Bund makes a little correction maybe 167,00 - 166,80 and than up to 168,00 - 168,86! For the Dec. Future (roll over) we will see no more down till 165,50 Only my thougt.
Der Bund ist in der Range gefangen 168,00/20 - 167,00 - 166,80 Ich sehe morgen oder übermogen einen fallenden Bund. Jetzt von 167,50/60/80 ist eine gute short Chance bis 167,20/00 Auch hier gilt das ist nur meine Meinung und das kann total falsch sein!
There is downside risk for the euro as price action for EURUSD failed to close above 1.1342, essentially creating an asymmetric double top with the fizzled mid-February rally. The pair looks to fade back to the 200-day EMA near 1.1108. The rally in the dollar following its steep declines last week could cause a more pronounced slide as long as the DXY remains...
Bund can offer great short opportunity.Looking for reverse or rejection signal in the resistance area (Orange rectangle). RSI divegence is a warning signal for prepare to sell. For information about stop loss and take profit points, contact me.
Simple analysis on chart. This correlates well with my intermarket analysis view, a monster eurusd downtrend and a massive EUSTX/DAX rally. Trade has good probability, but it's most importantly a forecast, and part of my current market worldview, like Van Tharp calls it. Good luck if taking the trade. If you want live updates and more information, make sure to...
Bund's forming a rising wedge advance, which looks like a terminal pattern ending in a lower high. A similar pattern is in the TLT chart, and probably also forming in the S&P500 in the coming days. Time at mode trend signals have failed and led to a retest of the mode, and a new uptrend signal, and then a second one confirming this week after the close. I like...
It's a pretty strong bear market here. Short positions are still favored, esp. if we see another "pin bar".
The sharp rise in sovereign yields in Europe has taken a lot of people by surprise, and the sentiment in the market is more and more bearish as people are starting to believe Bill Gross's "short of a century" statement made two months ago. We should all be asking ourselves if it's reasonable to expect yields to keep rising over the long term as the ECB will...
This is not the first time the euro-dollar has been able to stage monster rallies, as faith in the US dollar continues to crumble. The dollar index has had a few of the worst days since 2009. Previously via Twitter, I supported the initial rally from 1.0880; but as it approached the current supply zone, I believed it would be a tough nut to crack for further...
The support area in the rectangle has some unique characteristics that makes it a good place to expect the recent Bund sell-off to halt: 1- Trendline 2- 50% Retracement 3- Change of Polarity zone Until that area, I don't see any reliable support on the chart and expect the Bund price to keep falling. Good luck, Ali Sharifazadeh, CFTe
Risk Disclaimer -Technically it look right but fundamentally the ECB is backing the Bund. Will you fight it? Short at 156.02 (or start building from 1.55.90) Stop at 156.56 (risk is 54 pips) Target 1 at 154.07 (Gap with reward at 195 pips) Target 2 at 153.92 (Gap with reward at 210 pips)