SVXY is painting a Head and shoulder pattern. We break through this resistance area $55 will prove to be a tougher nut to crack, and dovetails nicely int Fed meeting.
Right, a bit of a congested chart... In white, we have $XLF, purple, the US unemployment rate, orange is the European bank index and in yellow, we have the effective Fed Funds rate (US interest rate). Recent rhetoric from the Fed has been pretty dovish, and we have had a pause in hiking rates, with there likely to be absolutely no hike this year. If an economy...
After analyzing the bigger timeframe perspective of the GBPUSD, it seems that the market cycle for this pair is heading for a bullish trend . The Fed Interest Rate decision will determine the continuation of this trend, although it's more than likely that the Fed will maintain the current Interest Rate value until December 13th. Utilizing the Fibonacci...
If correct, we should expect a slight bullish correction. However, Fed Rate Interest decision will define if we'll have a bearish or bullish trend over the next months. I'm adopting the Elliot Wave Theory for these initial series of ideas, mixing eventually with future Fibonacci retracements that will indicate the entry point of each trade.
Tesla, which has a lot of investor interest with big pocketed people, is down 10% in 2 days. Money velocity all time low, so are retail sales. Fed raised rates for the first time in 10 years, and they don't look like they are going to stop.
Big volume on selling days, highest volume in DOW history, barely moves, Fed coming in and Trump is captaining the ship that sailed a long time ago. He didn't start it, but when he sees the iceburg, he's pressing the gas, not steering away.
Chart describes relationship with Federal Funds Rate X Federal Reserve US Bond Holdings vs. S&P 500 Increasingly throughout the years markets behavior has been dictated by actions of US Central Bank Federal Reserve. Following actions and words of Federal Reserve officials have been important elements in forecasting overall market behavior and direction.
There are many reasons why bond yields should go down, however, there are many more positive reasons why bond yields will go higher. Demographically Challenged Our largest demographic population on the planet, not just in the US, is the baby boomers born 1944 to 1964. Largely early baby boomers born during WWII and up to the late 1940's have already started...