Although current trend is uptrend but we forecast a downtrend wave would begin in Midterm.
There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 70.35 on 2018-01-15 and the peak at 80.5 on 2018-05-22, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
US crude oil - H4 chart - I prefer shorts due to bearish structure on H4 time frame. Main trend is still bullish so this is a reversal setup on daily time frame but with-trend pull back setup on H4 so quick swing with great risk to reward.
US crude oil longs in play - In my view, the weekly bearish trend is broken and the daily trend is now in a bullish structure. I see oil reaching 50s before stopping for another pull back then rallying again to 52s.
I think OIL will drop from here we see a double top pattern form and on a daily chart a double tweezer pattern. It has also respected the down trend line and as we have confirmation due to price action i think this has the potential to drop 400-500 pips.
Let me know your thoughts!
UKOIL (and USOIL) are both at critical positions on the daily charts. The 200EMA shows that there is a rising trend, even if a slow one.
Price has reached an obvious point of decision. Prediction is not my business, so shall not get into which way price will go. The only issue is whether an acceptable risk position (i.e. stop-loss) can be taken and what logic...
Crude Oil prices have begun their anticipated corrective pullback.
Prices have broken below the USD50.71 congestion base and reached the USD48.35, (23.6%) Fibonacci retracement of the 2016-2017 rally. Falling momentum studies and the bearish Tension Indicator (not shown) anticipate still deeper reactions towards the USD47.18, (61.8%) Fibonacci retracement of the...
Weakening in the short-term, stronger in the long-run.
In the scenario of a lower crude oil inventory and Opec and Russian Crude Oil Export cuts, we identify a trading opportunity for a long-term position. Brent crude oil could move back to the moving average levels of $53/bl to then reassume a bullish pattern.
The crude oil market continues oversupplied just...
On Sunday night we broke through the resistance level which has held the market for the whole of 2016 (red dotted line)
The rally was halted by a resistance level dating back to February 2015 (lower dotted blue line)
If we can now stay above the red dotted level (2016 resistance) and use it as support, we could move further up to the $60 mark
A very bullish open to the new week of the back of NOPEC news. There is still plenty more room for upside, as at the last OPEC meeting we did $5 in a day. So a potential upside target for oil is the support/resistance level from last year at around $56.67.
How we get there will be a matter of debate, some traders see a pullback, other traders think we'll carry on...
Crude Oil prices have bounced from the USD44.82 low of 29 November, with prices pushing above range highs at USD51.93 to reach USD52.42.
Mixed short-term studies suggest consolidation in the coming days, but improving momentum readings and the bullish Tension Indicator, (not shown), anticipate a later break, with subsequent focus turning to the USD53.25...
I'm looking to go short this morning, considering there may be more profit taking, and a risk off attitude before today's oil inventory data. Using the downward trend line as my stop, if we hold below, will look to target $50.
If we break above the downward resistance trend line (shown on chart), I'll reconsider for a long trade opportunity
I suggest that traders short the Norwegian Krone against the USD for the following reasons:
/dx has broken out of its ~2yr consolidation pattern amid Trump's fiscal stimulus promises and subsequent repricing of the Fed's hiking cycle in anticipation of higher US growth and inflation.
NOK remains highly vulnerable to /cl as >50% of Norway's exports are...