German Bund yields ( DE10Y ) are in the midst of a secular trend reversal after the breakout of both the 200-month moving average and a 40-year descending trend line. Yields on the 10-year Bund have never gone over the 200-mma mark before. The next barrier is the psychological threshold of 2%, which coincides with the September 2013 highs and 23.6% of the...
Here expecting Equities and Yields to perform the same dance till we clear the next important CB combo in September. We are at a crucial point in the cycle, a superb time for short covering to begin and with that the opportunity to ride a temporary correction before ECB/FED Sept. A good example of a positional trade ahead of the ECB beginning to cut further;...
The corrective process is underway in German 10-year yields. The market met the criteria for the 3rd wave extension, since then we have retraced 23.65 of the prior leg down. A log of congestion here, expect oscillation for some time in this 4th wave (no surprises here for the FED / ECB combo coming later in the month). For confidence in a base formation we would...
German Government Bonds continue to languish aimlessly in a down-trending channel. The gradual convergence of the moving averages tells us that the market may be close in time to a decision point. Unless the market confidently closes above this channel, it can be assumed that Bunds are topping out in earnest. The fundamental story behind Bunds is that the rest of...
Bund is back on major support at 159.26 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support) and a potential bounce could occur at this level to push price up to at least 160.65 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance). RSI (34) is also making a nice pullback to previous resistance-turned-support line. Trading CFDs on margin carries high...
Bund has made a bullish exit and sees major support at 159.26 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support). A strong rise could occur from here pushing price up to 160.65 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance). RSI (34) has made a bullish exit signaling that there’s a change in momentum from bearish to bullish. Trading CFDs on...
Idea: Possible resistance and return to the down trend. DISCLAIMER: This is where I practice ideas and work on my trading techniques. Please note I am only providing my own trading information for insight to my trading techniques, you should do your own due diligence and not take this information as a trade signal. Trade at your own risk. Update idea
tweezer tops and bearish engulfing, missed this first time round and the tweezers on point 2, am going with the market here for a sell to break this bottem
On thursday ECB president Mario Draghi maintains a dovish tone on rates, Bund reacted with an attempt to rally from lows of 162 and closed 162.36 that day. However that rally was short-lived as the US Dollar continued to strengthen ahead of Trump's inauguration while pushing global bond yields higher. Bund closed on a critical support level of 162, which has...
Still think the general trend is lower in line with the US. The retreat this morning was sharp.
BUND has not suffered as much as US bonds (eg TLT), but is still on a downward trend
The long term picture for Bund market is getting increasingly bearish. Yesterday, Sentix reported that institutional investors's inflation expectation is growing and now they expect much less monetary support from central banks. Their assessment of future of the EZ economy has also markedly improved. This doesn't bode well for Bund market and the technical picture...