Here is a chart of the 2yr / 5yr /10yr / & 30yr yields The BLUE LINE represents the highest yields from 2018 The WHITE LINE represents the highest yields from 20202
The belly of the yield curve looks particularly rich now. We've priced in more FOMC hikes than I think will come to pass.
Monthly Elliot impulse wave of bonds. Yield up price down.
Here we are finally, after watching and waiting for this collision for months now, we have finally arrived at what is almost certainly the bottom for BTC. We see a 5 year ascending trend which just caught the free-fall inside of a 5/6 month descending channel. At this point either the 5 year trend can break and the 5 month down trend will continue or the 5 year...
Oppression will continue, eventually this let will continue down towards 1.423%; the target for wave 3. We would have to break higher than 2.02% to question whether the nature of this downside move remains intact. There is a lot of support as we widely tracked here in advance. The bounce over the past few weeks is a corrective process that should not exceed the...
Obviously, the 5 year trends are not the ideal charts to singularly refer to when considering a trade... however, considering the FANG composite's short-term trendline and NFLX 1Y chart, this technical analysis seems quite relevant... while looking at the 1Y for NFLX, it seems it could go break free in either direction to next support/resistance; however,...
On the technical side the minimum targets for a Vth wave flattening trend that started since 2011 have been met. This completed sequence show's there is plenty of room to steepen over the coming Quarters. So far we have seen wave A and B of an incomplete ABC. Well done all those who are riding the 'C' leg with us. Best of luck to those who are positioned for...
Another chart update here in US Yields after last week. Once again, it may take a while for yields to break through here (if at all). It is important to track for all signs of impulsive rises (as mentioned in the 10Y). From a strictly wave perspective, it is a valid argument that the market is continuing to trade an incomplete ABC from November 2018 highs. The...
The rate of Bonds is at a very interesting place as highlighted in the chart! In depth exploration in the video below: youtu.be
Running Alpha Capital Markets observes that higher rates are not always a headwind, as the not too distant record shows that the electric utilities group can outperform and offer a margin of safety. During the last period of higher rates, from mid 2004 to mid-2006, the FOMC hiked rates 16 times, and despite these incremental actions, electric utilities actually...
RunningAlpha Capital Markets see market players in the 5 year treasury notes at the belly of the USA yield curve structurally positioned for a very strong bullish bias ahead on both an absolute and relative yield curve basis. A breakout above the August 5th highs should accelerate the rally and add upside persistence to the 5 year yield. So, be on high alert for...
1981 Speculation of a self diluting market unknown to it's customers…. All I gotta say is that they chopped the fu$% out those $16.27 in 1981-09-02, thinking the dollar was going to rally towards, customers thought wrong! Loan, Loan, Loan, Loan money thats not there. In Money We Print….. Capital Credit that consumes itself giving credit to anyone unknowing...