As we see some support is coming in from our longer term trend channel as well as the lower Bbands. So far the last three weeks have provided with the expected sideways action once reaching 50. Selling calls has been the right strategy so far (51, 52 and 53 calls). At this support I am covering my short calls, but will hold of selling any put spreads to see how...
Still anticipating ranging markets. Opened a couple Bear/Credit Call Spread at $211/$216. I'm using a $5 spread because the R/R is better than $10 spread. Credit = $2.25 (net $2.14) Break even = $213.14 August Expiration* * I likely will not hold on till expiration. I would use a SPY price drop to take profits and remove the risk.
Gold bounced off of the support area for now Light volume during recent bounce indicates this is a retracement in the downtrend --> I threw in some Fibs to indicate where overhead resistance lies. Resistance at: - 7 day MA (currently there); a break would suggest the 20 day MA or the 38% FIb as target (1240ish) - 23% Fib at 1224, 38% Fib at 1240 Overall: the...
Pro Long: - Trend line provided massive support (dark red line) - High volume at support and during the rally - future spreads very strong (N16-U16 turned into backwardation) - If we close positive today 7 MA will cross 20 MA generating buy signal Contra Long: - running into resistance on middle Bollinger Band (20 day MA) I sold the 2900 puts last week as a...
Pro Long (Chart): - RSI and Stochastik created buy signal - Orange support line Pro Long (Physical): - ICE warehouse stocks new lows - spreads tightening ever so slightly Contra (Chart): - still in middle to upper end of trend channel - room to go in terms of lower Bollinger band - long term trend still down - risk/reward for long position not there IMHO I...
For me this looks like a Bear-Flag in the downtrend. The Volatility Stop at 103.50$ is like a WALL.. If we break through Support at 100$ the next suppport is at abbout 94$. A Bear-Call-Spread above 108$ could be a good Idea.
This is a pair trade idea based on CNQ/XLE pair cointegration. My calculations show that these two stocks diverged by more than 2 standard deviation and, based on mean reversion, should come back to mean. This pair's rolling mean is 28.3 over the last 280 trading sessions. The current value is 23.6 and one standard deviation is 1.8. The trad can be done by...
Im expecting AMZ to Bounce of from 580 and than heading toward 200 SMA. Maybe Bear-Call-Spread for next week?