The Russell 2000 Index has reached important Fibonacci projection levels. We are expectiong a down wave (4) towards the 1060 area. Only a new weekly close above 1268 would invalidate this bearish scenario.
The R2K as many other indices just keep plowing ahead and I don't have any clear view for the next week or so. Long term I am still bullish but for the very short term I think the markets will pullback a bit before resuming their crawling ascent. Current market action is fishy. Be careful. As long R2K stays within the channel, that would be the best way to see...
The IWM basically traded sideways throughout 2014 and is now breaking out and will most likely lead the charge in 2015. Makes sense as small caps don't have the overseas exposure that large caps have, so I believe big money is currently rotating into this sector and why we're so choppy in the overall market..
We were expecting a decline which we did get but today's retracement from the morning low was somewhat deep making me suspicious my expected multi-weeks decline has started. Still possible but we would have to resume declining right out of the gate tomorrow morning. I think we need a choppy move that will lead to a another small upleg before some kind of top is at...
The advance we have since early February is getting tired with the bulls showing signs of fatigue everywhere. Using the etf IWM that mimics the Russell 2k, we see many signs of exhaustion: Oscillators are diverging, volume is lessening, the wavers can count 5 up but the most powerful sign is a rising wedge ( a diagonal triangle under the Elliot Wave Principle ) a...
Quick note here on the Russell (private request I decided to share) Market closed right at 121.53 in the context of the following predictive/forecasting model results: BULLISH TARGETS: 1 - TG-Hi = 121.78 - 13 FEB 2015 and 2 - TG-Hix = 128.18 - 13 FEB 2015 PATTERN ANALYSIS: - ELLIOTT WAVE ("EW"); Wolfe Wave ("WW"): Model suggests a topped-off condition....
Weekly target has been reached today and it was really wonderful setup. The beauty of trade was the confluence of short setups on weekly & daily charts that enabled us to wait longer for distant profit target. Second weekly target for those who want to continue holding their position will be 1102.00 if they can psychologically tolerate holding profitable trades...
SANTA IS BACK!!! All indices are in BUY mode. We are aggressively looking for buy opportunities on the $NQ, $TF ($RJ), $ES. We would like a pullback to the shaded zone but looking at past rally's that may happen. Any buy triggers on shorter time frames will be bought. For the emini S&P we will be targeting the 2100 area for the first area to peel some profits.
While the Nasdaq and Russell are lagging the S&P are still making new high. If the sisters decide to join in then we could see 2100 before the end of the year. It's well in range.
Before FOMC, I believed IWM was poised to break thru fib ext 1.618 at 118.15. Now in two days, I now have a short term excess supply signal as IWM tested down. Circumstances changed. I have changed with them. I expect the fib 1.5x as a target 112.07. Back and fill.
IWM hit an important trend line that has been in place since July 2014. There are a clear 5 waves up and bearish divergences. Expecting some type of retrace down to the 114-112 and maybe even 110 area-before starting the Santa Rally. With bullish sentiment at 96% per www.sentimenttiming.com some type of pullback is expected. Good luck
For something on a longer time frame, here's one that I see playing out. The small caps have been diverging from the main indexes for some time now failing to make any new highs. In fact, it just broke through a multi-year trend line from 2010. It is looking very weak on the weekly chart with an obvious RSI divergence, I think it is letting out some air and I...