As of late, the vast majority of us probably have been hearing about "too big to fail" or " a free market vs. a central market" What does all of this mean?" Well, let's go over some of the basic stuff. As in some of my prior posts, it is important to understand that the "Fed" does NOT control mortgage rates or loan rates from your local banks. Let me repeat that...
In light of the precarious global economy and numerous contributing factors, such as deglobalization, the inflationary impact of the war in Ukraine, an aging population, and an overwhelming amount of debt, the Federal Reserve's role and efficacy in the current economic climate have come into question. Drawing on Jeff Snider's work, it is increasingly evident that...
DXYUSD daily guidance is neutral with a bullish bias. Recommended ratio: 60% DXY, 40% Cash. * US September PCE price index increased 0.3% from August, and Core PCE increased by 0.6% . DXY, US Treasuries, Gold, Agriculture, GBPUSD and Cryptos are up while VIX, Equities, Equity Futures, EURUSD and Energy are down. In Vladimir Putin's speech today he announced...
Historically, when the FED decides to raise interest rates it ends up breaking the market. This happened in 2000 and 2008 with the solution being interest rate suppression and quantitative easing. Both of these methods produce abnormal rates of inflation, leading the FED to raise interest rates in an attempt to preserve the purchasing power of the dollar - and it...
Attn: Chart is in Log Scale. A quick analysis of long term market outlook with historical context since 1970's. Not all recessions are covered, only those with -30% or more drop. For additional references, I have included the TVC:TNX (Blue Line) and FFR (Black Line).