Here's a chart of the relationship between building permits (which come out this week) interest rates, and recessions. When rates rise permits drop and recession follows. This week's building permit numbers could be are not likely to be good.
Hey traders, Today we're going to be looking through this weeks economic calendar. We're going to look at what data is going to be released and what really is going to be affecting the market. I will also share my bias on the different pairs and the different data being released to see if any of these are going to be tradeable or whether or not we should just...
Recently, a lot of people have been talking about the possibility of a multi-year recession. I don't think that is a clear depiction of the current situation, but I am aware that the idea stems from a lack of understanding of bear market structures, and influence of market sentiment. So in this post, I'll be going over Ken Fishers' rules and conditions that must...
They do not scream "SELL" just yet, but these indicators offer strong caution of further market correction. Please take some time to study the charts so you understand the story they tell. I am not an economist; I am a trader who has been learning more about bonds and macro indicators. (I have ignored the pandemic drop because it was extraneous to normal...
I watched a great video about the collapse of civilizations and I'd like to comment on it, with a bit more of a focus on the economic reasons and outcomes. 1- Crushed in a war by a far stronger force Destroyed, or elite destroyed (government & big banks & business owners) Aztec Inca Baghdad Carthage... Modern examples include Iraq and Libya. Just look at...
Japan, which today is the oldest country in the world, had a weird looking demographic "pyramid" 30 years ago, with a big bump in the 40s, there were 75% more japanese in their forties than 0-9 years old. What could possibly go wrong? Japan was the new superpower, everyone invested in Japan. And then it all collapsed. As usual it got so bad they actually ended up...
You could draw a bubble chart. First it starts with Euphoria. The whole world is stunned at the Soviet success, in particular African nations... (Remember Ghana had a higher GDP/capita than Ireland, bad decisions were made) Any conspiracy theorist negative about the great USSR success gets literally laughed at. I also mentionned Bernie Sanders praising the...
From an educational point of view, time cycle theory shows that the price of the dollar in January is interested in reaching its lowest level. In fundamental terms, the dollar usually weakens slightly towards the end of the presidency. Especially if a Republican like Trump is president. The value of the dollar weakens, especially during the Republican era,...
> Argentina: We WILL win the race to zero. Price goes from a straight line to zero to a sharper straight line to zero 🖨️ *********************** Argentina, that basically has been in a depression for 20 years with governments trying their hardest to help, has now a government that figured "hey what we are doing is not working, let's do more of it". Hi I'm Jarvan...
It was 98 years that communists randomly drew the borders between Armenia & Azerbaijan (and Georgia and Turkey). And it's still a mess to this day. WW3 soon. Great time to take a look at the economy of the soviet union. This is a vast subject so I will only cover a tiny fraction of what can be said about it, but I will try to basically cover the general idea. I...
Tehran and Beijing are making plans around the revived silk road. And in just a short 3-4 months the world will discuss the new world order. 3 main groups: the bagholding UN liberals from 1945 (Canada, France, Germany), Trump USA leaving the WHO and the UN, and China that wants to be at the center. A more reasonable in between group that would satisfy both China...
Here are some of the most famous bets by the man that had years where he single-handedly made profits comparable to the annual GDP of countries like Chad, Zimbabwe, Haiti, and that is held responsible by many (delusional dunning kruger sufferers) for bringing down entire countries. ==> Thai Baht short right before the Asian financial crisis: SEA tried to abuse...
Crypto heavy this one is. 3 out of 6 about blockchain, 3 out of 5 really I always make 1/6 a useless / just for fun one. 1- Bubba Wallace does not manage to finish the NASCAR All-Star Open race and finishes 21 out of 21. *********************** Here's the for fun one :) Bubba Wallace that is now famous for being the victim of a door handle which he thought was...
Global institutions want to create a new world order and new age already (to replace capitalism & socialism). So maybe already we are going towards not only a new world currency but a new systel (in red) and I'll be able to update this? Global banking and nations are interested in the blockchain (a centralized currency they can control so they can prepare a new...
The president of the Minneapolis City Council says the city’s Police Dept. will be dismantled and replaced with a “transformative new model of public safety.” They vote friday. Council members have also shown support for ANTIFA. "A tribune of the plebs assaulted on the steps of the Senate house! Can you imagine a more terrible sacrilege? Our beloved Republic is...
The USA have reached the next level of Ultra capitalism: Trump is about to enact a new order to push exploitation to the next level. Workers that produce 100% of their objectives will be paid 100% of their wage, if they produce more they'd get into trouble but it is unclear how, and for each 10% over production they would get paid increasingly higher rates. This...
Reminder of my idea about taxing the rich as a solution: And so (high) inflation.... Here is an economist article on it, they have a chart with the budget balance. www.economist.com I'll make some bullet points here too about inflation: - The government robs wealth from the whole population to fund programs. Printed money isn't real money, you can't just...
Another mass hysteria to look at. On this chart I took the sum of coronavirus new cases in GB + France + Italy + Germany + Spain + Portugal + The Netherlands. A reminder, I posted the idea "Virus spread/Bacteria poluation/Ponzi scheme lifecycle" March 20th, as we were near the top of the Log Growth phase and everyone was panicking. As you can see the stationary...