Fundamentals around Copper, Steel rebar, Iron ore, Coal not looking so rosy currently. Technically Copper HG looking weak. Dec'16 lows could be next resistance at 2.4785 (Approx LME 5500), a further significant break here could see 38.2% Fib area tested (2.3425) then Nov lows of 2.09. Support may be found at 2.5935.
If we get a nice Santa Clause melt-up, followed by a sell off in January, expect people to flock to utilities. The first bill everybody pays is their electricity bill. If we start to get the handle formation, I'm betting the house as soon as we gap up.
Looking for for the past and expecting that recovery would be just 50% of the similar one that started in 2009, and will last 50% shorter, last rise lasted about 791d and this may last 50% shorter i.e. 366d. Granting that this would be true, Q1 2017 would be the best period to open short positions of coal companies. Of course this just my view, not a...
A retest of $8 is called for.
A break above $42 will prove very bullish.
First entry on possible floor at 2.34, with a wide stop near $1.99. (but I'd just let it run without any stops, swings are rather large at this point, and there's a huge chance that you might be stop hunted ) Normalized volume (price * volume) is pretty much dying up. Yes I know the fundamentals are absolute garbage but there'll be some retrace eventually as a...
Fundamentally we have the Reserve Bank of Australia with a neutral stance and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand with a neutral stance after the latest rate cut. In fact the NZ CPI Figures are scheduled for this week before we head into the showdown of the RBNZ in the last week of January. I am expecting a drop in NZ CPI Figures of round about -0.5%, while the newest...
Crude oil is making new grounds with it soon to come with its reverse pull back, same thing happened in 2009 although there is a possibility that crude can slide to support at 40$. either way i will be easing my way into a positions using the ETF UWTI which is priced very cheaply at 3$ a share. also a big shout out to @Ricker for showing me UWTI
Arch Coal based nicely from July 2013 to April 2014 and then pulled back 30%... I think it's almost time for a long black train to comeback into the station. If natural gas has any price or supply issues this winter coal will roar back. It's that time of year to start thinking about winter which is a few months away. Coal is still hated but needed and will not go...