This was the week of laid eggs. OPEC showed it no longer has any control. The oil production number was leaked earl in the day on Friday and basically said they will not curb production. With the current glut of oil, further production spells further trouble for oil. How far can she go? We think oil could flirt with the $30 area. At this point all pullbacks...
Oil is still selling off in-front the OPEC meeting this Friday. We are flat and staying away until after the meeting. At this point we think it tests the August lows, but if doesn't and OPEC has a bullish tone then we will see a massive spike. WARNING: DO NOT TRY TO GUESS THE DIRECTION BEFORE THE MEETING. That's gambling at best. For us to get long we will...
I've been short since 44. Took profits on Friday at 41.
Simple analysis, still in a bearish trend, counter trend line break, retracement to 50% fib + mijor daily resistance at £50.47 + ctl retest + 50 ema resistance + tweezer tops price action led us into the C leg of the fib. Expecting £42.46 then possibly new lows at $40 a barrel. We haven't seen price this low since the end of the 2008 market crash!!
Keep crude on your watch list. See our last post on crude. Stay tuned
Crude is ready to fire off short based on our signals...however she has been all over the place. We ONLY like the long side so we are looking for a false signal and reversal. IF she does take out the most recent lows and picks up speed we will PASS until we start setting up to the long side. Every time we get a dip on crude we get more suspicious of the move so...
A quick move outside of the channel was short lived. We wanted to short after a close outside of the channels but the FOMC announcement kept us away. Regardless, there was no way that we would have triggered this trade. Crude blew back into the channel and could start chopping around. We will NOT get involved in this area. We will watch Crude and see how she...
1. Divergence formed at 0.618 fib rettracement of the recent move up(momentum/price) 2. Price retesting broken resistance (long consolidation 3. Missed daily pivot above the price Golong at this level targeting: 1. Short term - missed daily pivot 2. Longer term - recent highs and above SL goes below 46.00
Crude made a quick move and got new longs stuck which fueled the sell off. We triggered long this morning and got stopped for 50 ticks which is a win in our book. We learned long ago that a stop is the beginning of a story. This story is telling us that there may be more downside. We are technically back in the consolidation area and we are sitting on our...
Running into the 200 day MA at 51, which should give some resistance, as well as the upper Bollinger bands. If it breaks a little to the upside targets at If a correction takes place levels to look out for at 4780-4820
WEEKLY VIEW of Crude. We have been hearing a lot of predictions about crude and we have even stated that we like the upside...but if you take a close look at the weekly chart it illustrates how crude tested each side of it's range and then closed in the middle for 5 straight weeks. Lots of indecision. The weekly pattern screams more upside but the indecision...
Yesterday, bulls managed to break the upper, descending boundary of the contracting triangle temporarily but faced stiff resistance and failed to hold onto their gains. But taking into account the fact the inability of the bears since late August to push the price lower significantly, I favor an eventual bullish breakout of the triangle for a thrust to the 54.5 -...
After a crazy week in the markets crude attempted a breakout. Now we are back at the scene of the crime. It's interesting that we see this pull back after Goldman Sachs releases their long term Crude forecast. Very fishy. Our eyes are on the 43 - 43.50 area. There are a lot of stops below this area and someone is fishing for them. If they get blown out we...
We have pulled our buy orders off the table with crude. We have seen 4 straight days of up and down so we will let crude trade on Monday before accessing. However, crude is consolidating which means another move will happen soon. OPEC says prices will continue to stay low until the beginning of the year. Will they be right or will the bulls force the issue? ...
We are still watching crude for an entry long. We would like to see price re-visit the trigger zone and touch the lower flag. We are being CAUTIOUS with crude. This beast can blow through an area quickly so MAKE SURE IF YOU ARE TRADING CRUDE YOU ARE USING A TRIGGER! Define your risk and be good with it.
Would of, should of, could of...That was another nice move off the trigger area but as we mentioned before it wasn't deep enough into our zone. Now crude was rejected at the upper flag so we expect price to fall into the range and hopefully test the lower flag in our zone. Patience is needed! It's on our watch list.
Crude is experiencing some incredible moves which may be a sign a bottom is near. When bottoms form there is wider moves with volatility...we are watching the trigger zone for a possible long entry. We will keep a tight leash on the trade is it triggers. You never know with crude. NO TRIGGER...NO TRADE!
We saw an acceleration of buying above $47.00. It's safe to say a lot of shorts got shaken out of the market. Now we watch. We look for consolidation or a pullback to the $42 area. Will OPEC follow through with it's comments or will a rate hike send crude back down to the lows? It will be a tug of war and we are placing our bets on OPEC. We are seeking to...