Considering whats been happening in metal this week starting with the Monday massive dumping of gold futures, this duo is surprising resilient, especially silver. As mentioned before, COT shows aggressive GC net short by commercial suggesting this down move will come, no surprise there. Question, is what's the reason for the massive dumpings starting Monday? If...
* Price hit the extension of the neckline from last year's large
head and shoulders pattern and reversed almost to the penny.
* Price is still in a broad range area that may prove to be choppy.
Trade the range until a trend is determined.
* Until price can break above the neckline extension trend line or
break down back below the red descending trendline...
These days I listen and read pretty optimistic forecasts for the gold price.
For now see this triangle , If this scenario is true the price of gold will soon begin to fall.
What are the chances of this happening?
Very nice confluence with the 1.27 ext measured from C to B leg lining up with 0.786 retracement of X to A. We have good structure resistance dating back to early May '13. Let's see if this pattern can reverse price.
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The title by itself is indicative of any possible trade, but it's more of an opinion than a trade opportunity, as probabilities here on an R/R basis, are not the best, which should be our only criteria.
As you can see in the attachments I was very positive and enter full long precious metal (jacked?) positions, on spot, futures,stocks and bullion more than two...
And we are flat! As suspected the FOMC news would create a lot of volatility. We will keep watching GC1! to see if anything else sets up. However, this is a great example of how it's important to manage your trade. DON'T get married to any one trade. There will be plenty more in the future.
We are still hanging onto our shorts here in GC1!. We would like to see a test of the recent lows. We are in a "free" trade and will tighten the stops further due to FOMC, Yellen speaking and issues in the Middle East. WHile we beleive we could test the 1180 area this year we don't trade on what we think....we trade on what the chart tells us. Trade well!
We are still short GC1!...however, we didn't add to our shorts. While we expected a move back to the breakdown area the buying has been very heavy so we will keep stops in and see if we can't test the most recent lows. With a conflict happening in Iraq, FOMC meeting and Aunt Janet speaking this week we could see swift moves which could take us out. If that...
We are still short GC1! with one target under our belt and stops moved to reduce risk. We are expecting a another leg down. Study the posts on GC1! we placed. We see this type of pattern in a lot of markets and they can pay you big. You have to stay patient...check your emotions at the door and trade your plan.
Target one is in the bag for this nice GC1! trade. We have pulled stops down and now have a "free" trade. PLEASE review our past posts to see how this setup. There are about 3-6 "great" trade opportunities a year in Gold (GC1!) and this is one of them. If you manage these opportunities well then you don't need more than 3-6. Trade well!
Goldilocks is off and running. Per our past posts we had been leaning long but we exited all positions because this coil was getting tighter. The bears won this battle and we are short. We are expecting a fairly large move so we will trim and trail on the way down. One key to successful trading is to push the trade as far as you can. It's hard to do but most...
Finishing a harmonic ABCD move at structural resistance seems to be in the cards.
The structural support and trend lines comes in between the 78.6 & 88,6 fib ...Could be making a hammer here going for the lowest fib and bounce!?!
Safe trading Ladies and Gents!
@BLawrence (I have often a quicker running updates on my Twitter account)
Music at...
Gold seems to be making either a 3 drive to a bottom harmonic pattern or a harmonic butterfly.
In case of the 3 drive to a bottom - the bounce area is the 61.8 fib retrace
The butterfly is in a conservative view to bounce for the 78,6 fib retrace at 1554.... but could if gold bugs is in ecstasy go as high as the 88.6 fib retrace at 1725
Safe trading ladies and...
This bad girl (Goldilocks) is getting ready to fly. Per our past posts we had been leaning long and carried a small position for the last 2 weeks. We have exited that position because this coil is getting tighter. We are expecting her to explode soon and we expect a large move. We are watching for a trigger on a lower time frame and will join in when a level...
OK...we have tested the break out area and are trying to move higher. If you pull up a weekly chart you will see that we are coiling and like CL1! it could get whippy. These are tough markets to navigate...either use small size or BE PATIENT. We are long GC1! with small size.
Miners working on a bullish engulfing week so far and a right shoulder against the metal.
If symmetry is any guide, hints that we will have maybe another month spend in this bottoming IH&S formation.
Cheers
P
The piercing line candle in the Juniors/Large miners got confirmation and the NUGT trade opened.
Needs a lot of work, as PM complex is in a downtrend, but the chart present a possible ABCD, a C&H pattern, a falling bullish wedge that is about to break and everybody I know or I read is bearish or short gold and miner stocks.
A lot, and I mean a lot of junior...
