The market is a forward discounting mechanism and looking back my stance is that the stock market are anticipating a pause in the FED stance. Hinted on Wednesday by FED Chairman Powell who said "smaller rates increases are likely ahead" as soon as December. If the market is anticipating a pause, THE GENERAL MARKET INDECIES are likely to push forward. This of...
IDEA 3 OF 3 As the market transitioned from high volatility bear market to a low volatility bull market we saw that the VIX was transitioning and once it pushed BELOW the 20 level it stayed long term there giving ability for the market to rally up. We want to use this precedent to study the current market and determine probable direction.
The markets are currently in flux. Trapped between what history shows and what the current macroeconomic environment suggests. Reading between the lines, and understanding what factors will ultimately shift prevailing sentiment will become increasingly difficult to decipher. Regardless, I will attempt to examine what led us here, where we are now, and what is to...
A timeline of the Great Depression for 1932 overlaid with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
A timeline of the Great Depression for 1931 overlaid with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
A timeline of the Great Depression for 1930 overlaid with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
Timeline of major events of the Great Depression in the year 1929 overlaid with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
A timeline of the events of World War 2 overlaid with the Dow Jones Industrial Average
Some key dates of WW2 in 1940 overlaid with the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Part III (1941) coming soon
Some key dates of WW2 in 1939 overlaid with the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Part II (1940) coming soon
We are at the edge of economy. Rate hikes has given zero affect on this money printing cycle with inflation at its highest. everything shows we need a 50% crash from todays levels leading to a 80% crash.Economy is now worse!
Charting all possible events is useful, however unlikely they may be. Logarithmic channel drawn from 1897. Overshoot in 1929 and symmetrical undershoot 1932. Throw-over and rejection 1987. DJI entered hyperlogarithmic growth post-1995. Bounce off channel top trendline 2009. Maximum downside from 2022 high (symmetrical undershoot): -90% loss - In "no bail-outs"...
Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. From a long-term perspective, BTC is overall bullish trading inside our green channel. Moreover, the green zone (10k - 12k) is a resistance turned support. We are in a correction phase, but the question is, till when / where? Let's compare this correction to the previous two...
It looks like history is repeating itself with the Nasdaq composite index. These markets are cyclical. Enjoy the ride
It will go up..it will go down. TV wants me to say more...but there is nothing the chart doesn't already say.
I was looking at the start of April 2008 through May 1st 2008, when I noticed similar price action from April 2022 through May 1st 2022. On both charts, at the start of April to the 1st May the price fell an average of 16%. Since I know what happened in 2008, I used the fib retracement to see how much of retracement the NASDAQ would go and how long it would...
Hello TradingView Family, this is Richard, as known as theSignalyst. I usually keep an eye on TOTAL to get a feeling about the overall crypto market bias. Just like I keep an eye on DXY when it comes to Forex. The bulls are clearly pushing the past 2 weeks , after rejecting our lower bound/brown trendline and green support. Then the bulls took control from a...
Russia Ukraine FUD is on all the news media and social media so today I dug up a chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI on Tradingview. (It's pretty cool to go back and study the market since 1897 by the way.) One prevailing sentiment, especially after today's very muted reaction to the actual "invasion", is that the market will be fine as long as...