Traders, As mentioned in several of my previous posts and last video, SPY has now reached its downside target. This level at 410 provides strong support and correlates with our level of support on the RSI. I expect this week to be an up week for the S&P 500 and the stock market in general. Best, Stew
In the higher time frame, we are working on a corrective move down. The primary scenario is now suggesting that this happens as an ABC. The five waves down from the high might also indicate a bearish flat scenario. In the lower time frame, the final wave ((v)) of wave 5 of wave A looks incomplete.
We took out the 04/10 low and therefore it looks like we will have an ABC correction down instead of a WXY structure in the higher time frame. In the lower time frame, it looks like we are finishing wave (v) of wave 5.
Whether you want to look at these markets like an American football game or the National Finals Rodeo/Calgary Stampede bull riding, this final quarter of the year is set up to be quite the fireworks show. The new JP Morgan fund options collar is illustrated on the chart, but let's put it into text: JPM is the seller of 41,000 calls with a strike of 4,515 JPM is...
We believe we are doing a WXY structure in the higher time frame and we are currently working on the wave X up. The primary scenario suggests a wxy structure for the wave X which is missing one more swing up. If we make another low, then the WXY becomes an ABC structure.
We believe we are doing a WXY structure in the higher time frame and we are currently working on the wave X up. The primary scenario suggests a wxy structure for the wave X which is missing one more swing up. If we make another low, then the WXY becomes an ABC structure.
Dow Jones is volatile on the 4H timeframe (RSI = 37.485, MACD = -170.620, ADX = 29.943) after almost testing the S1 level (32,813) yesterday but following a 4H MACD Bullish Cross formation, it is a low risk buy opportunity. The rejection of the previous rise took place on the 4H MA200, so that is our target again. Buy and TP = 33,700. ## If you like our free...
We believe we are doing a WXY structure in the higher time frame and we are currently working on the wave X up. The primary scenario suggests a wxy structure for the wave X which is missing one more swing up.
Dow Jones may be trading inside a long term Channel Up but the medium term pattern is a Bearish Megaphone. The last Bottom of the Channel Up was closer to the 1week MA200, this time the MA level is even closer, a strong candidate for a bottom. The previous correction leg made a -10.15% extension, a new one of this size meets almost perfectly the bottom of the...
We believe we are doing a WXY structure in the higher time frame and we are currently working on the wave X up. The primary scenario suggests a wxy structure for the wave X which is missing one more swing up. An abc structure for the wave X is also still possible.
Dow Jones is on a range with the 1H timeframe neutral (RSI = 46.672, MACD = -41.790, ADX = 29.739), giving us an opportunity to buy the decline of the last three days and target the 1D MA50 (TP = 34,000). Technically this consolidation, even on 1D RSI structure which is inside a Rectangle, mimics early September. The medium term trend remains bearish inside a...
Dow Jones (DJI) has completed an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern and this week's pull-back, caused by a rejection on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), may be the last before it starts rising to a new Higher High. We are taking this opportunity to buy for the short-term and target the top of the dashed Channel at 34200. The IH&S can complete its long-term...
We believe we are doing a WXY structure in the higher time frame and we are currently working on the wave X up. The primary scenario suggests a wxy structure for the wave X which is missing one more swing up. An abc structure for the wave X is also still possible.
We got the additional swing up in the lower time frame but it does not look like a fifth wave. Overall, we believe there will be more upside but in a corrective way. This suggests a WXY structure in the higher time frame.
We got the additional swing up in the lower time frame but it does not look like a fifth wave. Overall, we believe there will be more upside but in a corrective way. This suggests a WXY structure in the higher time frame.
Dow Jones is testing the MA200 (4h) today, after holding the MA50 (4h), extending the rebound that was generated at the bottom of the Channel Up. This is so far replicating to a good extend, the March 15th rebound-bullish leg. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the MA200 (4h) break out. Targets: 1. 34850 (Falling Resistance). Tips: 1. The MACD On the (1d) time frame is...
The primary expectation is that wave ((c)) of wave 2 is finished. We had a strong reaction from the reversal areas. However, in the lower time frame, we are missing one more swing up to identify an impulse. If we do not get the additional swing up, we probably take out the low as an impulsive fifth wave down.
Dow Jones on the 3M chart gives you the clearest picture you can get. Every 10-15 years it consolidates inside a Megaphone (fundamental reasons like war, recession etc) and then an expansion phase follows. In the 90s this expansion phase was extended due to the uprecedented boom of Dotcom. While the index is on its expansion phase, the RSI trades inside a...