Primary Chart: AAPL's Parallel Channel and Key Trendlines with Fibonacci Retracements from November 4 Swing Low to November 15 Swing High SUMMARY: AAPL appears to have begun a leg lower in earnest, along with SPX. A break below $140.35 will help confirm. SPX broke below its recent swing low on November 29, 2022, which is consistent with AAPL's failure at its...
Primary Chart: Down Trendline and Anchored VWAP from All-Time Highs, Fibonacci Retracements and Extensions Summary of Key Points: 1. SPX remains in a countertrend rally (an uptrend on shorter time frames) from the October 13, 2022 lows. See the parallel channel on the Primary Chart. The post-FOMC selloff found support right at the base of this channel. 2. A...
Primary Chart: BTC's Right-Angled Triangle "Don't catch a falling knife" is an oft-quoted aphorism among traders and investors. At its core, it's a warning about the dangers of buying into a downtrend or sharp drop before price has shown evidence of a bottom. Of course, there are profitable trading moves around buying dips in uptrends , and this cautionary...
Primary Chart: Trendlines, VWAPs and Fibonacci Levels Summary: 1. NVDA's bear rally shows signs of exhaustion by breakout to the upside out of its parallel channel. 2. Seasonality remains bullish so that could cause more unexpected moves to the upside before lower. 3. In the intermediate to long term, NVDA likely heads lower. The bear could resume this week. Or...
Primary Chart: Daily Logarithmic Chart with Anchored VWAPs, Fibonacci Levels, and Trendlines BTC bulls seem ecstatic today after BTC broke above an intermediate-term trendline (shown in red on the Primary Chart). While this breakout could retest (or whipsaw), the likely result is that it could be a short-term positive, leading to one of two price paths in the...
Primary Chart: Fibonacci Levels, Key EMA, and Uptrend Channel off Lows S&P 500 (SPX) has bounced hard off its lows on October 13, 2022, the date the CPI was released. Although price has chopped and whipsawed, it has been steadily working its way higher. But choppy price action is not without a purpose in technical analysis: it can help identify the direction of...
Primary Chart: Fibonacci Channel and Fibonacci Retracements for June-August 2022 Rally The bear market cannot be finished even if a bear-market rally happens tomorrow that leads BTC above its 11-month trendline. Dip buyers keep jumping in to "find the bottom." The five stages of a bear market include denial, anger, bargaining, depression, and acceptance ....
Primary Chart: MATIC Price Chart Showing Overhead Supply Zones and Fibonacci Retracements MATIC Network Shows Strength in Recent Months Despite Being in a Bear Market As shown in the Primary Chart above, MATIC network's price continues to trade well below all-time highs of $2.92 / USD. No argument can be made that it has overcome its bear market just yet....
Primary Chart: Fibonacci Levels, Symmetrical Triangle Broken in September 2021, Anchored VWAP , and Downtrend Line On September 21, 2022, SPX's had a breakout to the downside from a multi-month symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern was discussed in a post prior to the breakout. But when price breaks out of technical patterns, price sometimes tends to...
Today saw volatile, whipsawing price action in both cryptos and equity indices. BTC was no exception. As discussed in an article on September 19, 2022 at the start of this week (see link in the Primary Chart above), the US Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) has held their September 2022 meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. This meeting concluded...
Primary Chart: 11-Month Downtrend Lines, Support at June and September 2022 Lows Forming Right-Angled Triangle, Fibonacci Levels The Nasdaq 100 ( NASDAQ:NDX or NASDAQ:QQQ ) has been in a sharp downtrend nearly all year with intermittent bear rallies that have been sharp and powerful. A week ago, despite price having already fallen significantly from August 16,...
Primary Chart: Several NDX / QQQ Trendlines and Multi-Year Support Zone at $254-$267 SUMMARY : The downtrend has resumed since the consolidation pause in the days leading up to the FOMC presser on September 21, 2022. Shorter-term targets include June lows at $269-$270, and if June lows are violated, the next target range is $254-$267 on QQQ, which equates...
Primary Chart: Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci Channel with Key Support Zones HighLighted Summary: The path of least resistance continues to be downward. Key support levels were broken just above at 1319 and 1455, which are now resistance. Bollinger Bands are widening, signaling a trend move in the coming week. After a whipsaw move to the upper band, price is now...
The US Federal Reserve Open Committee (FOMC) meets Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The hawkish monetary policy that has been fostered by the FOMC has put pressure on risk assets for much of this year. The Federal Reserve, along with other central banks around the globe, have been attempting to tackle sticky inflation that has been running at high levels not seen...
Primary Chart: BTC's Key Fibonacci and Measured Move Levels along with Key Demand Zone BTC continues to trade just above make-or-break levels as it has for much of this week. It continues to chop up and down, similar to the way equity indices have the past few days. Chop essentially entails price action within a range without any directional follow through....
Primary Chart: SPX Head and Shoulders Pattern with Neckline Resistance and Fibonacci Supports SPX formed a Head and Shoulders pattern (H&S) on the daily and intraday charts over the past month. A H&S pattern is actually invalid until it's confirmed with a breakout below the neckline, drawn in dark blue on the primary chart above. In addition, because many...
BTCUSD's Fibonacci Tea Leaves May Provide Some Helpful Levels BTC's Downtrend Since November 10, 2021 BINANCE:BTCUSDT (BTC) has been in a downtrend since its all-time high of $69,000. But it has trended higher in a fairly choppy pattern since its major low on June 18, 2022. Many debates have arisen over whether BTC and other cryptocurrencies have found a...
Sunday Night BTC Report. Seems like we are done with the 50% buyer's zone and heading toward the seller's 78.6% zone. We are currently in the seller's 50% zone and have hit the top and then come back down inside but that candle that made that move is only 2 hours old. We should break out and probably nit the next resistance level overnight or sometime in the...