See chart for fundamental and technical analysis. I have given a timeline of Brexit events and the reasoning for its effects on the Pound Sterling. The combination of technical analysis and a strong likelihood of a Conservative landslide (Soft Brexit) should see the GBP surge, and hopefully see GBP recover to its pre-Brexit highs.
Two days before the first round of the presidential elections (23 April), the uncertainty remains high. Take the opportunity of a risk-friendly scenario or a strong risk aversion scenario by pending orders of both sides. The nightmare scenario for the market would be a second round between Far-left and Far-right candidates. Trade the EUR against JPY, considering...
OVERALL VIEW: SHORT.
The pair moves in long deep waves.
Failing to break the previous highs, we've seen the market begin a new downward cycle of lower highs, held only by 38.2" fib on the weekly chart.
This acted as resistance straight after the Brexit rally, and has since been tested three times and held as support. Demand is doing well to hold this favored...
After breaking out of a four month range the pound had a sharp decline against the dollar in October, since then the pair has been pulling back and it looks like we could be due for a further bearish decline,the pair has pulled back into a key Fib level and rejected.
USDJPY has formed a base just below monthly support around 100.052, recent price action would suggest that the pair is in early stages of reversal as a key trend line has also been broken. Price is currently testing monthly resistance at 106.131 a break of this level and we can potentially see this pair reach highs of 111.207 in the not too distance future.
After the initial FBI/Clinton related hit on the greenback, followed by the High Court ruling combined to send Cable through 1.2325-30. On the hourly timeframe this does look like a retracement but we have some key levels around where we are right now. In this recent retracement we have seen a break into negative territory with a RSI trendline break. We are...
I must stress the election is a binary event in regards to technical analysis, but I would like to point out what the chart levels to look out for are. First of all I will look at the mean value, this currently lies between 96.40 and 97.60 & the extreme levels of the recent range is 100.43 high and 91.90 low. On a side note we are also seeing a bullish failure...
Very basic set up. I believe USDCAD is going to sell to the 31.8 fib level, which is also in confluence with a mini structure level: 1.33440. Furthermore i also believe its going to sell off as you'll notice its at a key resistance level in which its rejected 3 times already : 1.34131. Moreover, its also decent risk to reward oppourinty.
Buying Potential - The 78.6% Fibonacci line is nearing the Long term trend line and if it respects the support from both of them expect a long sale to the upside.
Take note - Due to the whole situation with the US election , keep an eye on it with great focus.
Preparing for a Trump win
Following Friday and the FBIs decision to re-open the case on Hilary I have decided I am going to assume A Trump win, this is for several reasons:
1) After reading into it, the reopening of the FBI case implies one of three things imo - 1. They have found new significant...
1. Slightly late posting this position but we got long at 104.5 earlier today. The rationale behind owning USD VS JPY is as follows.
USD risks are bid
1) in the run up to the 2015 dec hike USD traded extremely bid with DXY breaking through 100, based on the last 2wks i expect USD to mirror 2015 and continue the bid tone we have seen both in...