Looking for a bullish continuation to the upside long term. What Does the 10-Year Treasury Yield Mean? The 10-year Treasury yield is the yield that the government pays investors that purchase the specific security. Purchase of the 10-year note is essentially a loan made to the U.S. government.
Check out the AI patterns and my trend lines and see what you think... we've definitely broken the long-term down trend which everyone said would collapse.. pretty much everything, lol.
As the world changes, I aim to provide truth-seekers with the knowledge to prepare for what's ahead. With my unique set of skills, I've developed a system for making accurate market predictions, which I share in this latest AriasWave market update. While the Dow Jones is just one piece of the puzzle, I draw on years of experience to make informed assumptions...
When the yield of the 3-month bond is higher than the 30-year bond yield, this is known as an inverted yield curve. It is a rare and unusual occurrence and we are seeing this today. This signals a potential economic recession in the future. An inverted yield curve suggests that investors have a pessimistic outlook for the future of the economy. They are willing...
I'm testing this correlation and looking at the bounce-up for the 10-year yields To buy indices and sell gold, let's see :) Let me hear from you..
Bitcoin is looking strong with the move above 30k. I think as long as ~27k holds, and even better 30k, this thing is headed to 50k by year end. That may change if the 10 year yield moves up to 4% again, but if it stays around the 3.5% level where it's at now, or moves lower, it is a tailwind for bitcoin and precious metals
This latest count for the 10 YR suggests that interest rates are close to a top and whatever comes next will be significant. This lines up with my Dow Jones analysis which suggests that we are looking for one more all-time-high before we see the top. I think the markets will continue to oscillate in a large range over the next several years which will be a...
Regarding the charting aspect, this presents a straightforward short setup that offers an excellent risk/reward ratio. However, from an economic standpoint, there are several factors to consider. 1. Headline inflation for food and energy, when measured from the start of the war, which caused substantial price increases, will likely fall YOY. 2. As the economy...
Good afternoon Swiss investors, today I made an analysis on the Switzerlnd 10 Year Government Bonds Yield, it shows that it's too early to put your money on the market since we're waiting for it to cross the golden point to see whether you put your money on it or no. For any more analysis on a specific market don't hesitate to ask and I'll be answering with pleasure.
In the one of my previous prediction I've mentioned that gold will fall before it will rise. Here I am now, more specific. I think that these charts correspond what would gold looks like in 2 scenarious: 1. High Inflation, Printer goes brrrr In that moment, when someone will be choosing from high inflation or save world economy they will alway choose B. 2....
In this video I talk about the bigger picture going back to 1150AD and how I have always anticipated this move up in rates. See down below all videos that are related to this idea. We are in a correction phase of Wave 2 in Bond Yields. This type of expansion means that they are preparing themselves for a recession even though they don't mention it. They...
obviously its risky to try to put EW on something like the US10Y yield with so many issues in the world right now but i couldnt help notice how clean the count looks at the moment. NOT trading advice.
The 10-year Treasury yield has been rising since the end of January in the aftermath of a Bullish Morning Star candlestick pattern. Now, prices are approaching the December high at 3.905 after confirming a breakout above a falling trendline from October. Meanwhile, a bullish Golden Cross is set to form between the 20- and 50-day Simple Moving Averages, further...
Zoom out and in Oct US 10 Year yields hit a supply level from Dec 2018 which started that big rally, we rejected hard from that in Oct. Now heading into resistance on shorter timeframes that started the other two major equities bottoms. If this rejects here which I think it can that will keep the rally continuing.
One of the traders in the Forex Analytix community (Grasshopper) pointed out that the 10yr Yields are developing an inverted head and shoulder pattern which may lead (on a breakout) to higher yields near term. Considering a false breakdown happened last week on January 19th below horizontal support, this builds the case that was the head. A break of the neckline...
In this video I explain why I believe the waves line up with the macro thesis. Short term; the waves are an amazing tool especially when you use AriasWave for analysis. The bigger picture though, has its own list of fundamental reasoning behind it. The point is that as I go through the interest rate chart alongside the Bitcoin chart, it only takes a bit of...
HI people welcome to Decrypters So We have 3 charts DXY , US10Y & T-NOTE BOND THE LINK BETWEEN 3 CHARTS IS VERY BASIC Lets Discuss BONDS first The Bonds are About to Decrease in value Now bonds consist of 3 things 1-Face value (Principal Investment) 2-Maturity ( Pay back time, lets say 5 yrs ) 3-Copoun rate ( Interest on Face value, lets say 7 %...
To begin, I am not a Seasoned Trader; I use this blog for: 1. Record keeping; & 2. Formalizing my thoughts a. If I can't explain simply here, I shldn't engage To begin, my Rules of Engagement ( RoE ) to identify an upside of +3 to 1 Risk to Reward ( “R/R” ); in this case it may yield a 3.1- 3.94 R/R. • Asset | IEF ( iShares 7-20 Year US Gov’t Bond ) • Type |...