The Euro currency index has been moving in a series of lower highs and lower lows following the unsuccessful European Union parliamentary elections and also all the clouds surrounding Mrs. T. May. A break above the 112 price level will invalidate this idea. Short-sellers can target the 110.5 area, which is the bottom of the descending channel, as a potential...
Hi fellow traders! GBPUSD is currently trading around 1.31100. It has the potential to rise all the way up, following the current EU summit taking place right now. If the UK is granted an extension, this will rule the chance of No Deal out, which will allow the £ to strengthen. Hopefully if it is a short one, it would be better as it would allow the UK to leave...
But just because the UK is fickle on leaving the EU for the WTO, its still not sure if ready to make the jump. EURUSD in the upcoming week will almost entirely be moved by Brexit, however concerns over a slowdown in European growth may be justified with more weak EU data, particularly in central bank speak on Tuesday, German CPI on Thursday, and unemployment...
Still see further downside slide on the cable before the finalization of brexit deal. OInly looking to short on the retest of zone or break of support zone and a retest for reduced risk. Stops are set at 30-45 pips at 0.01 per $100 or 0.10 per $1000. Account leverage set at 1:100
Look at Data numbers if you are not confident DONT TRADE.
The graph is an update of the previous analysis and follows the spread between Italian BTP 10Y and German BUND 10Y with a timeline of the Italian government's announcement and the European Commission responses
Comments in chart. Additional comments: 20 Monthly Moving Average is now serving as resistance. 200 Weekly Moving Average is now holding the support of price in the weekly chart. Should price action trend continue, should the DAX continue its downtrend, should additional negative economic news come out of the primary countries within the European Union, this...
Comments are located in the chart. If this trend continues, I expect the Euro to finally break its major support zone as well, with Germany being a large influencer of the European Union.
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I think me might have a nice shoot of shorting the Euro here against the Dollar. If we continue to see dollar Strenght, EU and Britain keep arguing, the Euro is also bound to follow cable south. Good luck out there.
hello dear traders & welcome to growing Forex All eyes on M.Draghi. As of tomorrow the EU said that all the 28 countries economy are growing at a faster rate from the US. Still political uncertainty in Europe its about Greece debt its about France elections it looks like Germany is all alone. Germany minister Wolfsgang said Germany alone cant handle the pressure...
The Euro looks to be trading back towards the midpoint of its distribution... I'm not bullish as a result of the risks posed by European elections this year, however, I am of the opinion it trades higher over the next month where I will likely look to short it higher. Given it is in said distribution I will be monitoring it closely with my mean-reversion model,...
Forming a Bearish Gartley Pattern, finding resistance around the .786XA mark which is also the area of the AB=CD. !.27 BC projection makes up the bottom area of the price reversal zone. Awaiting price action and confirmation. Any Comments?
FOMC Lockhart was the 4th Fed this week to imo be relatively Hawkish with his words, most notably reinforcing with the others brexits near-term stability saying "Doesn't Expect 'Brexit' to Have Near Term Impact on Economy" and " So Far 'Brexit' Reaction Largely Orderly". Most interestingly though was Lockharts view on the FOMC's positioning for future rate...
Trading for this week: 1. My plan for next week focuses on point "3." from the previous post - I am waiting for risk-on or risk-off assets to confirm investor conviction by using USDJPY as a barometer for net risk sentiment. Despite the market uncertainty and high volatility UJ last week traded within a 200pip range for the between 101.3-103.3. Therefore, I...
Expectations vs Reality: 1. Following the referendum decision on Friday, as expected GBP sold off 10%+, the FTSE plummeted in a similar fashion and global risk assets sold off across the board, but FTSE/ Risk recovered a significant amount of those losses into Fridays close and for the rest of the next week.. So what happened to BREXIT? - Such behaviour would...
2016, the year of the Risk-Off Asset Historically Gold has performed +10-20% in the 6 months into US Presidential Election years AND also by longing Gold on this pull-back it opens up the opportunity to benefit from the potential tail risk that the UK votes to "Brexit" in which Gold will likely trade through $1400. Gold is one of my favourite plays for 2016 for...
In the previous post we have used the Price Action data from the Scottish UK Referendum for GBPUSD for the 3-days on and around the vote so the 17th, 18th (vote day) and 19th (result day) of September 2014 as a gauge to forecast whats in store for Price action on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday this week (the parallel days for both of the referendums). ...