Running Alpha Capital Markets observes that higher rates are not always a headwind, as the not too distant record shows that the electric utilities group can outperform and offer a margin of safety. During the last period of higher rates, from mid 2004 to mid-2006, the FOMC hiked rates 16 times, and despite these incremental actions, electric utilities actually...
Please check out the full article here: oilpro.com The Energy Select Sector SPDR® Fund (XLE) has been battered, and it is starting to bruise. With the price of crude now just hovering $43 per barrel, this exchange-traded fund (ETF) is likely to get a whole lot cheaper. This fund has support near-term because Wall Street is discounting recent events in the oil...
The dollar-yen has been rather range bound, floating between 123 and 125. The U.S. dollar is likely to remain firm heading into September, as many market participants believe the Federal Reserve will finally raise the Fed funds rate for the first time since 2006. Many traders are looking at the fact that funds rate future traders are pricing in a 54 percent...
Please check out the full, original post chalk full of information: oilpro.com .... On a market technician's viewpoint, if fundamentals do not shape up quick with support from consumption economies, like the U.S. and China, crude could break 2009's low of $33.20 per barrel. I also expect the dollar to continue to rise, increasing deflationary pressure throughout...
The U.S. dollar index (DXY) is in a precarious place ahead of the highly anticipated non-farms payroll print tomorrow. Technically, the DXY is budding up against descending trend resistance created when the greenback was able to carve out a multi-year high of 100.39 in March. After a series of lower-lows and lower-highs, traders have been able to create a slight...
Yesterday, Ashraf Laidi put out an interesting post on the USDJPY and a 40-month cycle. From April 1995 to August 1998, the pair rose just over 85 percent. In brief, in the mid-90s, the US were raising interest rates (who does that anymore? Psh), which made the dollar stronger following the recession of 1990. The Japanese yen was devalued, too, as their asset...
Expect some consolidation Forming a potential H & S? Will wait for confirmation Daily RSI has rooms to fall Data Dependant on ADP & Non Farm Payroll Previous yellow box was a bullish wedge Forecast next yellow box is a bearish wedge?
European stocks are out performing U.S. stocks. European stocks are up +7% in 2015 as of market close on 4/17/2015. The S&P 500 is up +1% in 2015. The global financial oligarchy has deemed the U.S. stock market's bull rally at 6+ years should now come to an end or at the very least, drastically slow down. Meanwhile, the coordinated central bank action is to...
2007-2012: Convergence between S&P500 trend and yield on Treasury 30y USA: - Downhill stocks leads to a reduction in yields on the bond market . The flow of money coming out of the US stocks and goes to US bonds for the "safe haven" - RISK OFF. - Rise in share prices on stocks leading the market yield bonds to rise due to the vendite.Flow of money out of the US...
It's been more than 6 years since the last major financial crisis occured in 2008. If we assume financial crisis come out almost perodically in every 8 - 10 years then I think it's time to start thinking whether we are close to the next one. 10Y US treasury notes have always been preferred investment tool for non-risk takers regardless to the financial...
Lets try to rationalize that the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) made over 50 new “all-time” highs in 2014 and nearly as many in 2013. As I have said, while learning from my near decade in financial markets, trading (and sometimes investing) defies logic. Gold still has been trading rather technically, opposed to what many may say is fundamentally driven....
Gold seen support, forming a triple bottom near 2013's low, which still remains solid support. $1,239 still remains an intermediate target before higher longer-term resistance levels are reached. In my opinion, given the overall bearishness, if the economy and such was so remarkable, gold would have sank by now. Even four-year highs on the DX couldn't send it...