GBPNZD currently exhibits a bearish structure highlighted by this bearish channel. Currently, the price, after bouncing off the bottom of this channel, is at a crucial point. The latest bullish reaction has led to the formation of a demand zone, ranging from 2.0760 to 2.0940. If the bearish trend maintains its strength, it is possible that the price will decline...
Last year, despite the volatility in the markets (fight against inflation, SVB collapse, conflict in Gaza....) the DXY traded in a slightly consolidative range, between the 100 and 107 price levels (compared to 2022, where the DXY rose from 95 up to almost 115). The theme of the first quarter of 2024 is likely to be about if/when the Federal Reserve would...
Today's focus: GBPUSD Pattern – Consolidation Watch Support – 1.2665, 1.2610 Resistance – 1.2751 Hi, and thanks for checking out today's video update. We are looking at the GBPUSD today as the price continues to consolidate in a rough ending diagonal pattern. We have also chosen the cable as we have the UK rates decision to come out later today. Depending on...
The AUD/USD exchange rate is declining towards 0.6550 early on Wednesday due to mixed China's PMI data and weaker-than-expected inflation data in Australia. The CPI confirms that the RBA's interest rate hike cycle is over. Attention now turns to the decision of the United States Federal Reserve. Despite an erratic performance on Tuesday, the AUD/USD erases the...
Gold forecast: Crazy to expect rate cut tomorrow? Mostly yes. Market consensus leans towards the U.S. central bank maintaining current interest rates following the conclusion of its two-day meeting tomorrow. However, the potential impact on the U.S. dollar and gold is likely to hinge on statements from Fed Chair Jerome Powell regarding expectations for a rate...
In today's trading session, our focus is on EURGBP, where we are eyeing a selling opportunity around the 0.85800 zone. Technically, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently navigating a correction phase towards the 0.85800 support and resistance area. Now, delving into the fundamental layer, we are inclined towards a bearish stance on the Euro due to...
The USD/CAD exchange rate is under selling pressure in the early Asian trading hours on Tuesday. Canada's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for November, expected to expand by 0.1% compared to the previous month, will be released on Wednesday. The pair remains under pressure as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday approaches, with no...
Gold continues to fluctuate around $2,020 in the latter half of Friday, holding its position despite a 4.1% retreat in the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield, driven by December PCE inflation data. The gold price remains within a limited range, with the Fed closely monitoring inflation trends, and the PCE outcome will impact its restrictive stance on...
The future of the EUR/USD is uncertain, with the possibility of further declines if the support level of 1.0821 is breached. In case of a descent, it could test the 100-day moving average at 1.0774 and then touch the December 2023 low of 1.0723. The negative outlook would intensify if it surpasses the key 200-day moving average at 1.0843. On the positive side, the...
History of prior EU Rate pauses: 4 months | Oct 00 - Apr 01 12 months | Jun 07 - Jun 08 3 months | Jul - Oct 2011 4 months | Sept 2023 - Present ⏳SO FAR⏳ At least they could say that this is not the shortest one ever now that we are into month 4. Historical Average: 6 months (March 2024) Interestingly this is when the Bank Term Funding Program in...
The price of gold struggles to capitalize on the recovery trend in place for over two days, after hitting a low of over a month, and faces renewed selling pressure at the beginning of Monday. Declining US bond yields, a weaker dollar, and geopolitical risks could limit further losses. Additional gains could occur if gold manages to stabilize above the $2,030...
January 19th Closing: The U.S. basket index concluded the day with a significant increase, recording a gain of 1.23% compared to previous values. The initial movements were lively, with the index opening at 4,796.3 points, surpassing the previous day's high. Throughout the day, it continued the positive trend, closing at 4,839.8, approaching the highest level...
The price of gold has reached almost $2,030, benefiting from the stabilization of the US dollar. However, a downward correction is not entirely convincing as traders reduce bets on a Fed rate cut in March. The precious metal has experienced a strong recovery after finding support near $2,000, backed by the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Nevertheless, the...
The exchange rate between the Euro and the US Dollar remains consistently below 1.0900 on this Friday. A slight increase in the value of the US Dollar and yields on US Treasury bonds, in a context of general caution, is influencing the currency pair. Daily indicators are just beginning to highlight a negative direction, suggesting that the most likely path for the...
Here is a long term view of long term US Gov't interest rates. Long term is defined as 30 years and is a common bond owned by pension funds and insurance companies and other long term investors with long term obligations. I highlight the various ranges of interest rates as shown in these 4 boxes and the few moves that temporarily moved interest rates outside...
The GBP/USD is rebounding towards 1.2700, driven by surprisingly high inflation data in the UK, which diminishes expectations of aggressive interest rate cuts by the BoE. US retail sales data has bolstered the strength of the dollar, slightly exceeding expectations. The exchange rate remains above the lower limit of the ascending channel, with the Relative...
The price of gold (XAU/USD) is undergoing a significant sell-off, failing to reclaim the weekly high above $2,060. Investors are reassessing the timing at which the Federal Reserve (Fed) might reduce interest rates. After the failure to regain the weekly high of $2,062, the price of gold has dropped to around $2,030. It is expected to remain uncertain until new...
The Canadian dollar strengthened following mixed inflation data in Canada, while weakness in U.S. manufacturing data exerted negative pressure on the dollar. The bullish trend in USD/CAD persists, with resistances at 1.3420 and 1.3350 potentially impeding selling. The Canadian dollar (CAD) gained against many currencies on Tuesday but lost ground against the U.S....