PRICE HAS JUST MADE A HIGHER LOW WHICH LOOKS LIKE A GOOD OPPORTUNITY TO GET IN WITH THE UPTREND. THIS COULD BE A GOOD CHANCE TO GET IN BEFORE THE RBA STATEMENT ON TUESDAY. THEIR IS A VERY GOOD CHANCE THE RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA (RBA) WILL CUT RATES WHICH WILL SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR WHICH WILL CAUSE THIS PAIR TO APPRECIATE. THE REASON WHY IM...
I'M ALREADY IN A SHORT POSITION BUT IF PRICE RETRACES UP TO MY SELL ZONE I WILL LOOK AT PRICE ACTION TO ADD IN ANOTHER POSITION AND TARGET 0.75000. I STRONGLY BELIEVE WE CAN GET TO THERE IN THE SHORT TERM BECAUSE THE LABOUR MARKET IN THE U.S KEEPS COMING OUT GOOD WHICH WILL HAVE INVESTORS/TRADERS SPECULATING A RATE HIKE AS EARLY AS JULY. ON TOP OF THAT AUD...
There is a strong downtrend in this pair, and I consider it highly probable to see a new move down, completing the 1.618 extension of the last swing, which also matches an AB=CD proportion from the first swing down to the mode of the downtrend (most frequent price or accepted 'fair' value, based on Tim West's approach). The signal is clear so I will set my orders...
It's been a very slow week for me, but luckily Jason is picking up the slack. Going into Friday's Job Report I have no intention of entering any new positions aside from this potential bullish bat pattern on the Kiwi. NZDUSD is in a very interesting position as our HTF trend has bounced off previous structure resistance, yet our LTF trend has recently created a...
Multiple potential advanced patterns setting up on the USDJPY all around the same area. We've yet to break out of this consolidation, but if we do before Friday's Jobs number, we have a good location to look for our next short. Before I get a million nasty messages no, I don't think dollar weakness and Yen strength long term, but that's what makes me a "Trader"...
This pair rose strongly after a higher than expected non-farm payroll number came out (257K) together with a favourable wage gain percentage (0.5%). Because of this strength in US the labour market, the USD immediately became bullish, driving USDJPY up 185 pips. This moved the price of this pair above the B point of a potential bearish Gartley on the 4H and now...
Last night the RBA cut their growth estimate to 1.75%. After having recently cut their rate to 2.25%, this should be enough to weaken the AUD, creating selling pressure on this pair. My fundamental bias on AUDUSD is therefore bearish. If on top of that the NFP would come out favourable today, there would be one more reason to look to sell it. As always, I want to...
WFM has been in consolidation for several months, beginning with the large gap down on earnings back in May. On earnings this time price gapped up out of the consolidation zone, on higher volume. On the daily chart there is no resistance until 47.70, the bar was very bullish and closed above the 200ma. Initially this may look like a good near term...
London Session Watch USDCAD There are multiple inside bar candlestick patterns formed in the USD/CAD. The long term trend for this currency pair is still up as the short term moving averages (10 and 20 period) are still above the long term moving averages (50,100 and 200 period) but the Tenken-sen has slightly crossed below the Kijun-sen which could show that the...
Base scenario for USD/JPY currency pair would be to go Long at current market price above 102,7 former ressistance zone and aim for a new highs as the sentiment for Dolar has shifted in last weeks. That should work preaty well if the NFP at Friday will post another strong 200+ number. Only an disapointing data tomorrow would be able to push USD/JPY below 102,7 and...
GBP/USD felt to really important level if there's an chance that it will conitnue the uptrend that we might be just getting to the entry point at the moment. There's an confluence of green marked Demand zone, 50% Fibo retracement of last swing up (1,669-1,719), daily trend line and the previous smaller leg up low at 1,685 level (red circle). Todays down move was...
Alright guys... so this NFP was a real test of the nerves. Where do we stand? Shorts from 0.93882 can cover stops to 0.93157. What we're looking for... a neat close below 0.9222 (which is the low of previous NFP). Looking at past candles around NFP, it will take a day or two for price to hit the target. We're looking at 0.912 - 0.915. Next update closer to...
***Why do you need to have an idea on the bigger picture*** I've seen quite some trade ideas between my last Aussie chart and now. Some calling longs, some calling to stay out.. I must admit, at times even I got a bit confused, but this chart has kept me on the right side of the trade. For example, the retracement to 0.93065 was picture perfect. (It was a high of...
Quarterly CPI came out soft and Aussie declined across the board + China Flash PMI despite an increase from 48 to 48.3 was still seen as weak. In line with this chart, next support is likely to come in around 0.912 - 0.92 levels. 6 days for NFP data before the next big move. Also on the same day (02/05) Aussie PPI will be released as well. Note that on 01/05 we...
So after a bullish unemployment data, the Aussie hit a high resistance level and is dropping lower. There are some important observations to bear in mind. 1. This could be a possible Cup & Handle formation we could be looking at. (Represented by the blue channel lines sloping down). Its still early, but this pattern is worth keeping an eye on. 2. Price quickly...