The chart provided visually represents the forward guidance issued by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) alongside the performance of various key economic indicators and market indices. The FOMC forward guidance serves as a crucial tool for signaling the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance and future intentions, thereby influencing market expectations...
Before significant interest rate hikes, I have claimed that Bitcoin is decoupling from the rest economy (which probably happened). However, the effect of rising interest rates still had some power over the Bitcoin in the tank. It seems that this power of raising interest rates is diminishing for Bitcoin relative to the rest of the economy which will probably...
It is possible that BTC will go to 20 000 and maybe even below that, but chasing the bottom is not the smartest idea. This is the opportunity that we've been waiting for. Everyone wanted to buy BTC if only it was a little cheaper. Well, now it is, but everyone is scared :) The wise words of Peter Lynch are that NOBODY can predict the bottom, and nobody can...
US inflation data in July 2023 provided mixed signals. While Consumer Price Index (CPI) is moving in the right direction, producer price inflation suggest pipeline pressures are picking up. Core CPI, which excludes often-volatile food and energy costs, rose only 0.2% for a second month in a row . However, US producer prices picked up in July, owing to increases in...
hi dear trader my road map for dollar curency index ... One more Fed rate hike at least and a narrowly softer dollar outlook The forthcoming Federal Open Market Committee meeting may be a relatively subdued gathering, leaving exciting loose ends for September. Meanwhile, the dollar could trade around current ranges with a modest softening bias over the rest of...
Tax revenues in the past were a good indicator for a recession. However after the massive $10 trillion of added public debt loans $9 trillion in QE increasing the money supply by 43% this indicator may be correcting for distortion rather than giving us an actual valid economic signal. However we should keep an eye on it as it is heading in the wrong direction. If...
sell below low of breakdown candle at 125.7 stoploss at 128.5
Hello, friends, do not sell this pair because of the negative news, as the interest rate was negative yesterday on the dollar, so the euro must rise in front of it, so I will prefer the buying trend instead of selling, so we have three areas from which the price will reverse with a 99% confirmation rate €$$$$$$$$$$$$€$$$$$$$$$$€ The first area is the mitigation...
Hello to everyone As you know my friends today we have federal funds rate It they increase the funds more than 0.50% we will go down And if they didn’t increase or they just increase 0.25 % our bull market will be start ThNk you BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Here's SPY x Fed Funds Rate / M2 Money Supply. The only times this metric was this high was in 2000 and 2007 when stock market was in Bubble status. Looks like SPY is overvalued. What do you think?
Last week's surprising jobs report sticky inflation, and persistent and frothy financial conditions may force the Federal Reserve members into a more hawkish position, forcing them to keep the heat on interest rates and the money supply. Many market participants were looking for a pause in rate hikes as soon as next month and possibly a pivot to lowering rates...
OANDA:XAUUSD The MONTHLY chart shows the ratio between the spot gold price and the US inflation rate. While overall, the ratio is quite stable or consolidated for a period of more than 15 years. Hpwever. y three episodes are noted where the ratio rose parabolically including 2009, 2015 and the Covid 2022 time period . For the present, the RSI Swing Indicator...
In this daily chart, I made a composite index of electric vehicle stocks using an approximate formula weighed by stock prices but not market cap. ( ( $NIO + $LCID + $RIDE + $NKLA +$WKHS) x 50 ) + $TSLA This serves as an approximate normalization adjustment of the varying stock prices in the collection of stocks. I did this to later check to see if there is...
hello guys there is a liquidity pool for gold that i think it is great for pending position, i know it is risky but worth it! i have been showing everything in chart but if you have a question please ask! thank you for your attention!
The US DOLLAR has topped out and now beginning it correction. This is very bullish/positive for US Stocks for a new "potential" indication set up for them to breakout on a impulsive wave up. It had touched my previous forecast of 110 as my last target. Federal Reserve will take a more aggressive approach in hiking interest rates next week. Expectations for...
Yellow= Support or Resistance Green= Positive trendlines Blue= Strong and trend effecting S/R The analysis concern USD bound to SEK, however its a great general directional indication to USD weighing against all other. The Analysis is about the current positive trend. Due to its already developed for some time its not in its beginning, therefore its not an...
As equities and crypto are bludgeoned to death in 2022. It is becoming increasingly clear the intention of the Fed; contrary to its speeches, is not, to cause a soft landing for the economy. In order to effectively counter the East the West will need a financial Bazooka to re-structure manufacturing as well as commodity markets. From this perspective, looking...