP q/q for the US could give us an insight on the US economy 3. Market has been pricing in a bullish economy for the US which could potentially lead to short term downside potential in EURUSD Technical Confluences 1. Price is nearing the resistance level at 1.0881 and could see rejection off...
Fundamental Backdrop 1. Uncertainty continues to surround the USD 2. Fed balance sheet continues to inject money to aid the banks in crisis Technical Confluences 1. Resistance level that price is currently at can potentially be rejected before heading back down 2. Price could potentially create a new lower low 3. on the H4 timeframe, DXY is on a bearish trend...
Fundamental Backdrop 1. Plenty of uncertainty surrounding the banking and financial system/ USD. 2. JPY continues to be the more stable currency. Technical Confluences 1. Price in a strong bearish trend with price under the Ichimoku cloud 2. Lower lows and lower highs are being formed 3. Price can potentially retest the support level at 129.82. Idea Looking...
USDCHF has met all requirements for a break at retest in the same direction of last nights Asia trade. Lets see if they allow this one to play out to at least 2R
USDCHF has clearly broken a short term downtrend line, and retested a broken structure with a nice reaction. Lets see if we can go for 2R
The weekly and daily timeframe is showing a bullish trend, and remember the idea of the CADCHF setup I posted, this is what was expected to happen there. What do we expect here? A retest to 12000 SUPPORT zone and a bullish move to 13720. This is a long term buy for NASDAQ. Please do share, and give a follow to support.
Fundamental Backdrop 1. Plenty of instability in the market due to the SVB crisis and other banks being heavily affected by it. 2. The Fed is incentivised to either pause rates or maintain at 25bps due to the current instability in the market. Technical Confluences 1. Price is currently in a bearish trend. 2. Price is near the H4 support area at 102.65. 3....
All criteria for our playbook reversal setup met and entry using depletion of buyers
Fundamental Backdrop 1. USD continues to face uncertainty and volatility due to the SVB crisis. 2. All eyes will be on the FOMC meeting and the Fed Fund Rate. 3. More dovish on the USD will lead to EURUSD heading higher. 4. Fed might be restricted to hike rates by 50bps due to the instability of the banking industry in the US. Technical Confluences 1. Price...
2023 has been ushered in with a rebound in pockets of equity underperformance from 2022. Markets are coming to terms with the fact that stickier inflation and more resilient economic data globally are likely to keep central banks busy this year. Owing to which the spectre of interest rates staying higher for longer appears to be the dominant theme for the first...
Why this? Price is approaching a high resistance zone and might surpass February's high, then move to the yearly highs of 82.50 giving a false bullish move and then sell more. We can also spot the continuation pattern that shows price agreement tothe downside. Where am I expecting price to sell to? Well the lows of 2022 which is 70.00. Please do share, and give a...
Fundamental Backdrop 1. Inflation in GBP continues to be heightened. 2. A lot of instability in the US due to the Silicon Valley Bank crisis triggering a chain reaction to many other banks involved. Technical Confluences 1. Price has broken the uptrend as seen by the trendline. 2. Price can potentially retrace back to the trendline or the H4 support level at...
Fundamental Backdrop 1. NFP print came out 311k vs 224k forecasted. 2. Average hourly earnings m/m printed 0.2% compared to 0.3% forecasted. 3. Unemployment rate came out at 3.6% vs 3.4% forecasted. 4. Resulted in heavy bearish USD sentiments due to the wage inflation decreasing and unemployment rate increasing. 5. This shows the effects of rate hikes by the Fed...
Fundamental Backdrop 1. NFP due today at 930pm GMT +8. 2. NFP print and average earnings will be key to the direction of the USD. 3. Fed Powell's speech that "Fed is prepared to speed up rate rises if warranted by data releases", resulted in strong bullish pressure on DXY and USD across markets. 4. A few US data releases has coincided nicely with Powell's...