Energy commodities are mostly hard commodities that are mined or extracted. They include fossil fuels like Coal, Oil (in various blends and grades) and Natural Gas. The price of these commodities is one of the most watched economic indicators by traders, economists, governments and businesses given the correlation between economic growth and energy consumption. Their price is influenced by global economic up- or downturns, by production cuts or increases and by emerging green energies. Their price influences other commodities since it takes energy to produce them.
Energy commodities are widely used in industrial applications and they drive inflation, which makes them an effective hedge against it. You can trade or invest in energy commodities through futures contracts, options, exchange-traded funds and stocks of companies in the energy sector. Oil is the most widely traded commodity worldwide and the Oil room is one of the most popular custom chats on TradingView. We also have an active Natural Gas room where traders talk in real-time about where the market is going.
The goal of the current exchange rate rise is 66.2 usd. Unlike the previous analysis, I put it slightly higher. Accordingly, I expect a reduction in correction motion of 58.7 usd. This is a nearly 11% decrease. If the predetermined movement occurs, then there is a high chance of a further rising wave system. The target price is 80USD. An additional increase of...
Sorry guys I haven't posted in a while but here we have a simple short on USOIL.
I have already caught over 100 pips on this pair this week in my premium group and have now gone short again!
Confirmation can be seen in the bearish candles formed.
Trade safe and good luck!
Several important things converge on UK Oil price (on weekly chart) creating probabilities for the south on most lower time frames:
1. Original Grade A ATR switch for the south.
2. Bullish rebellion into a near 61.8% Fib
3. Weak squeeze momentum rebellion (so far).
4. Horizontal zone of congestion near recent price.
5. VMA resistance level.
Note that VMA and...
Midterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 66.50, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 55.20 breaks.
If the resistance at 66.50 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is...
In this screencast I show two charts where crashes could happen. I focus on Wall Street which - affects markets globally including forex markets.
On the weekly time frame US Oil is beginning to struggle at a 61.8% Fib retracement.
Wall Street is possibly struggling at an important structure level. A whole lot depends on China. But dig deeper. See the CSI300...
Should be an easy few pips here... up to psych level at 70.00... We've had some higher highs and lows on the hourly and a nice 4h pinbar most recently.... enjoy...
Massive amount of newsflow to come before drill summer campaign.
Cash in hand.
no warrants,
Lombard bought more,
JV / farm out partner to come,
appraisal well, production well & exploration well to come
60p to 75p target & make sure you slice along the way to protect profits.
Here is my technical and fundamental analysis for entering short positions on US Oil.
Technicals:
- Weekly rejecting broken channel trendline
- Weekly rejecting $64.50 prior support/resistance zone
- Weekly Fib 0.618
- 4hr showing lower highs and lows now.
Entry will be a weekly close below the Fib 0.618 level and resistance zone. Or I will enter short on the...
Midterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 66.50, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 55.20 breaks.
If the resistance at 66.50 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is...
Counter Trend and Trend opportunity on OIL
- OIL approaching resistance the 61,8 FiB and Upper Trend Line
- RSI is over bought and we have a big RSI divergence
A pull back is expect back to 60.00 level (Confluence of 38,2 Fib and 61,8 Fib retracements)
An obvious RSI break out vs other attempts, this is set to go higher, either entry on retrace or scale in.
potential retrace to 62.6p
last week volume spike
Above all MA's! = bullish
The exchange rate is in the second wave of a double fractal. If it continues, the price of the ascent is 65.57usd. Then I expect a steep decline. This decrease can reach 15%.
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