(Note: DOWT is no longer in a bear market after rallying the last two weeks) 2015 was suppose to be just another year of the epic bull market created by reckless central banking policies. Some Wall Street estimates for the S&P 500 were as high as 2,300. Me? I projected a contraction to 1,810 in mid-January. Whether or not the SPX will reach my target within the...
The BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) are highly watched emerging markets because they represented roughly 22 percent of global GDP in 2014. However, the global economic slowdown and increased geopolitical tension has weighed heavy on these markets. Although, India may be the most resilient economy out of the BRICS. India has felt its share of...
A breakout above NASDAQ 100 overhead boundary range, resting at ( 4250 to 4275 ; September Futures Price Basis; Price is currently sitting at 4221.50 as of Aug 27th 1:30 AM EDT), would open up an imminent and highly dramatic follow-through rally in the very short term. Mid September to perhaps as late as early October still represents an excellent opportunity to...
Obviously as most know the USDJPY follows US Equities, which has seen a nice sell of that certainly shows targets a lot lower (ex. DOW support not until 14000). Also, DXY has clearly broken down repeatedly after lower highs to lower lows, which points to a new trend. On the other side of things this is creating a very strong YEN so I prefer selling the USDJPY more...
From a strictly technical analysis point of view, we see that the trend in SPY is stalling. A higher high was not completed on the weekly chart. This shows that bullish momentum could be slowing down. Since this is a weekly chart, there is a huge significance of something happening to the entire American market due to a possible bearish outlook on the S&P500. We...
Yesterday, Ashraf Laidi put out an interesting post on the USDJPY and a 40-month cycle. From April 1995 to August 1998, the pair rose just over 85 percent. In brief, in the mid-90s, the US were raising interest rates (who does that anymore? Psh), which made the dollar stronger following the recession of 1990. The Japanese yen was devalued, too, as their asset...
The US dollar index was a thing of bubbly-beauty, gaining over 25 percent in a year. Traders thought that after seven years, it is now time for the Federal Reserve to raise rates. Unfortunately, reality is set it. The Fed has always claimed to be data-dependent. First, the potential for a rate hike was when unemployment dropped to 6.5 percent. That came and went...
ALL CURRENCY PAIRS IN WHICH THE USD IS THE DENOMINATOR HAVE BEEN FOLLOWING A SIMILAR ARC SHAPE SINCE THE 2009 RECESSION. AS WE CAN SEE HERE, JPYUSD, CADUSD HAVE REACHED THEIR PREVIOUS SUPPORT AREAS. ONE CURRENCY PAIR THAT HASNT REACHED ITS PREVIOUS LOW IS THE AUDUSD. ALL MARKETS WORK TOGETHER, THEREFORE I BELIEVE THIS PAIR IS LAGGING COMPARED TO IS RELATIVES....
"WHY YOU SHOULDNT BE WORRIED ABOUT ANOTHER RECESSION, AND WHY YOU SHOULD BE DUMPING YOUR MONEY INTO THE STOCK MARKET RIGHT NOW" "INVEST IN AMERICAN INDICIES, SLEEP FOR 20 YEARS, AND WAKE UP RICH" @YUNGFINANCE
Lumber is highly correlated to the ISM manufacturing index (or vice versa?). Nevertheless, the weakness in lumber prices is corresponding with the softening manufacturing data, although manufacturing data from Markit suggest manufacturing is weaker than ISM reports. New orders index collapsed from Nov/Dec 66 to 57. Prices have noticeably declined, too. Anyways,...
Just days before Germany's much anticipated third quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data is released, business leaders and policy makers warn that euro zone's largest economy has lost its competitiveness and is on the brink of recession. German Stock Index DAX is grinding high for the last 3-4 weeks after a sharp down move. It is building nice consolidation...