CHFNOK is in the process of completing a Higher Low on the 1W Channel Up (RSI = 57.467, MACD = 0.092, Highs/Lows = 0.0650, B/BP = 0.0984). This can be a lengthy (15 session) process but eventually should reach the previous Higher High. We are long with TP = 8.7500.
=> Here we are shorting the dollar against SEK as we see a fresh leg down in the dollar for September flows. => Markets have gone overboard on risk premium and we are looking to get advantage of the Swedish elections coming up in two weeks. => Fundamentals are improving in both Sweden and Europe and a rising Euro will help move SEK as collateral here. => GL (Entry...
=> Here we are arguing from the angle that the bearish sentiment on EURO as mentioned in our previous ideas will fade and begin to position into a solid macro narrative. => Qatar has announced an FX swap agreement with Turkey for $15bn this morning, frankly they might as well wave goodbye to this money with Erdogan at the helm. Short-term however this will provide...
TP = 13.4897 hit as NOKJPY hit the former Rectangle's 13.3513 support and even broke it to test the 1W support = 13.000. A strong rebound has followed that will either peak at 13.700 (if 1W is a Channel Down, MACD = -0.114, B/BP = -0.1600) or at the 13.8900 Resistance (if 1W honors the previous Rectangle sideways, RSI = 49.542, Highs/Lows = 0). After either of...
The last TP = 6.0866 hit and CADNOK has since rose within the long term 1W Channel Up (MACD = 0.038, Highs/Lows = 0.0111, B/BP = 0.0930) which is now pulling back towards its potential Higher Low (RSI = 53.641) near 6.27730. That is carried out within a 1D Channel Down (green channel, Highs/Lows = -0.0262). Once the low is made, we will be going long, TP = 6.500.
EURNOK is trading on a 1D Channel Up (RSI = 57.905, MACD = 0.040, B/BP = 0.0035) that is pulling back to issue a new Higher Low. Given the neutral Highs/Lows = 0, this is close, so we will be going long with TP1 = 9.800 and TP2 = 9.8500 in extension.
=> For those following our USDSEK idea you will know we believe the negative SEK flow is something that has run its course. => Oil is starting to look very heavy at the highs, the boat is fully loaded with almost 90% are now bullish. In the oven we have more advancements coming on the electric side which will likely show a clear inflexion point for the end of oil...
TP = 8.12285 hit as the previous Head and Shoulders pattern on 1D evolved into a Channel Up (RSI = 62.333, Highs/Lows = 0.0042, B/BP = 0.0108). The Higher Low appears to have been priced on USDNOK so we are going long with TP = 8.55 but may close at 8.50 if we see enough Resistance by the previous Higher High.
NOKSEK is trading within a long term Rectangle on 1W (Williams = -53.421, CCI = 12.5397, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) with 1D indicating that at the moment the price is on the pivot (RSI = 51.985, ADX = 17.916) with both directions equally probable. We will be scalping within the Resistance (1.09456) and Support (1.07445) lines indicated in blue.
TP = 10.5800 as the 1D Channel Down on GBPNOK marginally crossed the previous Lower Low. As you see it is now limited to the resisting line, making repetitive Lower Highs under this mark, hence the neutral RSI = 52.471, Highs/Lows = 0.0000. We have place a new short now with TP again = 10.5800 and if crossed extension to 10.5000.
EURNOK has just posted a Lower High on the long term 1W Channel Down (RSI = 48.488, MACD = -0.015, ROC = -1.366). 9.500 is an important 1D support level and will be tested shortly to confirm the new bearish leg on 1D (now on neutral RSI, Highs/Lows). We are taking this opportunity to open a medium term short with TP = 9.38806.
The previous TP = 10.68907 was hit and as expected the 1D Channel Down on GBPNOK (RSI = 41.174, ADX = 24.685) has continued lower on a more steady pace and controlled bands (MACD = -0.023, Highs/Lows = 0, B/BP = -0.0513). We continue to short, TP = 10.5800.
NOKJPY is trading within a monthly Rectangle (RSI = 51.832, ADX = 21.125, CCI = 20.9692, Highs/Lows = 0) since early February (13.3500 - 13.900). Since July 10th it has been rejected 3 times on the Resistance so a short has been added, TP = 13.4897.
Norwegian Krone is highly correlated to Crude Oil futures (front month), but over the last year it appears to diverge. NOK/USD has continued to slide while Crude stabilised. This could be due to strengthening Dollar, and the low oil prices indicating weaker future economic growth. The blue trend line marks multi-year highs. With prices touching this trend,...
Own built NOK index (daily) is currently retesting a break out. Looking for long entries despite awful crude oil inventories.
Not the best demand zone, so I will enter with confirmation not limit order.
Below the last bars low at 1.05, it is suggested to short the pair. Target at 1.0362. Stop loss above the high of the last bar
Take care & analyzed it again - it`s always your decision ... (for a bigger picture zoom the chart) This is only a trading capability - no recommendation !!! Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ... more 4XSetUps @ 1482 Major Cross-Rates (741 on both sides) @ my GOOGLE Drive drive.google.com Best regards Aaron