Hi Traders! Today is a big day for the EURUSD with the ECB's interest rate decision followed by their press conference. The pair is under some pressure and is approaching its yearly low at 1.04485, and we could see that being broken depending on the ECB's decision today. Price Action 📊 The market recently broke its long-term ascending price channel, and...
Ahead of the ECB rate decision tomorrow, the futures markets see almost zero chance we get anything other than a hold at 4.50%. This falls in line with other economies including the Bank of Canada which held rates earlier today. From a technical perspective the Daily chart is back above the wedge breakout level. I took a Long this morning from 0.87140 after a...
EURUSD had some nice bounce in the last 24 hours, back to 1.07 which is now acting as a very strong resistance. We also highlighted this one in our website here on TV. I would not be surprised if the pair comes down actually, bakc to 2023 lows since it's very hard to trust Monday flows, plus, we will rarely see directional moves ahead of key events the ECB this...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: This week's trading saw the Eurodollar drawn to the Mean Res of 1.062, its main attraction. The intermediate price action may cause a pullback to Mean Sup 1.053 before resuming rebounding to Inner Currency Rally 1.070 with the completion of the pullback to follow.
Technical Analysis and Outlook: As our analysis of the EUR/USD daily chart for the week of October 6 indicated, the Eurodollar hit our mean resistance level of 1.062 a few times and is drifting lower toward the mean support level of 1.047. The price may rebound strongly from this zone of upcoming week price action.
Price moved a lot higher to fill the overnight gap down. My idea yesterday became invalid but this gives me a better entry: Gap down suggests general direction and now the gap has been filled, supported by a pinbar on the 1hr I'm getting in short with a first TP at 156 (ultimately I think 154), but I think this could be the start of the reversal.
EURJPY has been hanging around 157 - 157.5 range for some time, we saw a break below last week which quickly recovered, but we've broken back below now so I expect a stronger push back down to the low of last week (caused by JPY buying). With price action there was also a failure to make a new high, we saw a short pinbar on the 4HR before we broke back below my...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has tested the Outer Currency Dip of 1.050 multiple times. It has risen during this week's trading session, as our EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis for the Week of September 29 indicated: For the upcoming week, the up target is Mean Res 1.062, and on the downside the Mean Sup 1.050 and completed Outer Currency Dip of 1.050.
Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has successfully reached our predicted Next Outer Currency Dip of 1.050 and has since rebounded strongly to retest the previously achieved Outer Currency Dip of 1.062, which is now considered a new resistance point. It is possible that the trading zone may continue to rise. The next target for a decrease is the...
The euro has moved upwards on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0597, up 0.30%. After falling sharply earlier this week, the euro has rebounded and gained close to 1% since Wednesday. The eurozone's inflation level dropped to 4.3% y/y in September, a sharp decline from the August reading of 5.2% y/y and below market expectations of 4.5%...
Fundamentals out of the Eurozone last week were not good, in particular the data coming out of France. NZD is looking strong against all crosses at the moment. From a technical perspective this cross has broken out of its channel to the downside, and now broken the ascending trendline on the weekly and looks to have retested it. All things suggest to me that...
The euro has extended its losses on Wednesday and has declined close to 1% this week. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0552, down 0.18%. Germany has traditionally been the powerhouse of Europe but finds itself lagging in the rear, with a struggling economy and high inflation. The GfK Consumer Climate index fell to -26.5 for October, down from a...
Technical Analysis and Outlook: In this week's trading, the Eurodollar fulfilled its legacy by completing our Outer Currency Dip of 1.062 with an intermediate rebound retest to Mean Res 1.070 and 1.075 possibilities. The next major down target is the Outer Currency Dip of 1.050.
Fundamentally I got Aussie strength on the horizon, whilst the EU is all over the place. I'm seeing a big fall coming, with the EU basically stagflating and AUD being buoyed by Chinese recovery, gold price increases etc. Even though we've seen positive data for the Euro this week, the effect on the FX has been negligible. Can't see the Euro doing much more than...
Certain weeks stand out in importance, and the week ahead is shaping up to be one of them. On the economic calendar we have the Eurozone & Canada CPI as standouts for Tuesday, UK CPI & FOMC on Wednesday. Such action-packed weeks often provide the catalyst for the next move in the markets. Our attention is currently drawn to the EURCAD for multiple reasons....
Technical Analysis and Outlook: This week, the Eurodollar continued drifting lower following last week, completing our Outer Currency Dip of 1.062. The continuation to the next Outer Currency Dip 1.050 is in progress; however, an intermediate rebound Retest to Mean Res 1.075 is possible.
The ECB raised rates this week. The Euro fell. The market has priced in this week's rate hike as the last. It thinks the ECB is done. Judging by current Euro Area inflation, there are more rate hikes to come. What does this mean? A stronger Euro, which is not currently priced in. Keep an eye on Euro Area inflation figures. If inflation continues to be...
The euro has steadied on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0665, up 0.20%. The European Central Bank's rate decision went right down to the wire on Wednesday. It was unclear whether the central bank would hike or hold, with strong reasons to support each position. In the end, the ECB opted to hike, choosing the fight against inflation over...