Are you following my SPY Cycle Patterns yet? If not, here is a list of the SPY Cycle Patterns for this week and beyond... 2/6/2023 2/7/2023 Inside-Breakaway 2/8/2023 Harami-Inside 2/9/2023 CRUSH 2/10/2023 GAP Potential 2/11/2023 GAP...
So we are hitting a 2hr uptrend right here at 4114. This is going to be a lower high 2hr uptrend. We have already had a lower high 30m and 1hr uptrend signal also. Having cashed out on my last trade, I might look at anything around the 2hr uptrend if it closes up here and causes that signal, as a short position. However, I am also aware that tomorrow is CPI data....
So I'm sitting short from 4150 and still holding to see things go lower. Quick tidbit, the overnight plunge was likely spurred in some part by Russia reducing oil production by 500,000 barrels a day as punishment for sanctions. This is why oil prices spiked overnight also, although they've fallen back to under 1% (they were over 2% for a bit there). In terms of...
All in the video - it's very possible the top was in fact, last week. Watch the high from yesterday on SPX or ES, if we get over it we likely go to 4200 + but if we don't, there's a good chance we keep falling to 4k. The market is quiet and complacent at the moment but that could change today with the Fed speakers and Jobs data tomorrow. Good luck!
Technical review of the stock market after the FOMC rate hike and Jerome Powell speech. All in the video - I'm tired and will update tomorrow.
Here is a video update for my followers. This video is in support of the recent SPY updates I've shared over the past few days. Follow my research. Learn how my analysis skills can help you prepare for the biggest price swings. These are not the same markets as 2008 & 2000. Learn to adapt to price trends and become a better trader. I'm trying to teach you to...
SP500 Hello traders, welcome back to another market breakdown. Here is an outlook on the stock market state for the year 2023 and the kind of scenarios we might have in the future. Trade safe, Tarder Leo.
SPX is in the area where I think it may reverse although higher highs to end the day is certainly possible. It has been a hard slog for bears and according to what I'm seeing on the put/call charts, the bets are mostly bullish. This makes sense in terms of price action but under the hood there are some issues. There are technical reasons why I'm still bearish...
The idea from yesterday is not working as I thought so I had to reevaluate what I'm seeing this morning. The general bias is still down - under the 18ma on daily and weekly, embedded bearish slow stochastic, put call ratios back to normal levels again, and more.... If we move quickly downward, there is daily BB support near 3740 on ES. That should at least pause...
12/28/2022 SELL IT ALL!!! Last day to sell losses for your taxes and it looks like that is exactly what people did. They sold it all and sold it fast.
Trade Plan this Week Pivot is 3875. Big levels above are 3915 / 3960 / 3990 / 4000 / 4050. Big levels below are 3832 / 3800 / 3777 / 3750 / 3712. Market Structure Short Term Trend. Spooz remains in a downtrend until we can get back above that 3915, which would be the first goal for bulls as it would put them back in firm control. The Profiles. What the market...
This is a video walk through of the SPY considering this count as a larger ABC move instead of an impulse with a bounce coming next. I do feel this count is a strong possibility but it will be wrong over 383 or more conservatively, over 387. Very few people think we can have a melt down over the holidays, and very few are thinking this is a possibility, which...
A walk through of what I think is the most probable price action for the week. I'll update on a static chart tomorrow. Good luck!
I got short Globex using a BEAR PUT SPREAD !! Here's the video with the explanation ...
All in the video, very simply bulls want to at least hold 3900 for the week to keep the weekly 18 ma bias in the bullish camp. Even better for bulls would be recapturing 4k which would get us over the daily 18ma again. Bears want to see the weekly 18ma at 3900 break and hold under for the week, but a test of the daily 18 at 4k and rejection would be an ideal...
Had to update my analysis as the breakdown today looks legit. Very possible that Friday was both a bear and bull trap and thus the hanging man candle on futures. If we get under the 18ma the daily bias will be down. Support is at 3940 (price shelf and 100ma) so I think buyers will step in there for a bounce, but under the 18ma and all bounces will be opportunities...
All in the video. SPX is hanging around it's 4hr neckline, no decision to sell just yet, Oil may be a nice short, 70 is the target I'm watching. XLE I think is also an excellent short opportunity but confirmation is under 90. Bonds look good and maybe had a very important long term low. BTC could sell some more a few targets are 145 12k and 10k Good luck
Coming out of a nice bearish trend SPY has bounced nicely off the 200-day Moving Average on the weekly time frame. Historically, the 200-day moving average has been a massive level of support and resistance. You can always expect some nice volatility around there. Coming out of the bearish trend we do have some more bearish trend lines to hit. As of now,...